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  • United States Examines South Caucasus

    WPS Agency, Russia
    What the Papers Say (Russia)
    February 4, 2010 Thursday


    UNITED STATES EXAMINES SOUTH CAUCASUS

    By Yuri Simonjan

    WASHINGTON REMINDED YEREVAN OF THE THREAT OF A WAR FOR KARABAKH;
    Official Washington is sending envoys to the South Caucasus to abate
    tension.

    James B. Steinberg, Senior Assistant Secretary of State, will visit
    Armenia and Georgia on February 4-5. In both countries, Steinberg will
    meet with the national leadership and representatives of the
    opposition. He will eventually depart Tbilisi for the international
    security conference in Munich where he will meet with President of
    Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev and Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu.
    According to some sources, another senior American diplomat Philip H.
    Gordon will visit the region right after Steinberg.

    Activeness of the U.S. Department of State is attributed to escalation
    of tension in the South Caucasus. National Intelligence Director
    told the Senate that the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh might foment
    another war between Azerbaijan and Armenia. Blair also mentioned
    Georgia and said that Russia's efforts to strengthen its clout with
    post-Soviet republics including Georgia had the potential to hurt the
    relations with Washington.

    Official Tbilisi was predictably happy to hear it. "This statement
    shows that Georgia remains America's important partner. It refutes all
    these assumptions on how Washington is allegedly losing interest in
    Tbilisi," a government official told Nezavisimaya Gazeta. A prominent
    analyst from Tbilisi suggested that Blair's words in Washington were a
    response to the recent statement made by President Mikhail Saakashvili
    when he had welcomed the Americans to strike at Afghanistan from the
    territory of Georgia. "What Blair meant was that Washington knew
    better than compromise relations with its strategic partner in the
    South Caucasus just in order to please Moscow," the analyst said.

    Even Yerevan seems to be taking the threat of another war with
    Azerbaijan seriously, considering Baku's never-ending aggressive
    rhetorics. "Military-political balance is shifting Azerbaijan's way.
    Risk of an attempt to try a military solution increases," said Levon
    Zurabjan, Armenian National Congress Coordinator. Zurabjan pinned the
    blame for this turn of events on the Armenian authorities. According
    to the opposition activist, President Serj Sargsjan's "pushing" policy
    only attached additional importance to Turkey, pressure on Armenia
    never eased, and the process of Armenian-Turkish rapprochement
    degenerated into another conflict between the two countries.

    A source in Yerevan meanwhile suggested that Steinberg's visit to
    Armenia and his meetings with Aliyev and Davutoglu in Munich later on
    were expected to abate tension some. Yesterday, Gordon urged Yerevan
    and Ankara to hurry up with ratification of the Swiss Protocols and
    confirmed official Washington's conviction that it was necessary to
    differentiate between the Armenian-Turkish and Armenian-Azerbaijani
    problems.

    Turkish Hurriyet reported the other day that Feridum Sinirlioglu of
    the Foreign Ministry was going to Switzerland on February 4.
    Sinirlioglu will meet in Bern with Michael Ambul, Swiss diplomat
    involved in organization of secret Armenian-Turkish talks. The
    newspaper suggested that the two diplomats intended to discuss the
    protocols which Yerevan had allegedly amended. Hurriyet assumed that
    official Ankara might then send diplomats to countries of the OSCE
    Minsk Group (United States, Russia, France) to ask them to put Yerevan
    under pressure. Armenia meanwhile insists that Turkey is making fuss
    over nothing because everything actually comes down to recommendations
    of the Armenian Supreme Court which is required by the law to take a
    look at every international document before the latter is submitted to
    the parliament for ratification. Ankara, however, refuses to accept
    this explanation.

    Stepan Grigorjan of the Globalization Center (Yerevan) said that all
    of that were links of one chain. "All political centers throughout the
    world want the Armenian-Turkish border open. Following its diplomatic
    traditions, Turkey is trying to barter its opening for as much as
    possible. Armenia in the meantime observed its own legislation and
    thus gave Ankara an excuse to condemn Yerevan for stalling. The Turks
    angle for another round of bargaining. The Western community in the
    meantime applies more and more pressure to Yerevan (Blair's words
    concerning another outbreak of hostilities), and to Ankara (Euronews
    programs on human rights violation in Turkey and on the Kurd problem).
    The U.S. Department of State is sending its envoys to the region in
    the hope to abate tension some," Grigorjan said.

    Source: Nezavisimaya Gazeta, No 21, February 4, 2010, p. 6
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