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Newsletter from Mediadialogue.org, date: 22-03-2005 to 29-03-2005

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  • Newsletter from Mediadialogue.org, date: 22-03-2005 to 29-03-2005

    [28-03-2005 'Armenia-Azerbaijan']
    ------------------------------------------------- ---------------------
    PUTIN'S VISIT TO ARMENIA IS A POSITIVE FACTOR FOR AZERBAIJAN
    Source : "Zerkalo" newspaper (Azerbaijan)
    Author: F. Teymurkhanly

    Political scientist Vafa Guluzade does not exclude the possibility for
    liberation of certain occupied territories after this visit.

    It is quite possible that President Vladimir Putin's visit to Yerevan
    was conditioned by the concerns over the `velvet revolution' likely to
    occur in Armenia. Thus, in the conversation with `Zerkalo'
    correspondent, Vafa Guluzade commented on the trip of Head of Russian
    state to Armenia. In his opinion, Russia will totally lose control
    over this country in case these events do happen. The political
    scientist thinks that Russia today is more than ever interested in
    promoting Karabagh conflict settlement. `The point is that Russia is
    seriously concerned over the sweeping `velvet revolution' in
    Kyrgystan. As a logical consequence, the new forces, getting power in
    this country, will conduct their own policy free from Russian
    influence. However, there were some statements that Kyrgystan will
    keep developing friendly relations, however these ties will be built
    on the equality principle", V. Guluzade stated.

    It is for this reason, as V. Guluzade thinks, that Russia has fears
    over the events in Armenia to develop on the scenario common for
    Georgia, Ukraine and Kyrgystan, which in its turn means for official
    Moscow losing its main outpost in the South Caucasus. Alongside this,
    V. Guluzade noted that Putin's attempts for setting a barrier on the
    path of "velvet revolution", likely to reach Armenia sooner or later,
    are doomed to failure. According to the political scientist, Armenia
    realizes that it can hardly afford the services of the `elder
    brother'. `Therefore, Armenians currently aspire to developing
    relations with USA and view the latter as a stronger pillar of
    support", V. Guluzade emphasized.

    Developing this thought, the political scientist noted that after
    Armenia's independence from Russian control, Karabagh conflict will be
    settled. According to V. Guluzade, it is Russia that became initiator
    of the Karabagh conflict that was later frozen, again with the
    involvement of the northern neighbor. "Without Russia, Azerbaijan and
    Armenia will easily come to mutual agreement in Karabagh problem
    settlement', V. Guluzade emphasized.

    In other words, V. Putin's visit to Armenia will not only exclude any
    negative impact on Azerbaijani-Armenian relations but, on the
    contrary, will promote a considerable improvement. V. Guluzade thinks
    that after Putin's meeting with President of Armenia, several occupied
    Azerbaijani districts will be liberated in exchange for opening
    communications. According to the political scientist, Russia will thus
    attempt to keep Azerbaijan and Armenia as allies. However, these
    attempts are domed to fiasco. Answering the question if Putin's trip
    to Armenia is a new twist in the struggle for the South Caucasus in
    the light of Bush's visit to Georgia, V. Guluzade stated that Russia
    is too weak for fighting USA. Supporting his argument, V. Guluzade
    noted that in other case the events in Georgia, Ukraine and Kyrgystan
    would not have occurred. As the political scientist thinks, from a
    global superpower Russia has long been transformed into a regional
    one, therefore its abilities should not be overestimated.

    Thus, President of Russia, Vladimir Putin arrived in Armenia on a two
    day working visit the day before. In the course of Yerevan
    press-conference, Russian President stated that Russia will do its
    best for promoting resolution of Mountainous Karabagh conflict. He
    also expressed hopes that a regular round of negotiations between
    Presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan will soon be held. Head of the
    Russian state informed the journalists that in the course of the
    meeting with President of Armenia Robert Kocharian, regional problems,
    including the process of settlement of Mountainous Karabagh conflict,
    were specially considered. According to Putin, both Russia and
    Armenia are interested in stabilizing the situation in the Caucasus.



    [26-03-2005 'Region']
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------
    NEW INTEGRATION PROJECTS ARE NEEDED, PRESIDENTS OF RUSSIA AND ARMENIA HOLD
    Source : `Golos Armenii' newspaper (Armenia)
    Author: Aris Ghazinian

    The joint press conference of the heads of Armenian and Russian
    states, Robert Kocharian and Vladimir Putin, was held in Yerevan on
    March 25. It could not embrace the whole spectrum of most principle
    issues of bilateral cooperation, apparently due to time limitations
    (it took place two hours later than planned - the Presidents exceeded
    the protocol limits).

    Certainly, similar events do not always allow to `embrace the
    unbounded', however the problematic issues in the sphere of
    Armenian-Russian ties apparently demand official comments. Somehow or
    other, the Year of Russia started in Armenia, which was qualified by
    Vladimir Putin as the best evidence of productive cooperation between
    Yerevan and Moscow.

    `Russian-Armenian relations develop practically in all directions',
    President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin stated on March 25.
    Agreement was reached about further promoting of the participation of
    Armenian and Russian entrepreneurs in investment and privatization
    activity in Armenia. We see significant prospects in the development
    of industrial cooperation in energy and banking spheres'.In the
    context of a greater activation of bilateral economic ties, the Heads
    of Armenia and Russia paid special attention to the fact of starting
    the long-awaited ferriage from `Caucasus' port to the Georgian port of
    Poti on March 25. `Despite the fact that the first cargo, grain, is
    for Georgia, I hope this route will be used for transporting goods to
    Armenia as well', the Russian President noted. `It will open larger
    opportunities for business and will promote strengthening of
    integration processes'.

    On his behalf, President of Armenia Robert Kocharian, stressed the
    importance of running the ferriage, pointed to the necessity of
    working out certain issues of tariff policy as well. Thus, the arrival
    of the first ferry in Poti was conducted in accordance with the
    Agreement on organizing direct railway-ferry communication via the
    ports of Poti and `Caucasus' between the Ministry of Economic
    Development of Georgia and the Ministry of Transport of the Russian
    Federation. Nevertheless, official Yerevan is both an interested and
    de facto negotiating party in this process. The letter of
    congratulation of the Georgian Minister Alexi Alexishvili, addressed
    to his Armenian colleague Andranik Manukian on the same day, March 25,
    is a good evidence of it.

    In the course of Armenian-Russian negotiations on the highest level,
    the Karabagh issue was certainly an issue of discussion. In this
    respect, the heads of the two countries did not state anything
    new. `Russia will do its utmost to solve this problem and hopes for a
    forthcoming meeting and negotiations between Presidents of Armenia and
    Azerbaijan', Vladimir Putin emphasized.

    Though the Karabagh problem has not inspired new ideas with the heads
    of the states, in the aspect of CIS development prospects, they
    proposed quite fresh approaches. `CIS was established for the process
    of USSR disintegration to proceed in a more civilized manner, as softy
    as possible, with minimum losses in economic and humanitarian sphere',
    President of Russia emphasized. `I think CIS never had any top
    priorities, particularly in the sphere of economic integration. If the
    European states worked jointly for integration within European Union,
    CIS was created for a civilized divorce. Herein lies the principle
    difference between these structures, the rest being political babble
    and empty talk. The disappointment comes from high expectations'.

    Robert Kocharian also referred to the futility of such expectations,
    `CIS is definitely not European Union, and we should not really pose
    strong challenges for it. It is rather a good platform for frequent
    meetings on the highest level to solve specific problems. Thus, I
    never miss the chance for dealing with two-three tasks in the course
    of such forums. We should be satisfied with the current stage'.

    In this aspect, heads of Armenia and Russia stressed the necessity for
    developing new, particularly integration and far-reaching projects,
    among which Russian President names Eurasian Economic Society
    (EurAsEC) and the New Economic Space. `They include elements of real
    economic cooperation and set grounds for new and voluntary
    integration', Vladimir Putin noted.

    In the course of the press conference, the recent events in Kyrgystan
    were naturally discussed. Kyrgystan is not only an active participant
    of EurAsEC but also a member of Organization for Collective Security
    Agreement (OCSA) military strategic bloc, including Russia and Armenia
    as members. `The events in Kyrgystan were not unexpected for Russia',
    Vladimir Putin commented on the issue. `It is the result of the
    weakness of the authorities and aggravation of social economic
    problems. It is really a pity that in a country of post-Soviet space,
    political problems are solved through illegal means. We rely on the
    opposition leaders to take the situation under control and stabilize
    it. If Askar Akaev wishes to visit Russia, we will not object'.


    --
    Yerevan Press Club of Armenia presents `MediaDialogue Web Site as a
    Regional Information Hub' project. As a part of the project
    www.mediadialogue.org web site is maintained, featuring the most
    interesting publications from the press of Armenia, Azerbaijan,
    Georgia and Turkey on issues of mutual concern. The latest updates on
    the site are weekly delivered to the subscribers.
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