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BAKU: Azeri Analyst Warns Against Concessions To Armenia

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  • BAKU: Azeri Analyst Warns Against Concessions To Armenia

    AZERI ANALYST WARNS AGAINST CONCESSIONS TO ARMENIA

    Ekho
    July 22 2008
    Azerbaijan

    "They want to include Azerbaijan in the 'bandwagon' of preliminary
    concessions to Armenia?"

    Another meeting between the foreign ministers of Azerbaijan and
    Armenia, Elmar Mammadyarov and Edvard Nalbandyan, within the framework
    of the Prague negotiations process for a peaceful settlement of the
    Nagornyy Karabakh conflict will take place in Moscow on 1 August, the
    press secretary of the Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry, Xazar Ibrahim,
    said yesterday [21 July]. He added that the meeting was proposed by
    the co-chairs of the OSCE Minsk Group.

    "Currently the talks are conducted on the basis of the Madrid proposals
    of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs," Xazar Ibrahim said. According to
    him, the discussions in Moscow will be carried out in the context of
    Azerbaijan's territorial integrity and the 14 March 2008 UN General
    Assembly Resolution "On the situation in the occupied territories
    of Azerbaijan".

    One day before, on 31 July, OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs Bernard Fassier
    (France), Matthew Bryza (USA) and Yuriy Merzlyakov (Russia) plan to
    have a meeting between themselves and then separate meetings with the
    Azerbaijani and Armenian foreign ministers, Matthew Bryza has told the
    media. He added that on 1 August the co-chairs plan to have a joint
    meeting with Mammadyarov and Nalbandyan. He also added that precise
    details of the forthcoming negotiations have yet to be worked out.

    [Passage omitted: The chairman of the Parliamentary Assembly of the
    Council of Europe recently visited Azerbaijan and Armenia]

    "To be frank, the veil of mystery that surrounded a surge of
    activity related to Matthew Bryza's remarks, hints by co-chairs,
    changed rhetoric of Armenian decision-makers has now been partially
    opened," well-known political analyst Rasim Agayev said. "And then it
    becomes clear that under pressure from the West a serious progress in
    Turkish-Armenian relations is about to be made. There is now talk of
    opening the border. This is a serious decision on the part of Turkey
    and can be considered a significant achievement of the Armenian
    diplomacy, if this happens."

    "And now it becomes clear that inspired by this manoeuvre the Western
    strategists who closely follow, including with the mediation of
    co-chairs, the conduct of the leaders of the conflicting South Caucasus
    countries would like to build on this success with regard to Armenia
    and Azerbaijan," the expert said. "Perhaps not now, but in the near
    future Azerbaijan will come under certain pressure to agree to some
    concessions in terms of establishing relations, to some diplomatic
    deals or progress to this end, opening the railway communications with
    Armenia before it agrees to do anything concerning the settlement of
    the conflict. It is all because since the times of Richard Kauzlarich
    [US ambassador to Azerbaijan in 1994- 97] the West and USA put the
    question this way - it is necessary to start economic cooperation
    and then Armenia will see how promising this is and then somehow the
    Karabakh issue will be resolved by itself."

    "Azerbaijan has to warn its ally [Turkey] not to open its border
    before Armenia takes real steps that confirm its peacefulness, desire
    to settle the conflict and agreement to renounce aggressive ideas
    and territorial claims," Rasim Agayev said.
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