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Armenia: Will Presidential Inauguration Spell Double Trouble?

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  • Armenia: Will Presidential Inauguration Spell Double Trouble?

    EurasiaNet.org, NY
    April 8 2013


    Armenia: Will Presidential Inauguration Spell Double Trouble?

    April 8, 2013 - 9:42am, by Giorgi Lomsadze

    Armenians on April 9 can choose which of two presidential
    inaugurations they wish to attend; a choice which could take the
    divided country to the next stage of the protracted power struggle
    between Serzh Sargsyan, the official president-elect, and Raffi
    Hovhannisian, the feel-good opposition leader who says he just wants
    an oath for "a new Armenia."

    Sargsyan and Hovhannisian have tried to keep their joust peaceful,
    but, given Armenia's history of post-election violence, tension is in
    the air. Sargsyan's inauguration will take place in the National
    Assembly with foreign dignitaries, officials and clergymen in
    attendance. Hovhannisian, in the meantime, has invited the
    discontented to gather at Yerevan's central Liberty Square for `a
    little bit of song and dance' -- a frequent occurrence at Armenian
    opposition rallies -- followed by a formal declaration of the
    "people's" (ergo, Hovhannisian's) victory, and a march .

    The legitimacy of either event is in the eyes of the beholder. Many in
    Armenia, worn out by a sour economy and political strife, have had
    enough of Sargsyan for the past five years and say they saw enough
    election fraud during the February presidential vote to accuse him of
    pocketing another term. But many others contend that Hovhannisian is
    just a sore loser.

    The two ceremonies, therefore, most likely will largely be an exercise
    in outnumbering and outshouting each other.

    `Mr. Sargsyan and the ruling party...have confused themselves with the
    state,' the California-born Hovhannisian told RFE/RL in a live video
    interview. He called the Sargsyan swearing-in unconstitutional and
    un-Christian, noted that he'd urged his rival "to get real," and
    invited the president-elect to come to Liberty Square for what he
    termed a day of national unity. As a way to defuse tensions,
    Hovannisian has proposed to Sargsyan that they both quit fighting and
    have a rerun vote.

    That and other Hovannisian proposals have been dismissed as
    delusional, but with Hovannisian, now off his hunger strike, trying to
    drum up support across the country, and some sizable opposition forces
    (the Prosperous Armenia Party, the Armenian National Congress) still
    sitting on the fence, Sargsyan has not ignored him.

    Yet while Sargsyan, mindful of the ten deaths that followed the 2008
    presidential elections, has been emphasizing communication over
    conflict, he already has secured international acceptance of his
    victory and, arguably, has the state machinery on his side.

    At this point, a joining of hands and a singing of "Kumbaya" in the
    center of Yerevan is far less likely than the continuance of Armenia's
    chronic case of national disunity.

    http://www.eurasianet.org/node/66792

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