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CIS: Reek Of War

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  • CIS: Reek Of War

    CIS: REEK OF WAR
    Yuri Simonjan

    WPS Agency
    DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
    July 1, 2009 Wednesday
    Russia

    TENSION IS MOUNTING IN THE RELATIONS BETWEEN NEIGHBORS IN THE
    COMMONWEALTH; Tension is mounting all over the Commonwealth.

    It will probably be worth it to take a look at the last week horoscope
    which must have spelled something like aggressive Mars for the
    Commonwealth. Tension mounted all over the Commonwealth last week.

    Another quarrel between Moscow and Minsk escalated into a dairy and
    gas trade war.

    Armenia and Azerbaijan once again blamed each other for the lack of
    resolve to settle the matter of Nagorno-Karabakh and proceeded to
    fling militant rhetoric at their neighbors. Baku said it was ready
    for a military solution to the territorial dispute. Yerevan reiterated
    by promising to give it hell if it came to that.

    The Georgian media featured numerous pieces on the Russian attack
    allegedly being prepared. All these pieces were focused on the Russian
    military exercise in the Caucasus. Parallels with the events a year
    ago were drawn by Georgian newspapers and TV channels and their
    Western analogs. Even the respectable The Times reported another
    Russian-Georgian war inevitable.

    Tension in Central Asia, a region not known for precipitation, mounted
    gradually but mount it did. Everything began with mysterious explosions
    in Andijan and Khanabad. The Uzbek authorities ran an investigation,
    condemned the explosions as terrorist acts, and set out to reinforce
    the state border with Kyrgyzstan claiming that terrorists must have
    come from this country.

    Bishkek was offended and indignant. At first, Kyrgyzstan made a
    statement to the effect that there were not, nor had there ever been
    any religious extremists on its territory. Later that week, however,
    it began moving the best trained units of the regular army south. No
    wonder. A bona fide battle took place in Jalalabad. Some servicemen
    of the regular army and five Islamic radicals perished.

    Tajikistan's turn came after that. Forty Salaphites (followers
    of a radical school of Islam) with their religious leader were
    arrested there. According to what information is available, arrests
    in Tajikistan continue. Veterans of the civil war (1992-1997) rally
    the youth in hamlets high in the mountains. Last week-end, official
    Dushanbe celebrated another anniversary of the signing of the national
    peace and consent treaty. The celebration notwithstanding, Tajikistan
    and the region in general appear to be in trouble.
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