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ANKARA: The Foreign Policy Panorama

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  • ANKARA: The Foreign Policy Panorama

    THE FOREIGN POLICY PANORAMA

    Zaman Online
    July 26 2008
    Turkey

    Turkey's foreign and domestic policies are going through a colorful
    period nowadays. There is a process of reconstruction taking place, and
    this troubled period will continue until the advent of a new balance
    of power. This exhausting climate makes it very hard to perceive links
    between diverging events -- however, it also offers the excitement
    of witnessing the establishment of the world's new balance of power.

    Since last year, Turkey has chosen to strengthen its strategic
    partnership with the US, following a long period of tension caused by
    the Iraq war and the US policy on northern Iraq. As a consequence of
    this choice, Turkey was able to play a critical role in reintroducing
    Syria to the international system, by preparing the groundwork
    for Israel-Syria negotiations. The Israeli-Syrian relationship
    can also contribute to a resolution of the Lebanese and Palestinian
    questions. Within this context, Turkey has also developed its relations
    with the Gulf states in order to widen the regional "circle of peace."

    Through several high-level official visits to Baghdad, Turkey showed
    that it was willing to play a role in incorporating Iraq into the
    international system, and has promised to maintain peaceful relations
    with northern Iraq. In other words, Turkey has become the stimulator
    of the Israel-Syria-Iraq relationship. It's also a known fact that
    Turkey was backstage during the Geneva process. There, it was proposed
    that Iran pursue its ties with "the West" through Turkey. Let's hope
    that this situation doesn't harm the Turkey-Iran relationship per se.

    On the other hand, Turkey recently abandoned its classic attitude on
    the Cyprus issue. Turkey supports the UN-brokered initiatives aiming to
    establish a "single state of two societies" model, and helps maintain
    negotiations between the two sides of the island. This positive
    approach was demonstrated by the opening of the Lokmacı gate. Despite
    the domestic opposition's pressure, which claims the island was "sold"
    to the Greeks, the Turkish government has taken a great risk and has
    supported Turkish Cypriot President Mehmet Ali Talat's positions.

    It appears that the current time is also the period of a turning
    of relations with Armenia. There was already an effort made at
    establishing dialogue, as demonstrated by the invitation of President
    Abdullah Gul to Yerevan to watch a football game. It's the first
    time in many years that there is a credible chance of establishing
    diplomatic relations between the two neighbors. Let's hope for some
    progress on this matter.

    When the current situation is thoroughly analyzed, one can state
    that Turkey has endorsed a facilitator role to help its regional
    partners normalize their relations with "the West." However problems
    remain concerning Turkey's own "Westernization" efforts. Turkey is
    amid a turbulent period in domestic political life and also has a
    normalization problem with Europe. While several of Turkey's neighbors
    plus the US prepare conditions allowing Turkey to make an approach
    toward Europe, some European countries try to limit Turkey to its
    own region. In fact, the durability of the above-mentioned positive
    atmosphere will only be assured if Turkey stays on the EU track.

    It's obvious that some European countries are disturbed by Turkey's
    renewed relations with its neighbors and its efforts to "carry"
    them to the West. Maybe they have understood that the relations
    in the Mediterranean/Black Sea/Middle East axis will be normalized
    under the US's auspices, and all this with Turkey's contribution. If
    we are not wrong, this means that these European countries still
    haven't reached a decision about Russia, the US or the EU's political
    future. Nevertheless, things are advancing very rapidly, and there is
    no time for indecisiveness. Those who are still indecisive may suddenly
    find themselves in a situation that necessitates urgent decisions.

    --Boundary_(ID_MG/DpCz6GiNjqjU1fwpFHw) --
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