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  • Why Georgia Matters

    WHY GEORGIA MATTERS

    http://www.mirrorspectator.com/2012/10/25/why-georgia-matters/
    October 25, 2012 1:28 pm

    By Edmond Y. Azadian

    While Azerbaijani dynastic rule continues its repressive policies
    against the opposition and while Armenia is engaged in a witchhunt and
    the decimation of the opposition in preparation for the forthcoming
    presidential election, Georgia has been moving credibly towards
    democratic rule, as a role model in the Caucasus region.

    Mikhail Saakashvili's United National Movement, which swept to
    power in 2003 through the Rose Revolution, acceded defeat to Bidzina
    Ivanishvili's Georgian Dream Coalition, in the last parliamentary
    election held on October 2. As Ivanishvili forms his cabinet as the
    new prime minister, Georgia enters into an era of cohabitation between
    the ruling Georgian Dream and Saakashvili's team, who will continue
    his term as president for another year.

    A very familiar political setup in Europe, but it is a novel experiment
    for the nations, which gained independence after the collapse of the
    Soviet Union.

    During his nine-year reign, Saakashvili transformed Georgia at a
    rapid pace, with the help of the West. He virtually ended corruption,
    reintroduced the rule of law and reformed the economy by moving
    towards prosperity. The West invested $10 billion to turn Georgia
    into a showcase, to demonstrate to the other nations in the region
    that siding with the West has its tangible rewards. Russia did not
    learn the lesson to emulate Western approaches in the region. Moscow
    instead hardened its grip on Armenia's economy without sensitivity
    to the economic polarization in the country, helping the rich to get
    richer and driving the rest of the population to destitution.

    But in Georgia, Saakashvili's reforms were achieved at a stiff cost
    domestically and regionally. Indeed, his hostile policies with regards
    to Moscow resulted in territorial amputation; during a 2008 war with
    Russia, Abkhazia and South Ossetia were snatched from Georgia, most
    probably forever.

    Georgian rulers, including former leaders Shevardnadze and
    Gamsakhurdia, have been insensitive towards the ethnic makeup of their
    country, conducting a xenophobic policy against them. The new emerging
    ruler Ivanishvili does not seem to be any different, as one of his
    first pronouncements was directed towards Armenians. He is reported
    to have said, "Why do ethnic Armenians live in Georgia when their own
    homeland is next door?" The statement demonstrates an obscene level of
    insensitivity towards history; most of the Armenians living in Georgia,
    except for those in the capital Tbilisi, have been in Georgia because
    portions of historic Armenian territories were incorporated into that
    country during the murky years of 1918-1920. If Javakhk Armenians one
    day decide to leave Georgia, they have to move their native land to
    Armenia as well.

    Domestically, Saakashvili's fall came as a consequence of his
    zero-tolerance policy, which sent minor offenders to jail for
    unusually long terms. A video of prison tortures was released at the
    most convenient political period before the parliamentary elections.

    The video undermined the president's tough policies. That, coupled with
    his fallout with the spiritual leader of Georgia, Patriarch Ilia II,
    brought about the demise of Saakashvili's regime.

    The Patriarch wields a very strong political influence in the country.

    He also symbolizes Georgian nationalism. In his haste to reform the
    country and to please his patrons in the West, Saakashvili passed
    legislature to recognize the legal existence of other religious
    denominations in the country, especially giving equal rights to the
    Armenian Church, which touched a raw nerve in Georgia. Particularly,
    it irritated the Patriarch, who was already enjoying the lavish
    contributions of the billionaire tycoon Ivanishvili. The Patriarch
    influenced the electorate to side with the rising opposition. From
    now on, no political leader can ignore the Patriarch's power in
    the country.

    Unfortunately, the Armenian Church and the Catholicos do not enjoy
    similar clout in Armenia, courtesy of the opposition and Mr. Levon
    Ter-Petrosian, who insulted the Catholicos and his docile press
    unleashed an indecent campaign against him.

    The new leader, Bidzina Ivanishvili, is an enigmatic figure, a
    reclusive billionaire, whose net worth is estimated by Forbes to
    be $6.7 billion, mostly from business dealings in Russia. He has
    no record of earlier political involvement and his rash political
    pronouncements are blamed on his inexperience. Upon his victory,
    he called for Saakashvili's resignation before his term is up. That
    alarmed capitals in the West. He has retracted his statement since;
    he has also retracted his statement about the Armenians, which some
    political observers attribute to Javakhk Armenian voting patterns
    favoring Saakashvili's party out of fear of reprisals.

    His political credo seems simple and simplistic: "It is Europe,
    Euro-Atlantic integration and NATO. There is no substitution," he
    said in a recent interview. In the same breath, he plans to improve
    relations with Russia. These two are mutually exclusive propositions,
    which can lead nowhere, as NATO's advances in the Caucasus are anathema
    for the Kremlin.

    Armenia and Georgia are strange bedfellows. Christian Georgia has
    always sided with Turkey and Azerbaijan in UN votes. Tbilisi's
    government has also cooperated with Baku and Ankara in isolating
    Armenia politically, economically and militarily by building pipelines
    for energy transportation and rail infrastructure in the Caucasus by
    bypassing Armenia.

    Yet, Georgia remains our main trade route with the outside world as
    the US continues its sanctions against Iran, rendering Armenian-Iranian
    relations into a risky political business.

    Georgia's ruptured relations with Russia continue to affect Armenia's
    relations with Moscow, Armenia's strategic partner. Any improvement
    between Moscow and Tbilisi will impact favorably on Armenia's relations
    with the outside world.

    Of course, we should not pin our hopes for an early easing of tensions
    in the lives of Armenians in Georgia. With the Patriarch fanning the
    flames of nationalism to continue holding Armenian churches hostage
    and the repressive measures against Javakhk

    Armenians, the immediate future does not seem promising.

    Mr. Ivanishvili's reckless statement about Armenian presence in
    Georgia can only aggravate the plight of Armenians in Georgia. Sooner
    or later, the Georgians will realize that the friendship with Turkey
    and Azerbaijan will contribute to the demise of the Christians in
    the region.

    Turkey, by giving a contemporary spin to it historic rivalry with
    Iran, is actually not contributing to the West's interests. Using
    the West's interests as a cover, Turkey and Azerbaijan are trying
    to revive the old dreams of Pan-Touranism, extending Turkey's power
    to Central Asia. At that time, Armenia will be at risk as well as
    Georgia. Souring relations at the point will be too late for Georgia.

    Our love-hate relations with Georgia have to be addressed through a
    policy of political realism.

    That is why Georgia matters.




    From: A. Papazian
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