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IF TURKEY AND RUSSIA ACHIEVE AGREEMENT ON KARABAKH
Igor Muradyan, Political Analyst
Politics - 10 February 2015, 15:41
The European Union does not bear responsibility for the countries of
the South Caucasus, and there is not a notion of area of responsibility
of the European Union. The EU may influence security only through its
political reputation, and there is not a real lever of influence on
security issues even after creating a foreign political service.
The European Union is trying to revise their views on regional
conflicts, making those regions more accessible, involving them in
social, political and economic processes.
The former metropolises must realize that these intentions are aimed
at the settlement of conflicts. Peoples living in conflict areas have
the right to benefit from the advantages of broader cooperation with
the European Union and, at the same time, observe certain conditions,
keeping loyal to European values.
For the time being, it is hard to tell how the process will go. For
example, Georgia and Azerbaijan were cautious to this initiative,
Azerbaijan was hostile. The European Union is trying to fulfill these
principles within the framework of Eastern Partnership, defining the
advantages and commitments of the members of the project.
The European Union has assessed the arms race as a negative phenomenon
but confessed that it has no lever to influence the state of things.
For the time being, it is not known what the official political stance
on arms race and war of snipers in the area of the Karabakh conflict
is. Only the continuation of the process of settlement mediated by the
Minsk Group is considered, which is supported by the European Union.
The European Union thinks the probability of military intervention
in the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan is low. At the same
time, having the necessary information, at a time of war the EU may
put political pressure but cannot force stopping military actions.
One can state for sure that the European Union will be against
military actions but will not condemn any of the sides because it will
hardly condemn the aggressor. The aggressor will not be mentioned or
identified in the political statement.
These are the current perceptions in Europe, and everything may change
if Russia and Turkey achieve certain agreements on Karabakh.
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/politics/view/33614#sthash.lmWk13S6.dpuf
Igor Muradyan, Political Analyst
Politics - 10 February 2015, 15:41
The European Union does not bear responsibility for the countries of
the South Caucasus, and there is not a notion of area of responsibility
of the European Union. The EU may influence security only through its
political reputation, and there is not a real lever of influence on
security issues even after creating a foreign political service.
The European Union is trying to revise their views on regional
conflicts, making those regions more accessible, involving them in
social, political and economic processes.
The former metropolises must realize that these intentions are aimed
at the settlement of conflicts. Peoples living in conflict areas have
the right to benefit from the advantages of broader cooperation with
the European Union and, at the same time, observe certain conditions,
keeping loyal to European values.
For the time being, it is hard to tell how the process will go. For
example, Georgia and Azerbaijan were cautious to this initiative,
Azerbaijan was hostile. The European Union is trying to fulfill these
principles within the framework of Eastern Partnership, defining the
advantages and commitments of the members of the project.
The European Union has assessed the arms race as a negative phenomenon
but confessed that it has no lever to influence the state of things.
For the time being, it is not known what the official political stance
on arms race and war of snipers in the area of the Karabakh conflict
is. Only the continuation of the process of settlement mediated by the
Minsk Group is considered, which is supported by the European Union.
The European Union thinks the probability of military intervention
in the conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan is low. At the same
time, having the necessary information, at a time of war the EU may
put political pressure but cannot force stopping military actions.
One can state for sure that the European Union will be against
military actions but will not condemn any of the sides because it will
hardly condemn the aggressor. The aggressor will not be mentioned or
identified in the political statement.
These are the current perceptions in Europe, and everything may change
if Russia and Turkey achieve certain agreements on Karabakh.
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/politics/view/33614#sthash.lmWk13S6.dpuf