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Recognition A Lonely Exercise For Moscow

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  • Recognition A Lonely Exercise For Moscow

    RECOGNITION A LONELY EXERCISE FOR MOSCOW
    By Nabi Abdullaev / Staff Writer

    The Moscow Times
    Sept 5 2008
    Russia

    Ten days after Russia recognized South Ossetia and Abkhazia as
    independent states, the only other country to have followed suit as
    of Thursday was that Cold War battlefield of the 1980s: Nicaragua.

    Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega's announcement this week of his
    Central American nation's recognition of the breakaway Georgian regions
    was a "pleasant surprise," a Foreign Ministry spokesman said Thursday.

    Closer to home, however, Russia's allies among former Soviet republics
    have remained reticent on the issue.

    The Collective Security Treaty Organization, a Russia-led alliance of
    seven former Soviet republics that Moscow hopes will evolve into a
    full-fledged military bloc, issued a statement Thursday criticizing
    Georgia's military campaign -- which was crushed by Russia -- but
    making no mention of the Kremlin's recognition of South Ossetia
    and Abkhazia.

    Their silence on recognition could change Friday, when the heads of the
    alliance's member states -- Belarus, Armenia, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan,
    Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan -- are to meet in Moscow for a summit.

    But so far it's just Managua, where the socialist leader was actively
    supported by the Soviet Union three decades ago. Ortega on Tuesday
    announced that his country would back independence for the rebel
    regions.

    "This was a pleasant surprise," Foreign Ministry spokesman Igor
    Lyakin-Frolov said.

    He added that Moscow was not pressuring other governments on the
    issue and took a swipe at the United States to make his point.

    "We, unlike the United States, give every country a chance to make
    its own decision," Lyakin-Frolov said.

    Nicaraguan Deputy Foreign Minister Manuel Coronel Kautz told
    RIA-Novosti on Thursday that his ministry is drawing up the documents
    to recognize the regions and will send them to the parliament for
    ratification.

    Following Moscow's Aug. 26 recognition of Abkhaz and South Ossetian
    independence, expectations ran high that at least some of the Moscow's
    allies -- above all Belarus -- would follow suit and not leave Moscow
    on its own.

    Belarussian President Alexander Lukashenko has supported Moscow in
    the conflict with Georgia, telling President Dmitry Medvedev in
    an Aug. 28 letter that Russia had no choice but to recognize the
    separatist republics.

    But a Belarussian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman said by telephone from
    Minsk on Thursday that the letter "does not exactly mean that Belarus
    is recognizing them."

    She said her ministry had so far received no presidential order to
    begin the process of recognizing their independence.

    Back in Nicaragua's neighborhood, Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez
    said on Aug. 30 that Russia was "right" to support independence for
    the two regions.

    But there have been no reports that Venezuela, to whom Russia has
    sold $3.5 billion worth of arms in recent years, would also offer
    recognition, despite the close personal ties Chavez has developed
    with Prime Minister Vladimir Putin.

    Meanwhile, Russia last week attempted -- and failed -- to win support
    from its Central Asian allies on Abkhaz and South Ossetian independence
    at Shanghai Cooperation Organization in Tajikistan.

    The organization offered only a general defense of Russia's actions
    in the Caucasus.

    Analysts said it was unrealistic for Medvedev to expect the
    organization, in which China plays a leading role, to support Moscow's
    position on independence given Beijing's own concerns over its own
    separatist Tibet and Xinjiang provinces.

    Furthermore, most former Soviet republics are being courted intensely
    by the United States, which is offering massive investment and
    political backing as they integrate into the global economy.

    The Kremlin might be better off looking for support not only among
    its traditional former Soviet allies, but also among countries at
    odds with the United States, said Sergei Mikheyev, an analyst with
    the Center for Political Technologies.

    Belarus, Venezuela and Syria would fit the bill, Mikheyev said.
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