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ALIYEV IS CONCERNED TO PRESERVE THE FLOW OF PETRODOLLARS
Karine Ter-Sahakyan / PanARMENIAN News
PanARMENIAN.Net
July 16, 2010
At the Alma-Ata meeting there may be discussed the issue of returning
the territories claimed especially by the Armenian and not the
Azerbaijani side.
It is already becoming a tradition in Azerbaijan to make inadequate
statements before every meeting between the foreign ministers or the
presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan, with the Baku wise men believing
they would make Armenia, the OSCE Minsk Group and the world community
"return the Azerbaijani native lands". By the way, these statements
are issued while opening just another monument to Heydar Aliyev in
some village or, at best, in a regional center in Azerbaijan.
It may seem to a looker-on that Aliyev Jr. is concerned exclusively
about his country, his people, and the like. But, in fact, he's nothing
to do with either Karabakh or the Azeri people, who still suffer
from the threat of floods. What worries him most is the petrodollars,
which have become a real disaster for the country.
Aliyev's mood was also shattered by the Armenians, who quite
justly accused him of occupying the regions of Shahumyan, Getashen
and Martunashen. By the way, unlike the Baku propaganda, Armenia
and Nagorno-Karabakh blame quite substantiated. And so, it may so
happen that at the Alma-Ata meeting there is discussed the issue of
returning the territories claimed especially by the Armenian and not
the Azerbaijani side.
By and large, Ilham Aliyev could be pitied, but for one circumstance.
Until recently all of his bellicose statements were perceived
inertly by the world community, which on the one hand makes them
quite nonsensical, on the other gives Aliyev the false sense of
self-importance. However, certain sources inform that cold water was
poured on Aliyev in St. Petersburg and it's quite possible that the
Azeri foreign minister will share his president's fate at the slated
meeting in Alma-Ata. After the summit of the OSCE Ministerial Cpuncil
things may take two possible turns, both fatal for Aliyev. In the
first case Aliyev launches a war, which lingers about a week. During
this time all the channels of petrodollars are closed. There are also
terrorist acts possible at the pipeline Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan, which the
Kurds will organize, taking advantage of the general mess. The world
community, unengaged in football, will quickly take control of the
situation and introduce order. Meanwhile Aliyev will lose another 20%
of territories, if not more. Turkey will not interfere, because of her
obligations before NATO. Besides, the internal political situation
in Turkey gives little chance of supporting someone of indefinite
relation to her. The second scenario is much shorter: Baku agrees
to the St. Petersburg principles, where obviously the issue of the
Nagorno-Karabakh status and that of three Armenian regions dominates.
In such turn of events the unaccomplished sultan will have to flee
the country. In a word, both variants are disastrous for Azerbaijan.
As for Armenia, she has nothing to do here. Nagorno-Karabakh is an
independent country and makes decisions that proceed from her own
security. Let us add that recognition or non-recognition of your
independence by this or that country has no say in anything, like
the borders. The borders are decided by two countries based on mutual
agreements. Of course, Armenia can recognize the independence of NKR,
but she will do it only after Baku.
From: A. Papazian
Karine Ter-Sahakyan / PanARMENIAN News
PanARMENIAN.Net
July 16, 2010
At the Alma-Ata meeting there may be discussed the issue of returning
the territories claimed especially by the Armenian and not the
Azerbaijani side.
It is already becoming a tradition in Azerbaijan to make inadequate
statements before every meeting between the foreign ministers or the
presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan, with the Baku wise men believing
they would make Armenia, the OSCE Minsk Group and the world community
"return the Azerbaijani native lands". By the way, these statements
are issued while opening just another monument to Heydar Aliyev in
some village or, at best, in a regional center in Azerbaijan.
It may seem to a looker-on that Aliyev Jr. is concerned exclusively
about his country, his people, and the like. But, in fact, he's nothing
to do with either Karabakh or the Azeri people, who still suffer
from the threat of floods. What worries him most is the petrodollars,
which have become a real disaster for the country.
Aliyev's mood was also shattered by the Armenians, who quite
justly accused him of occupying the regions of Shahumyan, Getashen
and Martunashen. By the way, unlike the Baku propaganda, Armenia
and Nagorno-Karabakh blame quite substantiated. And so, it may so
happen that at the Alma-Ata meeting there is discussed the issue of
returning the territories claimed especially by the Armenian and not
the Azerbaijani side.
By and large, Ilham Aliyev could be pitied, but for one circumstance.
Until recently all of his bellicose statements were perceived
inertly by the world community, which on the one hand makes them
quite nonsensical, on the other gives Aliyev the false sense of
self-importance. However, certain sources inform that cold water was
poured on Aliyev in St. Petersburg and it's quite possible that the
Azeri foreign minister will share his president's fate at the slated
meeting in Alma-Ata. After the summit of the OSCE Ministerial Cpuncil
things may take two possible turns, both fatal for Aliyev. In the
first case Aliyev launches a war, which lingers about a week. During
this time all the channels of petrodollars are closed. There are also
terrorist acts possible at the pipeline Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan, which the
Kurds will organize, taking advantage of the general mess. The world
community, unengaged in football, will quickly take control of the
situation and introduce order. Meanwhile Aliyev will lose another 20%
of territories, if not more. Turkey will not interfere, because of her
obligations before NATO. Besides, the internal political situation
in Turkey gives little chance of supporting someone of indefinite
relation to her. The second scenario is much shorter: Baku agrees
to the St. Petersburg principles, where obviously the issue of the
Nagorno-Karabakh status and that of three Armenian regions dominates.
In such turn of events the unaccomplished sultan will have to flee
the country. In a word, both variants are disastrous for Azerbaijan.
As for Armenia, she has nothing to do here. Nagorno-Karabakh is an
independent country and makes decisions that proceed from her own
security. Let us add that recognition or non-recognition of your
independence by this or that country has no say in anything, like
the borders. The borders are decided by two countries based on mutual
agreements. Of course, Armenia can recognize the independence of NKR,
but she will do it only after Baku.
From: A. Papazian