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  • ANKARA: Turkish columnist views alleged disagreement between premier

    Turkish columnist views alleged disagreement between premier, foreign minister

    Hurriyet web site, Istanbul
    21 Mar 05

    Text of column by Erdal Saglam, "Why is the government deadlocked?",
    published by Turkish daily Hurriyet web site on 21 March

    Although the prime minister, his aides, and other ministers are
    denying it, everybody sees that there has been a standstill lately
    preventing the government from making certain necessary decisions.
    When you talk to them personally, most ministers admit that there is
    such a standstill.

    Business circles are disturbed by the government's inertia although
    they are not saying it openly. The fact that Prime Minister [Recep
    Tayyip] Erdogan is responding sharply to criticisms is deterring
    business organizations from voicing their criticisms openly because
    they do not want to find themselves involved in a public debate.

    Businessmen are saying they could easily tell in recent meetings with
    the prime minister and his close aides that they were demoralized.
    They are saying that all advisers to the prime minister looked
    discouraged and crestfallen. It is being said that some ministers
    have the same air [of discouragement].

    What, then, is responsible for the standstill and the government's
    inertia and discouragement? Actually, Ankara has been asking this
    question frequently and seeking an answer to it for about a month.
    The conjectures proposed as answers to this question mostly refer to
    international relations. It is being said that above all there is a
    defeatist attitude within the [ruling] AKP [Justice and Development
    Party] concerning the EU, that opinion polls conducted by the AKP might
    have yielded results to that effect and that this could have made the
    government indecisive. Some commentators are saying that these polls
    could be one reason why the government has not been taking concrete
    steps concerning the EU.

    Relations with the United States are as much the focus of such
    conjectures as the EU. Political circles are calling attention to
    the fact that the US Administration appears to have adopted a harsher
    attitude towards the ruling AKP and withdrawn its support for it and
    that the United States might have certain major demands from the ruling
    AKP unknown to the public and likely to place the AKP in a difficult
    situation. Among these demands are the opening of the Armenian border
    gate and a more intensive utilization of the Incirlik Air Base.

    However, there are those suspecting that even these demands do not
    explain the defeatist attitude of the government. Certain people who
    believe that there are more important reasons [for the government's
    inertia] are saying that the United States might for example have
    asked that its troops in Iraq be replaced with Turkish troops when
    they are withdrawn sometime in the autumn. It is being pointed out
    that Turkey might have been told that its demands concerning Cyprus
    and Kirkuk [north Iraq] could be met in return. Particularly, this
    idea sounds like a conspiracy theory yet there are quite a number of
    people who say that it might well be true.

    [Foreign Minister Abdullah] Gul acts like prime minister yet...

    Meanwhile, it is being said that intra-party rows are playing a role
    in inducing inertia on the government's part. It is being asserted
    that the party administration is in a fix particularly as regards
    the issue of corruption, that it cannot expel certain people whose
    names appear in dossiers that the party leadership cannot disclose,
    and that for this reason there are disagreements in the party.

    It is also being rumoured that the struggle for power between Prime
    Minister Erdogan and Deputy Prime Minister Abdullah Gul has started to
    build up. Analysts point out that Gul has lately been making frequent
    public appearances and that he is trying to appear to be cooperating
    with the prime minister even as he is saying that the government is
    making mistakes. They say that this long-discussed conflict might
    have grown intense because of the [corruption] dossiers that have
    been compiled.

    Meanwhile, it is noteworthy that Gul is talking like a prime minister
    about all topics from the economy to internal politics. Erdogan's
    close aides were offended for example at the fact that Gul met with
    investors in London last week and discussed the economy. They are
    even criticizing State Minister Ali Babacan who they found out had
    organized the said meeting.

    Those who listened to Gul's speech at the Building Contractor's
    Association last week are saying that while dwelling on every subject
    from relations with the IMF to politics, Gul delivered what was on
    the whole a defensive address. Pointing out that Gul remained on the
    defensive in this speech in order to get across the message that the
    government is not behind schedule, building contractors said that
    Gul failed to present a vision.

    In short, the deadlock in the government is well known while the
    rumoured reasons for it are various.
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