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  • Forgotten war threatens to reignite

    Aljazeera.net, Qatar
    Aug 5 2006

    Forgotten war threatens to reignite
    By Scott Taylor

    Saturday 05 August 2006, 2:28 Makka Time, 23:28 GMT


    Azerbaijan and Armenia both claim Nagorno-Karabakh

    Hardening positions on the future status of the disputed
    Nagorno-Karabakh region between Armenia and Azerbaijan threaten to
    reignite an ancient conflict.

    Gurhan Iliyev was just a 23-year-old sergeant in the Azerbaijan civil
    defence force when war erupted with Armenia in 1992.

    "We were engaged in heavy fighting with Armenian troops near my home
    village of Lachin when a mortar shell hit my friend~Rs trench. When I
    got to him I saw that his belly had been ripped open by the shrapnel
    and he was screaming in mortal pain. He died in my arms as I tried
    to stuff his intestines back inside him."

    With the international media focused at that time on the break-up of
    the former Yugoslavia and the genocide in Rwanda, this border dispute
    in the Caucasus region garnered very little press coverage.

    Nevertheless it was a brutal clash spanning two years that left 30,000
    killed - mostly civilians - 100,000 wounded and nearly one million
    people ethnically cleansed.

    Armenia and Azerbaijan were both former republics of the Soviet Union
    and formally granted - along with Georgia - their independence with
    the signing of the Tashkent Agreement in May 1992.

    Under the terms of the agreement all three republics were allocated
    the same amount of Soviet military material from which they could
    constitute their own independent armies.

    Disputed territory

    But the transition from Soviet control to full independence was marked
    by bloody warfare over Nagorno-Karabakh - a stretch of mountains
    within Azerbaijan~Rs recognised border where a sizeable Armenian
    minority lived.

    Taking advantage of Azerbaijan's post-independence internal political
    disorder and using the Nagorno-Karabakh Armenians as a pretext,
    the Armenian army entered the territory in 1992.

    "We fought back, but our local defence battalion was short of heavy
    weaponry ~V we had only two tanks and 650 men," explained Iliyev. "The
    Armenians were well-equipped and they were assisted by the Russian 366
    Motorized Rifle Regiment. As a result, we took enormous casualties."

    After completely securing the region, the Armenians continued to push
    into Azerbaijani territory ~V securing not only a land corridor with
    Armenia proper, but also extending into central Azerbaijan to create
    a buffer zone.

    In the wake of the military operations, ethnic Azeri citizens were
    forcibly removed from the newly occupied territories.

    Crisis situation

    Having successfully ousted his political rivals, the then president,
    Heydar Aliyev, was able to solidify his leadership over Azerbaijan in
    1993 and gave orders to create a formal army to deal with the crisis
    situation in Nagorno-Karabakh.

    "We sent letters of invitation to 3,800 ethnic Azeris still serving
    in the Russian Soviet army and 2,600 accepted our offer. They became
    the nucleus of our new military"

    Ramiz Najafov, one of the founders of the Azeri army

    "This was a difficult task to perform as we were already supporting
    the civil defence forces (paramilitaries) who were in the process
    of fighting a war," said Major-General Ramiz Najafov, one of the key
    architects of the fledgling Azerbaijani army.

    "We sent letters of invitation to 3,800 ethnic Azeris still serving
    in the Russian Soviet army and 2,600 accepted our offer. They became
    the nucleus of our new military."

    Within a year the Azeris had managed to train and field six full
    infantry brigades and their deployment to the front reversed the
    Armenian advances.

    The establishment of a balance between the combat forces turned the
    campaign into a stalemate and eventually a ceasefire agreement was
    signed in 1994.

    After the ceasefire, the Armenian forces continued to fortify their
    positions in the occupied Azerbaijani territories and the Azeris
    constructed trenches around the disputed region and the root causes
    for the conflict remained unresolved.

    What had been a little-regarded war would soon become an almost
    completely forgotten, but still simmering, flashpoint.

    Displaced peoples

    In the company of two other Canadian journalists and escorted by
    officials from the foreign ministry, we had been brought to the city
    to observe first-hand the ongoing plight of the nearly 800,000 Azeris
    who were forcibly displaced during the 1992-1994 war.

    "Every IDP is entitled to a monthly ration which includes flour,
    rice, sugar and oil"

    Senan Huseynov, the Azerbaijani director for refugees

    At the Saatly train station in southern Azerbaijan sits a 4-km long
    stretch of old railway boxcars, which still serve as temporary homes
    for some 2,000 Azeri internally displaced persons (IDPs).

    There is minimal privacy afforded by the fact that, on average,
    two families share a single boxcar. Despite 14 years of continuous
    residence, there are still few creature comforts beyond the basic
    necessities available.

    "Every IDP is entitled to a monthly ration which includes flour, rice,
    sugar and oil," explained Senan Huseynov, the Azerbaijani director for
    refugees. "On top of that they receive an allowance of 30,000 Manats
    ($6.50) per month to purchase meat and other foodstuffs."

    In addition to the Saatly boxcar compound we visited a camp of crudely
    constructed mud brick houses, in which approximately 10,000 residents
    lived. The standard layout for those small shelters is three tiny rooms
    totalling 240 square feet of space and housing up to seven people.

    The luckiest of the IDPs are now being relocated into custom-built
    compounds complete with community centres and medical centres.

    Virtual limbo

    But with no real means of employment or proposed developments, the
    displaced Azeris remain in limbo - political pawns in a political
    process that has been bogged down for the past 12 years.

    When the 1994 ceasefire was first brokered, the Organisation of
    Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) established the Minsk Group
    to oversee and monitor the agreements.

    To date the United Nations has passed a total of four resolutions
    calling upon the Armenians to withdraw their military forces from the
    occupied territories as a first step to resolving the Nagorno-Karabakh
    situation.

    The second phase of the resolutions is the immediate resettlement
    of the IDPs into their former homes. But with no threat of any
    international military force being deployed to enforce these
    resolutions, the Armenians have refused to pull back their forces.

    Fact-finding missions and OSCE reports continually cite the fact
    that the Armenians continue to destroy existing Azeri infrastructures
    while building their own facilities inside the occupied territories
    in flagrant violation of the ceasefire agreement.

    Roadblocks

    One of the key roadblocks to achieving a diplomatic settlement to
    the crisis is the fact that Azerbaijan and Armenia refuse to budge
    on their positions concerning a referendum on the future state of
    Nagorno-Karabakh.

    The Armenians want any decision on self-determination to be limited
    to the residents of the region. If the Azeris are returned to the area
    prior to such a vote, the Armenians would still represent approximately
    a three to one majority in Nagorno-Karabakh.

    The Azerbaijani position is that any such referendum must be decided
    by all 8.5 million residents of the country, who would certainly
    reject any separation of the territory.

    Elmar Mammadyarov, the foreign minister, recently conceded that
    Azerbaijan would grant Karabakh the "highest level of autonomy in
    exchange for an immediate withdrawal". However, the Minsk Group has
    grown frustrated with the lack of any real progress.

    "They are not out purchasing attack helicopters right now, but if they
    start to do that we'll know they~Rre serious about settling this by
    forceful means"

    A Baku-based diplomat

    In a statement released last month, US co-chairman Matthew Bryza
    chided both the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents for their failure
    to make any key concessions.

    In response to the OSCE report, Aliyev resorted to sabre-rattling
    with the statement that he remains "committed to peace, but he cannot
    accept the current situation [of Armenian occupation]".

    Upping the ante

    To up the political ante, Azerbaijan has recently embarked on a
    massive military build up.

    "By next year we will have doubled our defence budget up to a total
    of $1.2 billion," said Major-General Najafov. "We will be spending
    the equivalent of the entire Armenian federal budget just on defence."

    While such a build-up will certainly change the regional strategic
    balance, international observers say that this posturing is a long
    way from fruition.

    "Most of the money being spent is to increase their own salaries,
    not to add to their tactical capability," said one Baku-based diplomat.

    "They are not out purchasing attack helicopters right now, but if they
    start to do that we~Rll know they're serious about settling this by
    forceful means."

    http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exer es/9FCDE7FD-47A8-4A72-93FE-10A85BBD6575.htm
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