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  • Social Outbreak Possible

    SOCIAL OUTBREAK POSSIBLE

    A1+
    [07:07 pm] 05 February, 2009

    For some unknown reason, the Euro exchange rate goes down, while the
    dollar remains the same during this global economic meltdown.

    "It is senseless to find logic when discussing any process taking place
    in Armenia because only subjective factors are at work. Somebody makes
    the decision," told "A1+" economist, former head of the Central Bank
    Bagrat Asatryan. According to him, the fixed dollar rate is kept at
    305 drams, while the Euro goes along with the processes taking place
    in the global market.

    Why did they decide to keep the dollar rate stable? In response,
    Bagrat Asatryan said:

    "They're not thinking ahead. The Armenian economy has traditionally
    used the foreign exchange rate, although a large part of our foreign
    trade is in Euros."

    The National Assembly and the government don't plan to revise the
    budget. Why aren't they doing what other countries find necessary?

    "First of all, they are certain that they will implement all programs
    and secondly, they don't care about the budget thinking that it is
    not going to have an effect," said Bagrat Asatryan. Former head of
    the Central Bank thinks that a social outbreak is possible in an
    unfavorable political situation like the one in Armenia.

    The country was faced with a social-economic crisis in the 90s too, but
    back then people overcame that crisis because, according to experts,
    they had expectations, there was confidence, but that turned into
    distrust in the government.

    "Now we see apathy and anger conditioned by the political
    situation. Before, people found the solution by moving to a foreign
    country. Now, Armenia is turning into a closed sector where the steam
    is rising and a way out of the situation is change of power through
    normal elections. Our authorities did not consider that a way out
    of the situation and told people that they had to cope with their
    government, plus the murders of last year. The denial of the existence
    of one sector, keeping hundreds of people locked up in jail-these
    are the factors that prepare grounds for extreme manifestations,"
    told "A1+" Bagrat Asatryan.
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