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  • Kocharyan's return devises ways

    Haykakan Zhamanak, Armenia
    Aug 15 2008



    Kocharyan's return devises ways

    by Lusine Barseghyan


    Four months after leaving his office, [former Armenian President]
    Robert Kocharyan does not intend to leave government summerhouses.

    [Passage omitted: The paper says that Prosecutor-General Aghvan
    Hovsepyan and the leader of the governing coalition member Prosperous
    Armenia Party, businessman Gagik Tsarukyan, often visit Kocharyan in
    the summerhouses and that President Serzh Sargsyan has to spend his
    weekends at his private summerhouse in Tsaghkhadzor, a resort town in
    Kotayk Region due to this.]

    While Kocharyan does not hurry to go out of government summerhouses,
    the talk about his return to politics has intensified concurrently,
    especially over the last days. Well-informed sources say that [the
    former chief of the State Protection Service and] the head of
    Kocharyan's bodyguards, Grigoriy Sargsyan, announced to a limited
    number of people recently that he would resume work some time
    again. There are reports that Kocharyan's wife, Bella Kocharyan, also
    spoke about her husband's return to politics to close
    friends. According to our information, Mrs Bella said that her husband
    is very concerned about the situation in the country and is going to
    return. By the way, this is expected to happen in September.

    While these conversations are going on, scenarios of Kocharian's
    possible return are being discussed behind the scenes. According to
    one of the scenarios, current Parliament Speaker Tigran Torosyan is to
    resign regardless of his will, [head of the presidential staff] Hovik
    Abrahamyan is to become parliament speaker, and then start opening up
    "the way" for Kocharyan's return. According to this scenario, Prime
    Minister Tigran Sargsyan is the next one to resign, and Kocharyan will
    replace him. The scenario goes on as follows - [Armenian President]
    Serzh Sargsyan resigns and a new presidential election is announced,
    and Kocharyan tries to become president. The feasibility of this
    scenario is a topic of separate discussions, but it does exist.

    Moreover, according to reliable information, Kocharyan said in a
    private conversation in his own lexicon that he will throw out Tigran
    Sargsyan. Kocharyan's circle is also thinking about establishing a new
    party, which will be comprised of [former Foreign Mistier] Vardan
    Oskanyan, [former Minister of Justice] Davit Harutyunyan and other
    persons, who had been destroying Armenia for 10 continuous years.

    Incidentally, it cannot be ruled out that Kocharyan will try to become
    prime minister via the Prosperous Armenia Party. Anyway, there was
    serious talk about this some time ago. All these rumblings and talks
    show that Serzh Sargsyan does not control the situation at all (the
    fact that it is aggravating can be seen even in the official
    statistics); internal gaps in the government are widening with time;
    the opposition is strengthening its positions and has tendencies to
    become even stronger.

    Of course, people close to Serzh Sargsyan say that Hovik Abrahamyan,
    who is considered to be, so to say, Kocharyan's man, will not become
    parliament speaker, that he will continue to be an ordinary MP and
    that they will not tolerate Serzh Sargsyan's being a "pawn", and will
    not allow Kocharyan to return. However, there is no doubt that Serzh
    Sargsyan's positions are terribly weak and that, in fact, Robert
    Kocharyan continues to govern Armenia secretly.

    Yesterday [14 August] we tried to find out the attitude of the
    coalition forces to Kocharyan's possible return. The secretary of the
    Prosperous Party of Armenia parliamentary faction, Aram Safaryan, said
    he believes that Kocharyan's return is absolutely probable. However,
    he cannot imagine how that can occur. "But today's political
    situations does not make it possible for this to occur spontaneously,"
    Safaryan said. Safaryan ruled out the abovementioned scenario of the
    return, without giving reasons.

    An old member of the [ruling] Republican Party of Armenia [RPA], who
    is also the chairman of the financial-budget parliamentary commission,
    Gagik Minasyan, got nervous about the topic of Kocharyan's possible
    return. "I have not heard of this," he said. While answering our
    question about his attitude to the scenario of Kocharyan's first
    becoming prime minister and then president, he said: "Go and ask those
    who discuss this. I have heard nothing like that."

    Anyway, will the RPA welcome Kocharyan's return to politics or not?
    Minasyan said: "That's why I told you - ask those who discuss
    this. How can I express an opinion if I don't discuss this? We will
    discuss that when it is decided."

    A member of the [coalition] Armenian Revolutionary Federation -
    Dashnaktsutyun, Vahan Hovhannesyan, said that they have no information
    about Kocharyan's return and cannot provide any comments. "We will
    decide when he decides to return," Hovhannesyan said. When we asked
    whether Vahan Hovhannesyan thinks that Kocharyan's return is probable,
    he said after thinking for a few seconds: "Why not."

    The head of the [coalition] Orinats Yerkir [Law-Governed Country]
    Party parliamentary faction, Heghine Bisharyan, said in connection
    with Kocharyan's return: "If there is such information, then the
    person himself decides what to do. We will provide an assessment when
    he comes."

    The coordinator of the [opposition] Popular Movement, Levon Zurabyan,
    said yesterday [14 August] that they hold no opinion regarding
    Kocharyan's possible return to politics, because they don't even
    consider such a possibility. While answering to our comment that this
    idea is being actively discussed behind the scenes, Zurabyan said:
    "There can be talk even about the existence of a fly on the Mars." As
    for the abovementioned scenario of Kocharyan's return, Zurabyan said:
    "We do not analyze the calculation of these small combinations at
    all."

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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