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Nabucco No Longer A 'Pipe Dream' Following Landmark Accord

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  • Nabucco No Longer A 'Pipe Dream' Following Landmark Accord

    NABUCCO NO LONGER A 'PIPE DREAM' FOLLOWING LANDMARK ACCORD

    Georgian Business Week
    July 20 2009

    As governments inked their names to the Trans-Caucasus Nabucco
    pipeline project last week in Turkey, Georgia's economic sector is
    looking forward to the prospect of cheaper energy which could spur
    stronger investment in the country.

    "We are witnessing the launch of a very significant project," Georgian
    Economy Minister Lasha Zhvania told Georgian reporters. "It will give
    Georgia gas at an affordable price, allowing the government to lower
    consumer gas prices. So this will bring a relief to people and on
    the other hand will be a good reason for foreign investors to come
    and start businesses here."

    The prime ministers of Austria, Bulgaria, Hungary, Romania and Turkey
    signed the Intergovernmental Agreement over the Nabucco energy pipeline
    on July 13. The much-anticipated project would provide Europe with
    an alternative route for energy resources from the Caspian Sea region.

    Turkey's capital city played host to the event, which brought together
    representatives from 30 countries, including Georgian President
    Mikheil Saakashvili.

    Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan said he expects the
    project will be a "success story," despite some critics dismissing
    the 7.9b EUR project as "a pipe dream."

    While highly important economically for the transit countries,
    the 3,300km project bears mostly a political significance for the
    destination point - Europe's consumer market. That's because the
    pipeline will allow transportation of Caspian natural gas circumventing
    Russia, which used gas transit as a political weapon in the past.

    The pipeline would run from the Caspian Sea through Turkey to Europe's
    energy market crossing Georgia, Turkey, Bulgaria, Hungary, Romania
    and Austria.

    The project is supported by the European Union, seeking an ease from
    the Russian energy dependence especially following this winter's gas
    war between Russia and Ukraine.

    The United States has also provided strong backing based on similar
    political motivations as Brussels.

    "This Agreement is a significant milestone in achieving our shared
    vision of opening a new energy corridor that will bring Caspian
    gas to Europe," U.S. State Department spokesman Ian Kelly told
    reporters. Energy security is gained through diversity - diversity of
    energy sources, delivery routes and consumer markets, and the Nabucco
    pipeline is an example of that diversity."

    But boosters of the pipeline are mindful that Nabucco won't be a
    cure-all for Europe, which gets almost 40 percent of its natural gas
    from the Russian Federation.

    Nabucco promises to reduce the reliance on the Russian energy by
    approximately 10 percent, which would be considered substantial
    progress in Europe's efforts to diversify its energy supply.

    Laying on this important alternative energy route, Georgia expects
    both political and economic benefits from participating in the
    Nabucco project.

    Georgia's leaders see their country's unique position as an energy
    transit point as a way to secure political leverage when confronting
    its own challenges involving breakaway regions, disputes with Russia
    and its aspirations to join NATO and the EU.

    The economic considerations are similarly important.

    Construction of the pipeline is scheduled to start next year with
    the first gas deliveries arriving in 2014. Initially the pipeline
    will pump 14 billion cubic meters (bcm) of natural gas to Europe
    annually. By 2020, it could carry 31 bcm of gas annually. Out of this
    volume, Georgia will receive 1.6 bcm of gas per annum as a transit
    country. This is 10 percent of the transported gas - 5 percent as a
    transport fee and 5 percent at a discounted rate.

    This amount of gas, according to Georgian Energy Minister Aleksandre
    Khetaguri, can fully meet the current gas needs of the country.

    The ministry's figures show that Georgia needs a total of 1.8 bcm
    of gas per year, with the largest share of 800 million cubic meters
    consumed by the commercial sector.

    "By 2014 we'll possibly have increased consumption index but anyway the
    gas portion [from Nabucco] will supply major part of the consumers,"
    Khetaguri told Georgian journalists on July 14.

    Azerbaijan is currently the chief supplier of gas for Georgia,
    which receives Azeri gas via two ways. Three Azeri companies, SOCAR,
    AzeriGaz, and AzeriGaz-Niegli, export Azeri gas to Georgia in addition
    to the consortium that owns the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzerum and Shah-Deniz
    gas pipeline.

    Additionally, 10 percent of the natural gas transported to Armenia
    by the Russian gas giant, Gazprom, remains in Georgia in the form of
    a transit fee.

    SOCAR supplies gas to the population and to power stations. The gas
    distribution companies charge people 167 USD per 1,000 cubic meter
    gas and 143 USD to power stations.

    Nabucco was put in the international spotlight around seven years
    ago. Russia's potential resentment over the alternative gas pipeline
    and low-key economic advantages largely were reasons behind the
    slow progress.

    The insufficient gas supply was also seen as a concern.

    However, since the Russia-Ukraine gas row played a catalyst in giving
    a green light to the hindered project, it has become clear that for
    the global decision-makers far-reaching political considerations
    have triumphed.

    While Moscow reacted angrily to what it sees as a pompous signing
    ceremony, Georgian government officials say Russia only has itself
    to blame.

    "Endless gas manipulations by Russia has forced Europe to think
    twice and start this diversification venture, which has once again
    underlined Georgia's role as a strategically important transit
    country," Georgian Minister for Reintegration Issues Temur Iakobashvil
    said in the televised comments.
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