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Fitch Downgrades Armenia's IDR Rating To 'BB'-

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  • Fitch Downgrades Armenia's IDR Rating To 'BB'-

    FITCH DOWNGRADES ARMENIA'S IDR RATING TO 'BB'-

    ARKA
    Aug 14, 2009

    YEREVAN, August 14, /ARKA/.Fitch Ratings has downgraded on August
    13 Armenia's long-term foreign and local currency Issuer Default
    Ratings (IDR) to 'BB-' from 'BB'. The Outlooks are Stable. According
    to fitchratings.ru website, the agency has also downgraded the Country
    Ceiling to 'BB' from 'BB+' and affirmed the short-term foreign currency
    IDR at 'B'."

    Despite a strong policy response supported by the international
    community, the severity of the shock has materially weakened Armenia's
    credit fundamentals and medium-term prospects," said Andrew Colquhoun,
    Director in Fitch's Sovereigns Group. "Unlocking Armenia's economic
    potential and restoring strong and sustained growth necessary to
    reduce poverty and raise incomes will be much harder as a result of
    the crisis."

    The Stable Outlook reflects Fitch's assessment that the near-term
    risks to macroeconomic and financial stability are relatively
    low given the policy response and support from the international
    financial community. Armenia's 'BB-' ratings remain supported by
    still moderate levels of public and external indebtedness and a more
    favorable business environment than many 'BB' rated peers. However,
    the severity of the shock - Armenia's economy is estimated to have
    shrunk 16.3% year-on-year in the first half of 2009 - underscores the
    narrow base of economic activity, exposure to economic volatility in
    Russia in particular and very limited financing flexibility.

    The re-dollarisation of bank deposits also highlights the damage the
    crisis has wrought to the efforts of the authorities in recent years
    to increase confidence in the Armenian dram.

    In 2006, June Armenia received an international credit rating for
    the first time. Fitch assigned it a lower 'BB-' sovereign credit
    rating indicating a relatively high risk of doing business, as the
    economy remained vulnerable to shocks due to its high degree of
    dollarization, underdeveloped financial services and low value-added
    economic activity. Armenia also received the short-term foreign
    currency IDR at 'B' and a Country Ceiling at 'BB-'.

    In 2008 July Fitch upgraded Armenia's long-term foreign and local
    currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) from 'BB-' to 'BB' and changed
    the outlooks from positive to stable.

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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