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  • Discussion Of Armenia's Geopolitical Standpoints In Diaspora

    DISCUSSION OF ARMENIA'S GEOPOLITICAL STANDPOINTS IN DIASPORA

    25.12.2014

    Anna Zhamakochyan
    Senior Expert at the Noravank Foundation's Center for Information Studies

    In the recent years the Republic of Armenia (RoA) has been involved in
    geopolitical integration processes. Since 2010 the RoA was involved
    in the negotiation process for Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade
    Agreement with the EU, while in 2013 the RoA president announced
    about Armenia's readiness to join the Customs Union of Russia,
    Kazakhstan and Belarus (and in future also the Eurasian Union). In
    such situation the intra-public discussions are important in grasping
    and defining our ideas about the vision for development of the country
    and achieving a public partnership and agreement for at least the main
    directions for the country's future and fundamental values. Given
    the factor of Armenian Diaspora, apart from discussions occurring
    inside Armenia, the opinions and standpoints of various segments of
    Armeniancy regarding Armenia's future position and role are also
    important. It is pertinent to study the Armenia-Diaspora dialogue
    and Diaspora's involvement in discussions on the future of Armenia
    and related political problems. This article presents a generalized
    review of the data obtained by a study1 of 18 Diaspora media2.

    In the discourse of Diaspora's media on Republic of Armenia's
    geopolitical orientations, it is visible that the discussions on
    integration processes of the Republic of Armenia are mostly based on
    opinions and comments found in the media-space of Armenia.

    The decision to join the Customs Union and later also the Eurasian
    Economic Union has been discussed in Diaspora media both in positive
    and negative lights, in terms of RoA national interests, impacts
    on economy, energy and security issues. At the same time it has to
    be noted that among the materials of Diaspora media dedicated to
    political/economic developments in Armenia there are very few expert
    analyses. The circulating materials are more descriptive in nature,
    and sometimes are simply emotional.

    It has to be noted that regardless of the pro or con stance on the
    policy of integration adopted by the RoA, the Customs Union as an
    ideologeme is usually perceived in the media-texts not as an idea of
    a union between members or equal entities, but rather is directly
    associated with Russia, sometimes even with the personality of the
    Russian president. The discourse of groups expressing themselves
    for and against RoA membership in Customs Union is most clearly
    manifested in several key topics, such as security of the RoA and NKR,
    socioeconomic situation and development (including energy problems)
    in Armenia, and concerns over the RoA sovereignty loss.

    By and large, the membership in the Customs Union is viewed not so
    much in perspective of its positive effects, but in the context of
    averting the negative ramifications in case of non-membership. This
    is especially evident in the ideologized and value-ascribed notion of
    "security" for the RoA and NKR. Generally, the process of Armenia's
    integration in CU/EEU is expected to maintain the "status quo" both
    in the areas of security and economy/energy. Consequently, adoption
    of this geopolitical course by Armenia is often viewed as the "least
    of all evils".

    The media-image of Russia is mostly that of an "inevitable ally",
    the relations with which are highly asymmetric and which may easily
    wield leverages to achieve desirable effects. Interestingly, the
    rules of the game and such relationships between the entities are
    not seen as something that may change. Hence, the military, political
    and economic future of Armenia is contemplated in the context of this
    situation and is viewed in relation to Russia and its projects. The
    membership in EU is looked upon as something unrealistic/illusional,
    or is considered only in the domains of cultural, civilizational,
    legal, social, and values developments, leaving out the military one.

    If one reviews not only articles related to the researched topic,
    but also the general media coverage, then it can be noted that the
    traditional agenda of the Diaspora formed around the matter of the
    Armenian Genocide continues to reflect this main issue and those
    associated to it. It is mainly the relations with Turkey that get local
    in the Armenia-Diaspora future prospects. Hence, the Armenian-Turkey
    relations and their possible developments are a dominating topic in
    analytical publications. As a result, as far as the internal political
    problems and/or external challenges of Armenia are concerned, Diaspora
    mostly assumes the role of a distant observer.

    Thus, the Armenia-Diaspora relations appear to remain in
    "stereotypical" frames of the Genocide, lost homeland, traditional
    Armenian culture and genetic memory. Such models of viewing each other
    in no way help modernizing the relations and noticing the changes
    that occur in Armenia and various segments of Diaspora. Moreover,
    they prevent timely assessment of pending urgent problems, and
    building a common discourse arena. Perhaps, this is the reason
    why during a research often a general feeling appears that one is
    dealing with archives. For instance, the Moscow-based Â"Ð~]оев
    Ð~ZовÑ~GегÂ", often uses media language that abounds with
    unequivocal veneration of "force", mythologized glorifications,
    and "must be done" formulations. The traditional Diaspora media,
    especially the cultural and community oriented mass media, often leave
    an impression of archived material, because there so are numerous
    references to the past. The contexts of the past and present are often
    hardly differentiated: the history is not presented with a due regard
    to its place and time. Consequently, viewpoints of Diaspora on many
    issues (including future prospects of Armenia) are substantiated
    by mythologized perceptions and remain in the purely emotional
    domain. Perhaps, this is a manifestation of a common "mythological"
    thinking, which can be observed in Armenia, too.

    In this respect, among the researched media Asbarez.com, Masis
    Weekly and Â"Ô±Õ¬Õ"O~DÂ" differ significantly from others, where the
    "rational" political language is a norm, especially with regards to
    the issue of the RoA integration.

    As for the survey we conducted with 20 Diaspora experts regarding
    their opinions on the RoA integration policies, most of them found
    it desirable to have "deep cooperation" with both CU/EEU and EU, but
    "not full membership" in either.

    Characteristically, in the expert opinions an evident relation can
    also be traced between the expressed viewpoints and experts' country
    of residence. In particular, the opinions of ethnic Armenian experts
    that are Russian residents or nationals differ from others. Given
    this circumstance, some questions were viewed from the perspective of
    the experts' country of residence. CU/EEU membership prospects for
    Armenia's future were one thing for which the experts' perceptions
    were clearly different depending on the groups of their permanent
    residence countries. For instance, the overwhelming general majority
    considered that after joining the CU/EEU, the chances for sustainable
    development of the country, its attractiveness for Diaspora as a place
    to live and invest, and peaceful resolution of the Karabakh problem
    would be less likely or unlikely. Similarly, Armenia's chances of
    becoming an influential country in the region were seen as less
    likely in such case, while the chances of the country to remain in
    the same sociopolitical condition were assessed to be high. However,
    very few of the experts living in Russia shared this opinion. They
    have been mostly a lot more optimistic about the expectations from
    Armenia's membership in CU/EEU. They anticipated that after joining
    the CU/EEU the future Armenia will have high chances of becoming
    a sustainably developing country, attractive for Diaspora to move
    to and invest in, better chances to resolve the Karabakh problem
    favorably for Armenians, as well as although somewhat smaller, but
    still a likelihood for sociopolitical changes to come.

    The balanced approaches of Armenian Diaspora's public figures and
    experts in the West regarding RoA integration processes are evidenced
    not only by our research, but also by their publications. For example,
    after the agreement to join the Eurasian Economic Union was signed on
    October 10, 2014, Harut Sassounian, Publisher, The California Courier
    (www.TheCaliforniaCourier.com) published an article3, where he viewed
    the RoA-RF relations in the context of "geostrategic and economic
    interests" and "realities". He noted that there are some "compelling
    reasons for Armenia's decision to join EEU", at the same time adding
    that "no one should conclude that Yerevan has to remain exclusively
    in the Russian economic zone." He also calls on the West to help
    reduce Armenia's dependence on Russia by applying tax privileges
    and other incentives: "Western countries would be better served to
    use carrots rather than sticks to help steer Armenia toward a more
    balanced relationship between East and West."

    In summary, the results of the research of a segment in Diaspora
    media and a survey of some experts/community leaders show that the
    expectations of Diaspora for improvement of socioeconomic situation
    in Armenia are not high with regards to Armenia's membership in CU/EEU.

    On the other hand, generally it is considered that this membership will
    help maintain the status quo in Armenia and the region, will increase
    the security of the RoA, which however, does not imply any significant
    positive effect in resolving the problem of Karabakh conflict.

    1 The study includes a quantitative content analysis of thematic
    articles published in September-December 2013 in 18 Diaspora
    mass media a qualitative analysis of the articles published in
    January-October, 2014 and a remotely conducted survey of 20 Armenian
    Diaspora experts. The results will be published in December 2014 as
    a book. The field investigations and primary analysis of the study
    were conducted by by Arpi Manusyan, Diana Galstyan and Lilit Hakobyan,
    experts of the Noravank Foundation's Center for Information Studies.

    2 The fillowing mass media were studied: Â"Ô±Õ¬Õ"O~DÂ",
    Â"Ô¼Õ¸O~BÕµÕ½Â", Â"Ô±O~@Õ¡O~DÕ½Â" weekly, Â"Ô±Õ¦Õ¤Õ¡Õ¯Â",
    Â"Ô±O~@Õ±Õ¡Õ£Õ¡Õ¶Õ£Â", Gibrahayer (Armenian Cypriots)
    weekly, Â"Ô±Õ¦Õ¡Õ¿ O...O~@Â", Â"Ô³Õ¡Õ¶Õ±Õ¡Õ½Õ¡O~@Â" weekly,
    Â"ÔµÕ¾O~@Õ¸ÕºÕ¡Õ¯Õ¡Õ¶ Õ¡Õ¶Õ¯Õ¡Õ­ Õ¡Õ´Õ½Õ¡Õ£Õ"O~@ Â"Õ~UO~@Õ¥O~@Â",
    Â"Ô±Õ­Õ¡Õ¬O~AÕ­Õ¡ÕµÕ" Õ¿Õ¥Õ²Õ¥Õ¯Õ¡Õ¿Õ¾Õ¡Õ¯Õ¡Õ¶ Õ¯Õ¡ÕµO~DÂ",
    Â"Õ~@Õ¸O~@Õ"Õ¦Õ¸Õ¶Â" weekly, Â"Ð~]оев Ð~ZовÑ~GегÂ",
    Â"Ð~UÑ~@кÑ~@амаÑ~AÂ", Analitikaua.net, Nouvelles d'Arménie,
    Â"Õ~@Õ¡ÕµO~@Õ¥Õ¶Õ"O~DÂ", Â"Õ~DÕ¡Õ½Õ"Õ½Â" weekly, Asbarez.

    3 The article can be found at
    http://www.azatutyun.am/content/blog/26636167.html

    "Globus" analytical bulletin, No. 11-12, 2014

    Return ________________________________ Another materials of author

    ARMENIA'S VALUE ORIENTATIONS IN THE CONTEXT OF INTER-CULTURAL
    RESEARCHES[29.07.2013] CONTENT ANALYSIS AS A METHODOLOGY OF THE STUDY
    OF MEDIA-TEXTS[23.05.2011] INFORMATION POLICY OF THE AZERBAIJANI
    ARMENIAN-LANGUAGE TV CHANNELS[17.03.2011] ANTI-ARMENIAN INFORMATION
    POLICY OF AZERBAIJAN[09.11.2009]

    http://www.noravank.am/eng/articles/detail.php?ELEMENT_ID=13091

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