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  • CIS military structures seen shrinking at DMs' meeting

    Eurasia Daily Monitor, DC
    Jamestown Foundation
    June 29 2005

    CIS MILITARY STRUCTURES SEEN SHRINKING AT DEFENSE MINISTERS' MEETING

    By Vladimir Socor

    Wednesday, June 29, 2005



    Russian Defense Minister Ivanov is chairing the CIS Council of
    Defense Ministers meeting. The Council of Defense Ministers of CIS
    member countries met in a depleted format on June 24 in Dushanbe,
    with Russia's Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov in the chair. The host,
    Tajikistan's President Imomali Rakhmonov, noted the "negative impact
    of disintegration processes" -- a reversal of the ubiquitous Russian
    cliche "integratsionnyie protsessy." Georgia, Moldova, and (as usual)
    Turkmenistan were absent; Ukraine had announced in advance that it
    would downgrade its attendance to that of an observer; and there was
    no clear word regarding Uzbekistan's attendance.

    Rakhmonov aired an unprecedented proposal for creation of
    rapid-deployment forces of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization
    (SCO) for Central Asia, in parallel with the existing
    rapid-deployment structure of the CIS Collective Security Treaty
    Organization (CSTO). As the SCO includes China and Uzbekistan, which
    are not CSTO members, Rakhmonov's proposal may be read either as a
    veiled attempt at balancing the CSTO, or as an implicit
    acknowledgment of the CSTO's ineffectiveness. The Dushanbe meeting
    also discussed inconclusively the issue of drug trafficking from
    Afghanistan, which Ivanov and Rakhmonov termed the main security
    challenge to neighboring countries. All these issues are, in any
    case, beyond the competence of the CIS as such and its Defense
    Ministers' Council.

    The meeting was only able to review the operation of the CIS Joint
    Air Defense System in 2004 and a framework plan for 2006-10. In fact,
    the Dushanbe session -- like the CSTO's summit in Moscow on June 24
    -- highlighted Russia's shift of emphasis from the CIS nonintegrated
    air defense system to an integrated one to be developed within the
    CSTO (see below).

    The meeting approved a six-month extension of the powers of Russia's
    Maj.-General Sergei Chaban as commander of the "CIS peacekeeping
    force in the Georgian-Abkhaz conflict zone." Such extension is
    granted routinely to Russian-appointed holders of that post at
    six-month intervals by the CIS Defense Ministers' forum. In this
    case, the decision demonstrated even more starkly than usual the
    disregard for international law and internal due process in CIS
    bodies. The meeting confirmed Chaban in Georgia's absence. With
    Chaban first appointed in March, the extension was not due for
    routine consideration until September; but, apparently, Moscow is not
    certain whether another CIS defense ministers' meeting can be held
    (or held smoothly) by that time. The fictitious CIS label covers a
    purely Russian force. The CIS has no legal authority to grant
    peacekeeping mandates; even Moscow no longer claims such authority on
    behalf of the CIS, but rather for the CSTO.

    In the meeting's aftermath, Russia's Air Force Commander in Chief,
    General Vladimir Mikhailov, threatened to "smash terrorist bands
    beyond Russia's territory." Specifically, Mikhailov accused Georgia
    of harboring "bandits in that [Pankisi] valley, who can move as they
    please." He dismissed Georgian concerns about violations of its
    airspace by Russian planes with a guffaw: "Fear has big eyes, and
    Georgians think that we are flying over Tbilisi." This latter remark
    seemed to gloat over Georgia's unrequited wish to procure modern
    airspace surveillance equipment (Itar-Tass, June 27). Earlier this
    month, Russia's Federal Security Service anti-terrorism directorate
    chief, Yuri Sapunov, similarly accused Georgia and also Azerbaijan of
    allowing their territories to be used by "international terrorism."

    Mikhailov supervises an ongoing CIS air defense exercise, Combat
    Commonwealth 2005, the first phase of which began on June 24 and is
    scheduled to culminate on July 10. The exercise includes detection
    and firing practice at the Telemba range in Russia's Chita oblast, as
    well as rehearsing coordinated actions of air defense units of
    Kaliningrad-based Russian forces with those of Belarus. The second
    stage and third stages, from July through September, will take place
    in Kazakhstan and at Russia's Ashuluk training range in Astrakhan
    region. Although billed in keeping with tradition as a CIS exercise,
    Combat Commonwealth 2005 in fact involves only CSTO member countries.
    This reflects Russia's just-announced decision to fall back on the
    "core" group CSTO while bypassing or discarding CIS military
    structures, due to the political fragmentation of the CIS.

    Russia hopes to persuade NATO to deal with individual CSTO member
    countries via Moscow, rather than directly. However, most CSTO member
    countries will not willingly accept such a limitation. Armenia does
    not. And, on June 24, Kazakhstan submitted the presentation document
    of its Individual Partnership Action Plan (IPAP) to a meeting of the
    North Atlantic Council in the NATO + Kazakhstan format in Brussels.

    (Itar-Tass, Interfax, June 24-27; Avesta, Kazinform, June 24; see
    EDM, June 24, 28)
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