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Will Munich Conference 2015 Go Down In History?

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  • Will Munich Conference 2015 Go Down In History?

    WILL MUNICH CONFERENCE 2015 GO DOWN IN HISTORY?

    Vestnik Kavkaza, Russia
    Feb 9 2015

    9 February 2015 - 4:04pm

    Yesterday 51st Security Conference in Munich, during which the
    participating countries presented their current positions on the
    issues of security in Europe and beyond, has ended. The key topic of
    the conference was the Ukrainian crisis, for which the usually single
    point of view of the West was divided into two: German Chancellor
    Angela Merkel after talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin
    has proposed a soft diplomatic solution to the problem, while US
    politicians continue to insist on supplies of lethal weapons to Kiev.

    This Munich Conference may go down in history as well as Munich-2007,
    the chairman of the Federation Council Committee on International
    Affairs Konstantin Kosachev said, adding that now it's necessary that
    loud statements be implemented. In general, the conference has showed
    the change of Western politicians' approach to the Russian position.

    "Firstly, last year's logic 'we don't agree with Russia and refuse
    to talk' changed to at least 'we don't agree, but we must talk'.

    Secondly, the EU, unlike the US, rules out the possibility of supplying
    weapons to Ukraine. Consequently, if we ignore the public rhetoric,
    the Europeans in fact back Moscow's political settlement plan rather
    than Kiev's military scenario," the senator said.

    Experts' opinions on the results of the Munich Conference-2015 are
    divided. So, the President of the National Strategy Institute, Mikhail
    Remizov, drew attention to the fact that the event itself is the only
    possibility for the parties to express and to hear their points of
    view, rather than substantive negotiations to take any decision.

    "Therefore, the conference was of an intermediate nature, because
    it took place waiting for the results of the negotiations of the
    'Normandy Quartet'," he said.

    "Perhaps the most significant aspect was the very unpleasant
    welcome speech of Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, who quite
    correctly and clearly voiced Russia's position and didn't go beyond
    it. This was demonstrated by Lavrov's personal rejection and biased
    perception of the Russian position, the desire for a certain moral
    ostracism in relation to Russia. The accurate, more restrained than
    earlier, rhetoric of Chancellor Angela Merkel stood out against this
    background. It was clear that caution is given simply by the presence
    of the negotiating process, which was initiated in Kiev, and that the
    conference has once again confirmed that, regardless of the outcome
    of these negotiations, the isolation policy of Western countries,
    the US and its allies against Russia will continue," the expert said.

    The political scientist Rovshan Ibragimov, in his turn, praised the
    Munich conference as an important platform for discussions and meetings
    of statesmen. "It is necessary to re-examine together any problems
    or issues which the country and the region are facing now. It is no
    coincidence that in parallel with the Munich conference a meeting
    on Ukraine was held in Moscow of the leaders of France, Germany and
    Russia. So it is rather a structural platform that addresses the
    security problems," he said.

    Ibragimov spoke about the presence of Azerbaijani President Ilham
    Aliyev at the conference. "He had a meeting on security issues as well
    as on geo-economic expectations, with the presidents of Macedonia and
    Serbia. Also the issue of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict was discussed.

    It is very significant that, even before his visit to Davos,
    during Ilham Aliyev's visit to Germany, Angela Merkel said that the
    Nagorno-Karabakh conflict has some parallels with the security issues
    in the post-Soviet space, which is like a mirror image of events in
    Ukraine. I think it's like just a new perception of the problem. So
    on the basis of Munich, the expectation came that issues of permits of
    perennial conflicts in the former Soviet Union will now be seen through
    the prism of problems of integrity in Ukraine," the analyst said.

    "Perhaps the most significant aspect was the very unpleasant
    welcome speech of Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, who quite
    correctly and clearly voiced Russia's position and didn't go beyond
    it. This was demonstrated by Lavrov's personal rejection and biased
    perception of the Russian position, the desire for a certain moral
    ostracism in relation to Russia. The accurate, more restrained than
    earlier, rhetoric of Chancellor Angela Merkel stood out against this
    background. It was clear that caution is given simply by the presence
    of the negotiating process, which was initiated in Kiev, and that the
    conference has once again confirmed that, regardless of the outcome
    of these negotiations, the isolation policy of Western countries,
    the US and its allies against Russia will continue," the expert said.

    The political scientist Rovshan Ibragimov, in his turn, praised the
    Munich conference as an important platform for discussions and meetings
    of statesmen. "It is necessary to re-examine together any problems
    or issues which the country and the region are facing now. It is no
    coincidence that in parallel with the Munich conference a meeting
    on Ukraine was held in Moscow of the leaders of France, Germany and
    Russia. So it is rather a structural platform that addresses the
    security problems," he said.

    Ibragimov spoke about the presence of Azerbaijani President Ilham
    Aliyev at the conference. "He had a meeting on security issues as well
    as on geo-economic expectations, with the presidents of Macedonia and
    Serbia. Also the issue of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict was discussed.

    It is very significant that, even before his visit to Davos,
    during Ilham Aliyev's visit to Germany, Angela Merkel said that the
    Nagorno-Karabakh conflict has some parallels with the security issues
    in the post-Soviet space, which is like a mirror image of events in
    Ukraine. I think it's like just a new perception of the problem. So
    on the basis of Munich, the expectation came that issues of permits of
    perennial conflicts in the former Soviet Union will now be seen through
    the prism of problems of integrity in Ukraine," the analyst said.

    Political analyst Ramaz Sakvarelidze also drew attention to a
    parallel, which had already been drawn by Prime Minister of Georgia
    Irakli Garibashvili, between the problems of Ukraine and Georgia. "He
    stressed that, leaving events in Georgia without reaction, the West
    has a more extensive and more dramatic situation in Ukraine. How
    it will be perceived by Western countries, which have not yet been
    able to find the key to solving not only the Georgian, but also the
    Ukrainian hot topic, is difficult to say," he noted.

    The expert added that Garibashvili would like to emphasize the fact
    that "if the international community will be directed only to suspend
    the process in Ukraine, and even if it will achieve this, it is
    unlikely to save the world community from new surprises." "When the
    bloodshed in Georgia was suspended, the international community was
    calm, but now it has received new bloodshed in Ukraine. So a local
    task to stop the conflict can be solved, but it is too simplistic
    and does not correspond to reality," the political scientist says.

    http://vestnikkavkaza.net/news/politics/66027.html

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