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BAKU: Most Experts Believe Russia Delivers Ammo To Armenia: Poll

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  • BAKU: Most Experts Believe Russia Delivers Ammo To Armenia: Poll

    MOST EXPERTS BELIEVE RUSSIA DELIVERS AMMO TO ARMENIA: POLL

    Trend News Agency
    Jan 14 2009
    Azerbaijan

    A range of media sources released an information about Russia has
    delivered ammunition to Armenia from the Russian 102nd military unit
    in Gumru with cost $800 million.

    Russian Ambassador to Azerbaijan Vasiliy Istratov was invited to the
    Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry on Jan. 13. Russia's Defense Ministry
    dismissed reports that $800 million in ammunition was delivered
    to Armenia

    - What is your attitude to the information that Russia delivered
    ammunition to Armenia?

    Trend News correspondents turned to experts and political scientists
    for comments on the mater.

    MP Asim Mollazade, Chairman of the Democratic Reforms Party of
    Azerbaijan:

    - The refutation by the Russian Ministry of Defense causes
    contradiction to the management of the second Russian contingent
    in Armenia that stated that the ammunition was delivered under the
    bilateral agreement, including the list of ammunition, i.e. the exact
    number of tanks, APCs and artillery mounts.

    There is nothing new. In the mid of 1990s an illegal transmission of
    ammunition was carried out. And official agencies were not informed
    about it. Today the situation is repeated. Russia provides Armenia with
    armament in fact. Russia turned Armenia to a military unit. Armenia
    is Russia's key arm in the region.

    Today Armenia's policy is the main factor hindering the development of
    the region. Russia, being the co-chairman of the Minsk Group, assists
    in settling of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and, on the other hand,
    arms one of the conflicting sides.

    I think that Azerbaijan should rise the issue in international
    organizations, and especially in the OSCE.

    Svante Cornell, Caucasus Institute Research Director:

    -The ammunition delivery once more proves that Russia remains Armenia's
    ally. This is not new, as Russia and Armenia have cooperated during
    the history. In 1990s Russia has already delivered $1 billion in
    ammunition to Armenia. Sometimes Russia wants to attract Azerbaijan
    to itself by possible settling of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.

    We must understand that Russia has huge investments in Armenia and the
    Kremlin carries out pro-Armenian policy in the South Caucasus. If the
    information about Russia's ammunition deliveries to Armenia is proved,
    then Azerbaijan will have to re-consider its relations with Russia.

    Russian MP Gennadiy Gudkov, Deputy Chairman of the Duma Security
    Committee:

    - This is the attempt to play anti-Russian map. I can accurately spay
    about the position of Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Defence
    Ministry. We occupy neutrality in this issue. Even when the issue about
    withdrawal of Russian troops from Georgia was being solved, and many
    spoke that Russia would deliver weapon and armaments e directly to
    Armenia - this did not occur. Russia waits, when the sides of conflict
    - Armenia and Azerbaijan - negotiated agreement, and the country will
    be ready ensure the guaranty of this agreement to both republics.

    Russia will never realize ammunition deliveries to Armenia damaging
    safety of Azerbaijan and vice versa, because Russia is not interested
    in retention of tension in the Caucasus region, especially in
    repetition of armed conflict between two former brother republics.

    I think that this of weft, but I do not think that it appeared
    randomly. Such rumours periodically were thrown to the information
    field, and it seems to me that this is the sequential attempt
    to complicate the Russia- Azerbaijan relations. I think that such
    attempts to provoke worsening in the relations between our countries
    will continue, we would relate to this issue quietly, by giving
    proper rebuff and by preserving constant course on the development
    of relations between Azerbaijan and Russia.

    Tofig Abbasov, expert of Lider media holding analytical group Lider:

    - The freelance visit of Russia's ambassador to the Foreign Ministry of
    Azerbaijan is not groundless. The confirmation of the new deal between
    Moscow and Yerevan is the fact that the Russian side takes unawares and
    is covered by the curtain of "inter-governmental agreement", when has
    not yet set the final point in the settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh
    conflict. In this case, Moscow roused Yerevan to again roughly violate
    the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (CFE), and to also
    ignore quotas for the armaments, established by the corresponding
    reports of the United Nations.

    This incident must be considered in the context of the last
    peacemaking initiatives of Russia, which attempted to be affirmed as
    the determining force in the post-Soviet territory.

    The shady Russian armament deliveries to Armenia, under whatever
    pretext they were realized, will negatively affect the fate of
    Azerbaijani-Russian co-operation agreements, and also will make
    it necessary for Baku to re-consider its views on the prospect in
    light of expectations, which were connected with the energy sector,
    transport and telecommunications.

    Sergey Markov, Russian MP, director of Political Studies Institute:

    - I think that the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict can be resolved in a
    more successfully peaceful way. The matter is that within the peace,
    Azerbaijan is considerably stronger than Armenia.

    Certainly, delivering Russian arms will negatively affect the
    Russian-Azerbaijani relations. I have not detailed information the
    recent delivery of the Russian arms to Armenia, but this event is not
    some extraodinary. We know well that Russia repeatedly transferred
    the armaments to Armenia, including fulfilling its some obligations.

    Senan Ogan, director of Turkish-based TURKSAM studies center:

    - This is not news that Russia arms Armenia. There are many facts
    that Russia arms not only Armenia, but also, for example, Greek Cyprus.

    This fact is especially dangerous now, since after August war in
    Georgia this can break balance in the region. It needs to take into
    account that an agreement on military reconciliation was signed between
    Armenia and Azerbaijan, but this does not mean that in reality there
    is peace between them.

    Despite that Russia was against the armament of Georgia by the West,
    now Moscow itself pursues this policy with respect to Caucasus. This
    fact destroys the hopes of Turkey for peace in the region.

    Rashad Rzaguliyev, president of Azerbaijani-based Social Researches
    Fund:

    - Undoubtedly, Russia's supply of arm and ammunition in amount of $800
    million to Armenia is an unpleasant fact for Azerbaijan. However, it is
    possible to make certain conclusions. Russia will increase its military
    presence in the region, having demonstratively answered the signing of
    not less demonstrative American-Georgian agreement. The opposition of
    Russia and the USA in the region will present numerous surprises to us.

    The events force Azerbaijan to use the entire political-diplomatic
    potential to ensure the format of national security fully. I do
    not think that sharp worsening in the Azerbaijan-Russian relations
    looming at the horizon, but undoubtedly certain tension appeared,
    of which it is necessary to regret only.

    R.Agayev (Moscow), R.Hafizoglu, B.Hasanov (Baku) contributed to
    the article.
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