Tweet
Will A New War Be Required And Is Armenia Ready?
Serbia and Kosovo reached an agreement on April 18 to normalize their
relations. Actually, Serbia recognized the independence of Kosovo. The
agreement was signed in the result of long months of negotiations
mediated by the European Union. This is the price Serbia pays to
become EU member.
In Armenia, Armenians in general, immediately associate such news with
Karabakh. This is not an exception taking into account that it is a
historic event.
Still, there is no need to identify the two situations and view the
recent development in Kosovo as a possible scenario for Karabakh. It
is hard to imagine that Azerbaijan will sign anything in the nearest
future or at least negotiate with Karabakh directly.
On the other hand, interesting things are happening in the world and
in Azerbaijan. One of the U.S. states was the forth to recognize
Karabakh's independence a few days ago. Earlier, Australia's New South
Wales had recognized independence of NKR. Another significant event is
the parliamentary friendship group between Karabakh and Lithuania
which is a NATO member. French parliamentarians also participated in
the creation of the parliamentary friendship group.
In the meantime, Azerbaijan is unquiet. Nationalistic and social mass
protests take place there. The price of Azerbaijani oil has dropped in
international market. Ilham Aliyev received bad news from the British
Virgin Islands.
Azerbaijan's elder brother Turkey cancelled already agreed Yerevan-Van
flights upon the demand of Azerbaijan. Nevertheless, Turkey is focused
on the challenges related to the 100th anniversary of the Armenian
genocide which are intensified by geopolitical challenges in the
Middle East=. Turkey will hardly find time and reason to back
Azerbaijan.
Hence, the settlement of the Karabakh issue might give everyone a
surprise. It is a quite convenient time for transformation of the
negotiation process. The world elite have most probably calculated
that now it is time to push for the recognition of Karabakh.
In other words, revolutionary changes are not ruled out in the
settlement process. They can be late but sharp and fast. The issue is
whether a new war will be needed to ensure these changes. Anyway, the
question whether Armenia is ready for a new war becomes more and more
urgent. Not only combat readiness but also the rules and values of
life in Armenia and Artsakh are important.
HAKOB BADALYAN
12:03 20/04/2013
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index.php/eng/0/comments/view/29679
Serbia and Kosovo reached an agreement on April 18 to normalize their
relations. Actually, Serbia recognized the independence of Kosovo. The
agreement was signed in the result of long months of negotiations
mediated by the European Union. This is the price Serbia pays to
become EU member.
In Armenia, Armenians in general, immediately associate such news with
Karabakh. This is not an exception taking into account that it is a
historic event.
Still, there is no need to identify the two situations and view the
recent development in Kosovo as a possible scenario for Karabakh. It
is hard to imagine that Azerbaijan will sign anything in the nearest
future or at least negotiate with Karabakh directly.
On the other hand, interesting things are happening in the world and
in Azerbaijan. One of the U.S. states was the forth to recognize
Karabakh's independence a few days ago. Earlier, Australia's New South
Wales had recognized independence of NKR. Another significant event is
the parliamentary friendship group between Karabakh and Lithuania
which is a NATO member. French parliamentarians also participated in
the creation of the parliamentary friendship group.
In the meantime, Azerbaijan is unquiet. Nationalistic and social mass
protests take place there. The price of Azerbaijani oil has dropped in
international market. Ilham Aliyev received bad news from the British
Virgin Islands.
Azerbaijan's elder brother Turkey cancelled already agreed Yerevan-Van
flights upon the demand of Azerbaijan. Nevertheless, Turkey is focused
on the challenges related to the 100th anniversary of the Armenian
genocide which are intensified by geopolitical challenges in the
Middle East=. Turkey will hardly find time and reason to back
Azerbaijan.
Hence, the settlement of the Karabakh issue might give everyone a
surprise. It is a quite convenient time for transformation of the
negotiation process. The world elite have most probably calculated
that now it is time to push for the recognition of Karabakh.
In other words, revolutionary changes are not ruled out in the
settlement process. They can be late but sharp and fast. The issue is
whether a new war will be needed to ensure these changes. Anyway, the
question whether Armenia is ready for a new war becomes more and more
urgent. Not only combat readiness but also the rules and values of
life in Armenia and Artsakh are important.
HAKOB BADALYAN
12:03 20/04/2013
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index.php/eng/0/comments/view/29679