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WHO TER-PETROSYAN, TSARUKYAN AND ARF WILL SUPPORT
Naira Hayrumyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index.php/eng/0/country/view/28522
15:34 26/12/2012
Mass abstinence of political forces from the presidential election may
have two reasons: either they agreed to support the same candidate
who will be nominated on the last day or they are going to boycott
the elections.
The fact that Gagik Tsarukyan, Ter-Petrosyan and the ARF will not
boycott the elections or did not announce to support Serzh Sargsyan
or Raffi Hovhannisyan means that another candidate is expected to be
nominated who now prefers keeping silent to keep the intrigue until
the end.
Both Vartan Oskanian and Robert Kocharyan are possible candidates.
Though experts say that Robert Kocharyan will not run without clear
safeguards, the issue of his age arises. If Kocharyan does not run
now, in 2018 he will already advanced in age, plus he will not have
the necessary political capital.
Now Kocharyan will have to choose. Either he admits Serzh Sargsyan's
victory and avoids the risky competition crossing out his political
career, or he ignores guarantees and runs the risk to remain in
politics. If Robert Kocharyan runs, he may be Serzh Sargsyan's
main opponent and in 2018 may use this trampoline or hand it to
his successor.
The PAP, Congress and ARF may endorse Kocharyan at least because
they need to keep their political positions by 2018 which will be
lost without participation in this election or boycott.
Otherwise, it is difficult to explain the "epidemic" of withdrawal
from the presidential race. Even if they explain their decision by
the predetermined results of the election, meaningless participation,
there are still doubts because if the reasons they refer to were true,
they would boycotted elections and would have urged people not to
vote. If they don't do it, they are getting ready for a surprise move.
Although, in the present situation, this step is needed by political
forces and their future nominations, while it makes no difference for
people because the general configuration will not change. Apparently,
we will have to wait till Kocharyan and Serzh Sargsyan will announce
about their age.
Naira Hayrumyan
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index.php/eng/0/country/view/28522
15:34 26/12/2012
Mass abstinence of political forces from the presidential election may
have two reasons: either they agreed to support the same candidate
who will be nominated on the last day or they are going to boycott
the elections.
The fact that Gagik Tsarukyan, Ter-Petrosyan and the ARF will not
boycott the elections or did not announce to support Serzh Sargsyan
or Raffi Hovhannisyan means that another candidate is expected to be
nominated who now prefers keeping silent to keep the intrigue until
the end.
Both Vartan Oskanian and Robert Kocharyan are possible candidates.
Though experts say that Robert Kocharyan will not run without clear
safeguards, the issue of his age arises. If Kocharyan does not run
now, in 2018 he will already advanced in age, plus he will not have
the necessary political capital.
Now Kocharyan will have to choose. Either he admits Serzh Sargsyan's
victory and avoids the risky competition crossing out his political
career, or he ignores guarantees and runs the risk to remain in
politics. If Robert Kocharyan runs, he may be Serzh Sargsyan's
main opponent and in 2018 may use this trampoline or hand it to
his successor.
The PAP, Congress and ARF may endorse Kocharyan at least because
they need to keep their political positions by 2018 which will be
lost without participation in this election or boycott.
Otherwise, it is difficult to explain the "epidemic" of withdrawal
from the presidential race. Even if they explain their decision by
the predetermined results of the election, meaningless participation,
there are still doubts because if the reasons they refer to were true,
they would boycotted elections and would have urged people not to
vote. If they don't do it, they are getting ready for a surprise move.
Although, in the present situation, this step is needed by political
forces and their future nominations, while it makes no difference for
people because the general configuration will not change. Apparently,
we will have to wait till Kocharyan and Serzh Sargsyan will announce
about their age.