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SERZH SARGSYAN CLOSES REPUBLICAN PARTY
Hakob Badalyan, Political Commentator
Comments - 18 March 2015, 14:24
The leader of the Republican parliamentary group Vahram Baghdasaryan
announced that the discussions on the amendments to the Constitution
focus on reducing the number of parliamentary seats. He said so in
answer to the question of the Haykakan Zhamanak Newspaper whether it
is true that the new parliament will have 121 seats instead of the
present 131.
"Why not 75 seats?" Vahram Baghdasaryan said. He said he personally
thinks that it is more correct to have a professional parliament with
75 members.
Let us leave aside the meaning of the phrase "professional
parliament". It is more interesting that the head of the Republican
parliamentary group is expressing his "personal opinion" and is
uttering the number 75. Can the Republicans express such "responsible"
personal opinions on such matters, even in a joke? After all, such
an opinion could cause concerns and panic in both the so-called
opposition field and the Republican Party.
Because the number of seats is reduced, and competition becomes
tougher, so the probability of being one of the winners becomes lower.
Vahram Baghdasaryan is an experienced participant of the Armenian
administration not to realize the responsibility of such "personal
opinion". He knows very well what reaction his personal opinion may
cause. Hence, it is not ruled out that he is not expressing just a
"personal opinion" but an approach under consideration which is
considered necessary to be published.
Currently, there is one pole in the political field of Armenia and
such considerations will target the government pole. Obviously,
the suggestion on 75 seats may be meant to intensify passions, and
passions must be somehow dealt with. Serzh Sargsyan would hardly take
a step that would stir the opposition. There is no need for extra
efforts in this direction. All that Sargsyan wanted to get from this
opposition at this stage he got through meetings at the president's
office and open letters written earlier.
The issue of the government pole is different. Sargsyan's upcoming
activities are based here because disassembly of the opposite pole is
not enough unless he uses this circumstance for necessary reshuffle in
the Republican Party or the administration needed for gaining maximum
flexibility and autonomy for a reshuffle in the upcoming electoral
stage. It means that Serzh Sargsyan must cause some processes to
mature in this pole, empowering himself with some legitimacy to act.
And when it is announced that the seats in the parliament may be
reduced from 131 to 75, this statement causes more concerns in
the Republican Party rather than the opposition. It is clear that
Sargsyan cannot give all the 75 seats to the Republican Party, which
means that the Republican seats will be reduced, some people will be
deprived of mandates. In other words, the competition will intensify,
hence the aspirants will set to fight for it.
In other words, Serzh Sargsyan actually spurs an early fight for
mandates within the RPA through Vahram Baghdasaryan's statement,
which may be equal to stimulating a miscarriage.
However, it means that Sargsyan needs to take care of his security
in this game. Of course, Gagik Tsarukyan's demonstrative punishment
intended to fight off thoughts of a riot but since more people will
lose this game, resistance will be much stronger.
Perhaps, therefore, Sargsyan has recently announced in his speech
on the Constitution that he has concerns about change of the model
of governance, namely in regard to risks relating to internal and
foreign security and stability. He called to develop a change of the
model of governance, as well as options of improvement of the model.
Interestingly, Serzh Sargsyan is eliminating political hindrances
to his initiative to amend the Constitution, Afterwards, however, he
does not push forward the idea of change of the model of governance
without hindrances but actually puts forward the idea of leaving the
existing model and merely improving it. In addition, the stress is
on the security issue, which is related to administrative powers on
the security agencies.
The improvement of the existing model with such focus means increase
of the role of the security agencies rather than the parliament. It is
going to be the counterweight with the help of which Serzh Sargsyan
will be trying to charge and discharge the RPA, bridling the RPA
after the opposition.
By eliminating PAP Serzh Sargsyan has actually deprived the RPA of
blackmail against it, getting a bigger chance to align the RPA to
his own political plans. So far this party was a governmental stock
exchange where experienced brokers succeeded in administration.
Sargsyan who is facing the issue of leaving as a de jure active player
pursues the strategic goal of closing this exchange to deprive other
players of an opportunity to play after him.
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/33788#sthash.Z9HYGW1t.dpuf
Hakob Badalyan, Political Commentator
Comments - 18 March 2015, 14:24
The leader of the Republican parliamentary group Vahram Baghdasaryan
announced that the discussions on the amendments to the Constitution
focus on reducing the number of parliamentary seats. He said so in
answer to the question of the Haykakan Zhamanak Newspaper whether it
is true that the new parliament will have 121 seats instead of the
present 131.
"Why not 75 seats?" Vahram Baghdasaryan said. He said he personally
thinks that it is more correct to have a professional parliament with
75 members.
Let us leave aside the meaning of the phrase "professional
parliament". It is more interesting that the head of the Republican
parliamentary group is expressing his "personal opinion" and is
uttering the number 75. Can the Republicans express such "responsible"
personal opinions on such matters, even in a joke? After all, such
an opinion could cause concerns and panic in both the so-called
opposition field and the Republican Party.
Because the number of seats is reduced, and competition becomes
tougher, so the probability of being one of the winners becomes lower.
Vahram Baghdasaryan is an experienced participant of the Armenian
administration not to realize the responsibility of such "personal
opinion". He knows very well what reaction his personal opinion may
cause. Hence, it is not ruled out that he is not expressing just a
"personal opinion" but an approach under consideration which is
considered necessary to be published.
Currently, there is one pole in the political field of Armenia and
such considerations will target the government pole. Obviously,
the suggestion on 75 seats may be meant to intensify passions, and
passions must be somehow dealt with. Serzh Sargsyan would hardly take
a step that would stir the opposition. There is no need for extra
efforts in this direction. All that Sargsyan wanted to get from this
opposition at this stage he got through meetings at the president's
office and open letters written earlier.
The issue of the government pole is different. Sargsyan's upcoming
activities are based here because disassembly of the opposite pole is
not enough unless he uses this circumstance for necessary reshuffle in
the Republican Party or the administration needed for gaining maximum
flexibility and autonomy for a reshuffle in the upcoming electoral
stage. It means that Serzh Sargsyan must cause some processes to
mature in this pole, empowering himself with some legitimacy to act.
And when it is announced that the seats in the parliament may be
reduced from 131 to 75, this statement causes more concerns in
the Republican Party rather than the opposition. It is clear that
Sargsyan cannot give all the 75 seats to the Republican Party, which
means that the Republican seats will be reduced, some people will be
deprived of mandates. In other words, the competition will intensify,
hence the aspirants will set to fight for it.
In other words, Serzh Sargsyan actually spurs an early fight for
mandates within the RPA through Vahram Baghdasaryan's statement,
which may be equal to stimulating a miscarriage.
However, it means that Sargsyan needs to take care of his security
in this game. Of course, Gagik Tsarukyan's demonstrative punishment
intended to fight off thoughts of a riot but since more people will
lose this game, resistance will be much stronger.
Perhaps, therefore, Sargsyan has recently announced in his speech
on the Constitution that he has concerns about change of the model
of governance, namely in regard to risks relating to internal and
foreign security and stability. He called to develop a change of the
model of governance, as well as options of improvement of the model.
Interestingly, Serzh Sargsyan is eliminating political hindrances
to his initiative to amend the Constitution, Afterwards, however, he
does not push forward the idea of change of the model of governance
without hindrances but actually puts forward the idea of leaving the
existing model and merely improving it. In addition, the stress is
on the security issue, which is related to administrative powers on
the security agencies.
The improvement of the existing model with such focus means increase
of the role of the security agencies rather than the parliament. It is
going to be the counterweight with the help of which Serzh Sargsyan
will be trying to charge and discharge the RPA, bridling the RPA
after the opposition.
By eliminating PAP Serzh Sargsyan has actually deprived the RPA of
blackmail against it, getting a bigger chance to align the RPA to
his own political plans. So far this party was a governmental stock
exchange where experienced brokers succeeded in administration.
Sargsyan who is facing the issue of leaving as a de jure active player
pursues the strategic goal of closing this exchange to deprive other
players of an opportunity to play after him.
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/33788#sthash.Z9HYGW1t.dpuf