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Putin's New Mediterranean Strategy

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  • Putin's New Mediterranean Strategy

    29.03.2015 Author: F. William Engdahl

    Putin's New Mediterranean Strategy
    Column: Economics
    Region: Russia in the World




    While attention has been focused in recent weeks on the role of Russia
    and President Vladimir Putin in brokering a new ceasefire in eastern
    Ukraine, the Russian president has made time for two crucial state
    missions--one to Cyprus and one to Egypt. What they both share in
    common is a border on the shore of the eastern Mediterranean Sea, a
    strategic body of water whose importance in the escalating NATO
    confrontation with Russia cannot be underestimated.

    For more than 2000 years the Mediterranean Sea has been one of the world's
    most strategic waters. It joins Middle East oil and gas with markets in the
    European Union. It joins Indian Ocean shipping, increasingly from China,
    India, South Korea and the rest of Asia to European markets and to the
    Atlantic Ocean through the Egyptian Suez Canal. It joins the vital Russian
    Black Sea Fleet naval base in Crimea to both the Atlantic and Indian Ocean.
    In brief it connects Europe, Eurasia and Africa.

    With this in mind, let's look at Putin's most recent travels.

    To Cairo

    On February 9 the Russian President met Egypt's President Abdel Fattah
    al-Sisi in Cairo. When al-Sisi as chief of the Egyptian Armed Forces led
    the putsch that ousted Egypt's US-backed Mohamed Morsi and his Muslim
    Brotherhood regime in August 2012, Putin was one of the first to support
    al-Sisi's presidential bid. In August 2014 al-Sisi was invited to meet
    Putin in Moscow as Washington became an open opponent of the Egyptian
    president.

    Few details of the latest Cairo visit are being released but Putin said
    they agreed to boost trade and military cooperation, and Russia has begun
    supplying weapons to Egypt after signing a memorandum. Commercial
    agreements are also expected on Putin's two-day visit, including a likely
    deal between Russian news agency Rossiya Segodnya and Egypt's state-owned
    Al-Ahram newspaper.

    And days following Putin's Cairo meeting with al-Sisi, Russia and Egypt
    signed an agreement to build four advanced Russian nuclear power reactors
    in Egypt. They will be a major boost to Egypt's weak electricity grid and
    power problems
    .

    At the same time al-Sisi announced that Egypt would join Russia's new
    Eurasian Economic Union in the form of a joint Free Trade Agreement. The
    union consists
    of
    Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan and Armenia. It was Ukrainian President Viktor
    Yanukovich's November announcement to the EU that Ukraine would join the
    Eurasian union that triggered the US blatant coup d'etat of Maidan Square.

    Cypriot Jewel in the Sea

    Then two weeks after his Cairo talks on February 25 President Putin
    received Cypriot President Nicos Anastasiades in the Kremlin to discuss a
    variety of mutual issues. Anastasiades took the occasion to criticize the
    European Union's sanctions against Moscow. He declared, "the least I could
    do is visit Russia during these difficult times to assure it that, despite
    this situation, our relations will still develop. Whatever sanctions are
    introduced against Russia, they impact other countries, members of the EU,
    which include my motherland, that in a lot of ways depends on Russia

    ."

    A glance at the map of Cyprus in the eastern Mediterranean shows the jewel
    rich in oil and gas and in a militarily strategic location

    While that may be of future help to Russia against further EU sanctions,
    the heart of the talks involved Cyprus-Russia military cooperation. Here
    Cyprus offered use of its ports to the Russian Navy for certain purposes,
    "to Russian vessels involved in counter-terrorism and anti-piracy efforts
    ."
    The Russian ships will use the Cyprus port of Limassol a civilian port and
    home of some 30,000 to 50,000 Russians, a quarter of the city's population.
    At present Russia's only Mediterranean Naval port rights are at the Syrian
    port of Tartus.

    For his part, with the earlier approval of the Russian Duma, Putin offered
    Cyprus urgently needed debt relief, something not forthcoming from the
    draconian EU since the Cyprus crisis of 2013 when the EU confiscated
    Cypriot bank deposits of more than EURO 100,000 in an involuntary theft as
    condition for a draconian bailout. Hundreds of Russian companies with
    Cypriot offshore headquarters were affected, in retrospect clearly a
    beginning part of the Washington-Brussels strategy to begin weakening
    Putin's Russia. Maidan Square protests in Kiev began six months after the
    Cyprus confiscations.

    This time Putin, despite the financial sanctions and economic warfare of
    the US Treasury's Office of Financial Terrorism (officially called the
    Office of Terrorism and Financial Intelligence), offered Cyprus urgently
    needed debt relief. Russia agreed to restructure a EURO 2.5 billion bailout
    loan it gave to Cyprus in 2011, to cut interest to 2.5% from 4.5% and
    extend debt maturity to 2018-2021 from next year

    .

    Relations between Cyprus and Russia hold far more potential. Cyprus
    recently confirmed huge deposits of offshore oil and especially natural
    gas. Reportedly there are also discussions to invite Gazprom to help
    develop that. It could seriously undercut the US NATO strategy of blocking
    South Stream and other Russian gas routes to the EU.

    The response of the US State Department to the warming Russia-Cyprus
    relations was club-footed to put it mildly. US Ambassador to Cyprus John
    Koenig sent a tweet, which seems to be the main preoccupation of US
    ambassadors lately. It was sent on February 28, just after the murder in
    Moscow of opposition figure Boris Nemtsov: "What do people in Cyprus think
    about the week in Russia as seen from here? Anastasiades visit and
    statements, Nemtsov assassination?" Koenig crassly implied a link with the
    simultaneous visit of Anastasiades to Moscow and the murder of Nemtsov,
    even saying in another tweet that Putin had Nemtsov murdered. The Koenig
    Tweet created a firestorm of protest in Cyprus and his departure as
    ambassador in June was announced by Washington. Koenig apparently often
    Tweets his Kiev colleage, US Ambassador Geoffrey Pyatt, the orchestrator of
    the Ukraine deconstruction along with Nuland
    .

    When the Russia-Cyprus recent talks are analyzed in the context of the
    visit of President Putin to Cairo a fascinating strategic map begins to
    emerge, one that in no way pleases the neo-conservatives in Washington or
    their EU allies. We can expect Washington to work behind the scenes to heat
    frictions between Turkey, a NATO country, and Greek Orthodox Cyprus as well
    as upping pressures on al-Sisi.

    Indeed on February 26 Turkish fighter jets openly violated Greek airspace,
    and announced it was unilaterally staging live fire military exercises the
    month of March in the Aegean, including a large part of the Greek
    international waters and the Greek island of Limnos, heating the
    geopolitical soup

    .

    In Egypt, TV channels controlled by the Obama and CIA-backed Muslim
    Brotherhood leaked video tapes designed to embarrass al-Sisi. The tapes
    purport to expose private telephone discussions of al-Sisi as general, just
    after the 2012 ouster of Morsi and the Brotherhood, discussing how much
    financial aid Morsi was asking of the Gulf Arab allies who backed the
    anti-Brotherhood al-Sisi move. The scandal appears to have fallen flat as
    al-Sisi's popularity in Egypt and support from Gulf Arab leaders appears
    unaffected
    .
    It
    indicates Washington is getting increasingly uncomfortable with Russian
    geopolitics now in the eastern Mediterranean.

    F. William Engdahl is strategic risk consultant and lecturer, he holds a
    degree in politics from Princeton University and is a best-selling author
    on oil and geopolitics, exclusively for the online magazine

    "New Eastern Outlook" .

    First
    appeared:http://journal-neo.org/2015/03/29/putin-s-new-mediterranean-strategy/


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