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Opposition In Shambles?: Analysts Say PAP "Breakdown" Leaves Armenia

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  • Opposition In Shambles?: Analysts Say PAP "Breakdown" Leaves Armenia

    OPPOSITION IN SHAMBLES?: ANALYSTS SAY PAP "BREAKDOWN" LEAVES ARMENIA WITH NO MAJOR FORCE OPPOSED TO GOVERNMENT

    POLITICS | 26.02.15 | 10:17

    By SARA KHOJOYAN
    ArmeniaNow reporter

    Following the dramatic developments of recent days around the
    Prosperous Armenia Party (PAP) many analysts say there is no major
    opposition force left in Armenia and no political party will be able
    to rise up to that level in the near future.

    The PAP led by tycoon Gagik Tsarukyan tried to mount a challenge to
    President Serzh Sargsyan, but quickly backed off amid a government
    crackdown that included detentions of its members who own businesses
    as well as threats to prosecute Tsarukyan himself over tax evasion.

    The PAP is preparing for its "extraordinary" convention that will be
    held on March 5. Meanwhile, five members of its parliamentary faction
    have already quit it. And some of the party lawmakers also recently
    met with Prime Minister Hovik Abrahamyan to discuss issues related to
    "small and medium-sized enterprises".

    The opposition, if not has been destroyed, then it is has been
    considerably weakened, political analyst Sergey Minasyan said at a
    press conference on Wednesday.

    "We understand how the events will develop within the PAP, but it
    cannot have any positive impact on Armenia's political life. The
    political career of Prosperous Armenia Party leader Gagik Tsarukyan,
    if not ended, then has been frozen," the political analyst said.

    Tsarukyan angered the current administration by an apparent "ultimatum"
    to give up the constitutional reform or face a campaign of sustained
    street protests demanding early presidential and parliamentary
    elections. The PAP leader made those statements at a conference of
    "non-governing" forces on February 5.

    On February 12, President Serzh Sargsyan, the leader of the ruling
    Republican Party of Armenia, lashed out at Tsarukyan and effectively
    called on his party to oust the PAP leader from Armenian politics. On
    February 15, Tsarukyan's PAP and its two opposition allies, the
    Armenian National Congress (ANC) and Heritage met to discuss their
    response and scheduled a joint rally for February 20, but the PAP
    called it off after Tsarukyan's conciliatory remarks several days
    later.

    It is remarkable that Heritage party leader Raffi Hovannisian and his
    supporters did turn out for the rally not attended by the PAP and the
    ANC. Then Hovannisian declared that the troika effectively did not
    exist any longer. He said that they no longer "play these games" and
    that the ANC rally scheduled for March 1 will provide a "breakthrough".

    The actions against Tsarukyan were an attempt to put an end to
    the situation created in February and the authorities did it by
    decapitating one of the leading organizing forces, ANC parliamentary
    leader Levon Zurabyan said.

    "At this moment the PAP is out of the game. Now the PAP itself should
    say where it stands. After coming under an intimidation campaign the
    PAP has said nothing," Zurabyan told RFE/RL's Armenian Service. "Now
    the March 1 rally will be a test for the forces that continue their
    struggle in the name of Armenia no matter what terror they have been
    subjected to by the regime."

    Pressure on the PAP leader appears to continue. While Tsarukyan
    has not yet been stripped of his parliamentary seat over "chronic
    absenteeism", Parliament Speaker Galust Sahakyan said that the current
    RPA position is not different from that expressed by President Sargsyan
    on February 12.

    "I think that the PAP should come up with a new strategy. As for who
    will lead this new party strategy is not known to me," he said.

    http://armenianow.com/news/politics/60963/armenia_prosperous_party_convention_politics_oppos ition_rally

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