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  • Mystery but Fact

    Mystery but Fact

    Igor Muradyan, Political Analyst
    Comments - 07 January 2015, 16:13


    In NATO there will not be formats other than "membership" and
    "partnership". Armenia successfully cooperates with NATO under the
    well-known programs. The Individual Partnership Plan enables
    submission of proposals on participation in implementation of
    different objectives.

    These opportunities still exist. Sweden is not a NATO member and
    cooperates with the alliance under this plan, implementing objectives
    which exceed the contribution of most NATO members in the operations
    of the alliance by their scope and importance.

    The scope of participation in the NATO activities depends not only on
    the status of the country in the alliance but its level of economic
    and democratic development. NATO respects Armenia for its balanced
    foreign policy and willingness to participate in the actions, with
    correct estimation of our own possibilities and the level of
    preparedness of the armed forces.

    In NATO there are no official evaluations of conflict sides but
    Azerbaijan is perceived as an aggressor, while Russia is perceived as
    Russia's former and relative ally and a vivid example of how Russia
    betrays its partners. Strange though it may seem, the example of
    Armenia demonstrated how CSTO and Russia's alliance collapses.

    In addition, NATO understands that Armenia has always postured as
    Russia's reliable and loyal ally. In NATO this factor is used for
    purposes of propaganda in conversations with NATO member states.

    Armenia could hope for receiving arms from NATO member states under
    certain conditions: similar goals in the sphere of defense, sufficient
    funds, reliable relations, guarantees to use weapons.

    Though supply of arms is the sovereign affair of states, cooperation
    with NATO is a key factor and condition for supply of arms by NATO
    member states.

    The United States would hardly be able and wish to supply arms to
    Armenia and Azerbaijan but NATO may always have arguments that Turkey
    supplies arms to Azerbaijan and Azerbaijan's possibilities are bigger.

    One way or another, the United States has considerable possibilities
    to enhance Armenia's defense capability unless Armenia is too obedient
    to Russia. The Western community has the experience of cooperation
    with Armenia in the sphere of defense, including in supply of
    technology, which is certainly related to NATO to some extent.

    NATO is thoroughly studying the possibility of supplying weapons to
    Armenia, and what weapons Armenia is interested in. One way or
    another, NATO must approve the decision of separate states to supply
    weapons to Armenia. One of the key issues of security in the Black Sea
    and the Caucasus - the maintenance of the real balance of forces -
    will depend on this.

    NATO member states are rather independent in regard to supply of
    weapon to different countries but these supplies cannot be determined
    by the interests of the alliance and separate members, especially when
    modern offensive weapons are concerned.

    NATO must arm the new partners if there are certain prospects for
    cooperation with them after the summits in Chicago and Wales and the
    developments in Ukraine. The United States is ready to cooperate with
    Russia because the Americans hope to play a more visible role in the
    region if Turkey is too aggressive.

    This is a mystery but a fact. It will be useful for Russia in a
    certain aspect because in this case Azerbaijan and Turkey will try to
    get closer. However, the Americans are apparently betting on major
    controversies between Russia and Turkey. It is not known whether these
    controversies will persist but now Russia is not fully aware of these
    prospects.

    It is known that the United States blocks Turkey's attempts, causing
    Turkey's dissatisfaction. Turkey's role in development of NATO-Armenia
    cooperation can be demonstrated in the following way:

    1. France and Greece are for the discussion of the Armenian-Turkish
    relations in the sphere of NATO;

    2. Greece confirms that Armenia must demand solution of issues
    relating to Turkey, just like Greece insisted on Greek-Turkish
    relations;

    3. The United States and other NATO member states have oral agreement
    with Turkey that Turkey will not hinder development of NATO-Armenia
    relations;

    4. The participation of Armenia in peacekeeping actions in Kosovo and
    Afghanistan has a big importance in integration with NATO and
    strengthening relations, which does affect development of NATO
    assistance and support to Armenia;

    5. NATO supports the Minsk Group-mediated Karabakh settlement but
    finds that development of relations between Armenia and Azerbaijan
    should not be limited to the circumstances of this issue;

    6. NATO is against single-handed peacekeeping actions of Russia in the
    area of the Karabakh conflict. There are obvious controversies among
    NATO member states: the United States is reluctant to discuss
    political issues in NATO while France and Greece would like to use
    these circumstances to counteract Turkey, NATO member states could
    supply arms to Armenia, apparently the United States would be
    reluctant but means other states.

    However, the question occurs whether supply of arms is a key factor
    for cooperation with NATO. Of course, the key factor is large-scale
    cooperation in different directions, and this can be a factor for new
    and sequential supplies of arms.


    http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/33384#sthash.kh00vg3M.dpuf




    From: A. Papazian
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