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Can Turkey and Armenia end their 100 years of hate?

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  • Can Turkey and Armenia end their 100 years of hate?

    Sunday Herald, UK
    October 11, 2009 Sunday
    Final Edition


    Can Turkey and Armenia end their 100 years of hate?

    BY: TREVOR ROYLE


    IT was always on the cards that the long-expected approchement between
    Turkey and Armenia would go to the wire in Zurich.

    Following weeks of cautious negotiations, last-minute cracks began to
    appear in the protocols and as this decisive weekend approached, both
    sides seemed to get cold feet. Hardly surprising, really: there is too
    much history involved and too many bad memories of the massacres of
    1915 which blighted relations between the two countries for the better
    part of a century.

    That long shadow encouraged the Armenian diaspora to exert its
    influence by informing president Serzh Sargsyan in no uncertain terms
    that they would refuse to co-operate with the joint historical
    commission which would be established by the agreement. Obviously, the
    historians could get to work without their help, but it would be a
    massive symbolic blow if the Armenian exiles refused to co-operate in
    the attempt to discover the truth of what actually happened all those
    years ago when 1.5 million innocents lost their lives.

    The Armenians say it was genocide and fear that the historians will
    fudge the issue; the Turks say it was no such thing and have no
    intention of accepting responsibility for the ghosts of their
    forebears. Is it still such a live issue almost 100 years later? You
    bet it is. At a rally in Beirut last week, Sargsyan was confronted by
    an agitated crowd of 2000 ethnic Armenians waving banners saying: "We
    will not forget."

    Neither should they. Even if the Turks cavil over the use of the word
    genocide, there is now no doubt that under Ottoman rule a systematic
    attempt took place to get rid of the mainly Christian Armenian
    population who were suspected of giving aid to Russia during the fi
    rst world war. Huge numbers were rounded up and deported to areas such
    as the Syrian desert, and there was ample contemporary eyewitness
    evidence of the wholesale execution of Armenian men, women and
    children. Those who managed to escape the killings died on the march
    or in camps which were little better than unsanitary hovels. From any
    historical viewpoint it was a bleak incident in an equally bleak
    conflict and no-one should be surprised that it has come back to haunt
    us today.

    But there is more to the mutual suspicions than disagreement over the
    irretrievable past. Armenia is currently at odds with its neighbour
    Azerbaijan over possession of the mountainous enclave of
    Nagorno-Karabakh, which lies between the two countries and has been
    the source of rivalry in the years following the breakup of the Soviet
    Union in 1991. During the subsequent confrontation, the issue was
    clouded when Afghan and Chechen fighters sided with Azerbaijan - as
    did Turkey - and there was a real fear that the fighting would spill
    over and ignite a wider conflict in central Asia. That concern has not
    disappeared: despite a Russian-brokered ceasefire in 1994,
    Nagorno-Karabakh is still a tinderbox awaiting the spark.

    Last week, diplomats from the US and the EU turned up in strength in
    the Moldovan capital of Chisinau intent on knocking some sense into
    collective heads.

    Not only do the Americans and the Europeans want to remove a clear and
    present danger, but they need to do so to protect their own interests.
    If the oil and gas pipelines between Europe and central Asia are to be
    protected, it is essential that the volatile south Caucasus region is
    secured by getting all the partners onside. That's why it's so
    important that Turkey and Armenia put aside ancient differences and
    agree to some modest regional co-operation by reopening their borders.
    And that's why US secretary of state Hillary Rodham Clinton was
    planning to turn up in Zurich yesterday to make sure that both sides
    put their names to the agreement.

    Just look at the map for confirmation.

    Iran lies to the south and in this turbulent region Turkey has always
    been a solid ally of the US by providing the strategically important
    Nato air base at Incirlik and a bulwark against Islamic
    fundamentalism. At a time when the US needs fi rm friends to help it
    cope with Iran's nuclear ambitions, Turkey could emerge as a key
    player. So too could Armenia which desperately wants past injustices
    to be righted and to find its place in the sun.

    And in Ankara they will understand that nothing is for nothing.
    Turkey's application for EU membership is still on the table and looks
    increasingly as if it will be blocked by joint German, French and
    Italian opposition. The Turks too will be looking for a little help
    from their friends because at times like this the past might be
    important, but it's not the whole story.
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