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Political Ways of Containment of War Have Been Exausted
Who will get the weapon?
A number of European states have a decision on supply of weapons to
the South Caucasian states, which has not only an economic but also
political importance for the relevant companies.
In the current situation when Russia, Israel, Turkey and other states
supply weapon to the countries of our region in abundance, it seems
meaningless to pretend that there is no weapon race and the treaty on
conventional weapons is actual.
Currently the international community has signed to the recognition
that political ways of containing war in the region have been
exhausted though they have never been effective. What will change in
regard to this decision?
Hardly anything will change in Georgia and Azerbaijan. They received
enough supplies of weapon, notably Georgia for political and
Azerbaijan for financial reasons.
Armenia is in a more miserable situation because apart from
cooperation with Russia it feels pressure as Russia supplies weapon to
Azerbaijan. (None of the Armenian authors, not even retired generals
is able to find a justification for most countries of Europe.)
At the same time, hopes occur that now not only Russia but also some
European states, notably France, Germany, Poland and Greece, will
offer supply of weapon to Armenia at more or less reasonable and
acceptable conditions.
Now there is reason to state it with confidence. Although the
Euro-Atlantic community has positive expectations from the problems
that occurred in the Armenian-Russian relations, it is not interested
in weakening of Armenia.
Politicians and policy-makers of the Western community think that
Armenia has matured for accelerated integration with NATO and the
European Union. It should be taken into account that such a `package'
decision could not be taken in isolation from one another because
almost all of these countries are NATO members (or cooperate closely
with the alliance.)
At the same time, it is impossible to rely on political `automatics'
that the West will lead Armenia to prosperous future holding by the
hand without active initiatives from the other side. Initiatives from
new partners are the most valuable political resource for NATO and the
EU in Eastern Europe and the Mediterranean.
Of course, time will come when the West will try to `squeeze'
something from Armenia in regard to its relations with Turkey and
Azerbaijan, and the closest partner of these countries, the United
Kingdom, is the most active in this direction. However, no doubt these
attempts will have a PR nature and will be easily neutralized.
The policy aimed at weakening Armenia cannot have geopolitical grounds
and without a geopolitical rationale it will work towards weakening
the security of the West. It is time that Armenia move from `training
and education' to a more serious talk with NATO. They will not demand
more from us than from others while our position may be more secure
and preferable. It could be advisable for Armenian officers to study
not only English but also French and German, as well as Polish. They
are wonderful languages, and great literature has been written in
these languages.
Igor Muradyan
11:41 26/04/2013
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index.php/eng/0/comments/view/29730
Who will get the weapon?
A number of European states have a decision on supply of weapons to
the South Caucasian states, which has not only an economic but also
political importance for the relevant companies.
In the current situation when Russia, Israel, Turkey and other states
supply weapon to the countries of our region in abundance, it seems
meaningless to pretend that there is no weapon race and the treaty on
conventional weapons is actual.
Currently the international community has signed to the recognition
that political ways of containing war in the region have been
exhausted though they have never been effective. What will change in
regard to this decision?
Hardly anything will change in Georgia and Azerbaijan. They received
enough supplies of weapon, notably Georgia for political and
Azerbaijan for financial reasons.
Armenia is in a more miserable situation because apart from
cooperation with Russia it feels pressure as Russia supplies weapon to
Azerbaijan. (None of the Armenian authors, not even retired generals
is able to find a justification for most countries of Europe.)
At the same time, hopes occur that now not only Russia but also some
European states, notably France, Germany, Poland and Greece, will
offer supply of weapon to Armenia at more or less reasonable and
acceptable conditions.
Now there is reason to state it with confidence. Although the
Euro-Atlantic community has positive expectations from the problems
that occurred in the Armenian-Russian relations, it is not interested
in weakening of Armenia.
Politicians and policy-makers of the Western community think that
Armenia has matured for accelerated integration with NATO and the
European Union. It should be taken into account that such a `package'
decision could not be taken in isolation from one another because
almost all of these countries are NATO members (or cooperate closely
with the alliance.)
At the same time, it is impossible to rely on political `automatics'
that the West will lead Armenia to prosperous future holding by the
hand without active initiatives from the other side. Initiatives from
new partners are the most valuable political resource for NATO and the
EU in Eastern Europe and the Mediterranean.
Of course, time will come when the West will try to `squeeze'
something from Armenia in regard to its relations with Turkey and
Azerbaijan, and the closest partner of these countries, the United
Kingdom, is the most active in this direction. However, no doubt these
attempts will have a PR nature and will be easily neutralized.
The policy aimed at weakening Armenia cannot have geopolitical grounds
and without a geopolitical rationale it will work towards weakening
the security of the West. It is time that Armenia move from `training
and education' to a more serious talk with NATO. They will not demand
more from us than from others while our position may be more secure
and preferable. It could be advisable for Armenian officers to study
not only English but also French and German, as well as Polish. They
are wonderful languages, and great literature has been written in
these languages.
Igor Muradyan
11:41 26/04/2013
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index.php/eng/0/comments/view/29730