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  • Moody's downgrades two Armenian banks' ratings; outlooks changed to

    Moodys.com (press release)
    Jan 19 2015


    Moody's downgrades two Armenian banks' ratings; outlooks changed to
    negative from stable

    Global Credit Research - 19 Jan 2015

    London, 19 January 2015 -- Moody's Investors Service has today
    downgraded the long-term local-currency deposit and foreign-currency
    senior unsecured debt ratings of Ardshinbank to Ba3 from Ba2, and
    downgraded Ardshinbank's and VTB Bank (Armenia)'s foreign-currency
    deposit ratings to B1 from Ba3. The outlook on the two banks' ratings
    has been changed to negative from stable. These actions follow the
    weakening of Armenia's credit profile, as reflected in the downgrade
    of Armenia's government debt rating to Ba3 from Ba2 on 15 January
    2015, as well as the country ceiling for foreign-currency deposits to
    B1 from Ba3. For additional information, please refer to the related
    announcement: https://www.moodys.com/research/--PR_316326

    RATINGS RATIONALE

    ARDSHINBANK

    The downgrade of Armenia's government debt rating with a negative
    outlook has prompted a downgrade of Ardshinbank's supported ratings,
    which, before the downgrade, benefited from one notch of government
    (systemic) support uplift. While Moody's considers that the Armenian
    government will remain willing to assist Ardshinbank in the event of
    need (because of its systemic importance), the government's capacity
    to do so has lessened, as expressed by the downgrade of the government
    debt rating to Ba3 from Ba2. Therefore, Moody's expectation of
    systemic support does not result in any uplift for Ardshinbank's
    local-currency deposit and foreign-currency debt ratings, which are
    now solely based on the bank's baseline credit assessment (BCA) of
    ba3.

    At the same time, Moody's affirmed and changed to negative the outlook
    on Ardshinbank's standalone bank financial strength rating (BFSR) of
    D- (equivalent to ba3 BCA), reflecting the outlook on the sovereign
    rating. Given the bank's exposure to the deterioration in Armenia's
    operating environment, the bank's standalone credit profile is likely
    to be influenced by the pressures on its asset quality and
    profitability in the medium term. Thus, all Ardshinbank's ratings
    carry a negative outlook.

    VTB BANK (ARMENIA)

    Moody's affirmed and changed to negative the outlook on VTB Bank
    (Armenia)'s standalone BFSR of D- (equivalent to ba3 BCA) and its
    supported local-currency deposit rating of Ba2, reflecting the outlook
    on the sovereign rating. Given the bank's exposure to the
    deterioration in Armenia's operating environment, the bank's
    standalone credit profile is likely to be influenced by the pressures
    on its asset quality and profitability. Furthermore, the bank's
    stand-alone credit assessment is closely linked with VTB Bank, JSC's
    stand-alone credit standing (BFSR of D- on review for downgrade,
    equivalent to ba3 BCA) as it represent an integral part of the group's
    franchise and business activity.

    -- DOWNGRADE OF THE TWO ARMENIAN BANKS' FOREIGN-CURRENCY DEPOSIT RATINGS

    The downgrade of the long-term foreign-currency deposit ratings of
    Ardshinbank and VTB Bank (Armenia) takes into account the lowering of
    Armenia's foreign-currency deposit ceiling to B1 from Ba3 on 15
    January 2015. Moody's foreign-currency ceilings determine the highest
    rating possible in a given country for debt instruments denominated in
    foreign currency issued by domestic borrowers other than the national
    government.

    WHAT COULD MOVE THE RATINGS UP/DOWN

    The negative rating outlooks imply that upward pressure on the
    long-term debt and deposit ratings of Ardshinbank and VTB Bank
    (Armenia) is unlikely in the next 12 months.

    Moody's might downgrade the ratings of Ardshinbank and VTB Bank
    (Armenia) further if Moody's observes any evidence of erosion of the
    risk-absorption capacity and financial fundamentals of the affected
    entities. This could stem, for example, from increasing challenges
    within the domestic operating environment. Conversely, improvements in
    Armenia's economic growth prospects could stabilise the ratings of
    these two banks at the current levels.

    The principal methodology used in these ratings was Global Banks
    published in July 2014. Please see the Credit Policy page on
    www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.

    REGULATORY DISCLOSURES

    For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt,
    this announcement provides certain regulatory disclosures in relation
    to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same
    series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which
    the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in
    accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a
    support provider, this announcement provides certain regulatory
    disclosures in relation to the rating action on the support provider
    and in relation to each particular rating action for securities that
    derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating.
    For provisional ratings, this announcement provides certain regulatory
    disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in
    relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the
    final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction
    structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the
    definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For
    further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity
    page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.

    For any affected securities or rated entities receiving direct credit
    support from the primary entity(ies) of this rating action, and whose
    ratings may change as a result of this rating action, the associated
    regulatory disclosures will be those of the guarantor entity.
    Exceptions to this approach exist for the following disclosures, if
    applicable to jurisdiction: Ancillary Services, Disclosure to rated
    entity, Disclosure from rated entity.

    Regulatory disclosures contained in this press release apply to the
    credit rating and, if applicable, the related rating outlook or rating
    review.

    Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead
    rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the
    rating.

    Please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com
    for additional regulatory disclosures for each credit rating.

    Elena Redko
    Asst Vice President - Analyst
    Financial Institutions Group
    Moody's Investors Service Limited, Russian Branch
    7th floor, Four Winds Plaza
    21 1st Tverskaya-Yamskaya St.
    Moscow 125047
    Russia
    Telephone: +7 495 228 6060
    Facsimile: +7 495 228 6091

    Yves J Lemay
    MD - Banking
    Financial Institutions Group
    JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
    SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454

    Releasing Office:
    Moody's Investors Service Ltd.
    One Canada Square
    Canary Wharf
    London E14 5FA
    United Kingdom
    JOURNALISTS: 44 20 7772 5456
    SUBSCRIBERS: 44 20 7772 5454

    https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-downgrades-two-Armenian-banks-ratings-outlooks-changed-to-negative--PR_316374




    From: A. Papazian
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