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Lake Sevan Water Balance Element And Level Change Dynamics For 2002-

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  • Lake Sevan Water Balance Element And Level Change Dynamics For 2002-

    LAKE SEVAN WATER BALANCE ELEMENT AND LEVEL CHANGE DYNAMICS FOR 2002-2014

    13:03 February 17, 2015

    Levon Vardanyan, Director of State Non-Commercial Organization

    Recently a number of news websites have published articles about the
    changes in Lake Sevan level, magnitude of lake balance components,
    forecasts about the lake level, which are not substantiated.

    The system observing water outlets from Lake Sevan and inflows through
    Arpa-Sevan tunnel is equipped with up-to-date equipment; consequently,
    there is no need for theoretical calculations and presentation of
    observation figures, as the factual value of these components are
    available.

    Below is the change of the lake level for 2002-2014:

    In 2002- 2004 the hydrometeorological conditions were favourable for
    the increase in the lake level: 2007 and 2010 were also favourable
    for the increase in the lake level, as these two years were favourable
    from hydrological viewpoint.

    2008, 2012, 2013 and 2014 experienced lack of water, 2012 and 2014
    should be outlined, as the most lack of water was recorded in these
    very years, resulted with large water outlets from the lake and
    negative shift in the lake level.

    Daily average volume of 1.4 million cum let out in irrigation seasons
    is a completely substantiated value, as the water volume let out from
    the lake has extremely different value in different hours of the day,
    and nobody and nothing, but the equipment, was able to record the
    water volume flowing through the tunnel.

    What about the changes in Lake level, as of January 1, 2002 the lake
    level made up 1896.32 meters, while as of 1 January 2015 the lake
    level was 1900.13 meters, i.e. the total increase made up 3.81 meters,
    where an increase of 2.47 meters made up for 2002-2007 and 1.34 meters
    for 2008-2014 (including added 20 cm based on the specification of
    land surveying).

    During spring floods the highest indicators were recorded in 2007 and
    2010, 2002-2004 also had high indicators, while 2008, 2012, 2013 and
    2014 recorded low values.

    What about forecasts in regard with changes in lake level during 2015,
    it should be said that factors needed for the change in the lake level
    - available snow reserve and hydrometereological conditions are more
    favourable than for 2014, while the forecasts for the change in the
    lake level will be presented in the third week of March.

    http://ecolur.org/en/news/officials/lake-sevan-water-balance-element-and-level-change-dynamics-for-20022014/7033/

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