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Mutual Accusations In The Azerbaijani Opposition Camp

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  • Mutual Accusations In The Azerbaijani Opposition Camp

    MUTUAL ACCUSATIONS IN THE AZERBAIJANI OPPOSITION CAMP

    http://artsakhtert.com/eng/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=1120:-mutual-accusations-in-the-azerbaijani-opposition-camp&catid=5:politics&Itemid=17
    Thursday, 08 August 2013 12:06

    What is the scenario of unitary opposition candidate, screenwriter
    Rustam Ibragimbekov's game?

    A good opportunity for having a clear idea of the opposition forces
    in the Azerbaijani political field has appeared: on the eve of the
    presidential elections, each of them is intended to expose others'
    nature.

    They make mutual accusations, and in this context, it becomes clear
    that there is no common view on an alternative candidate in the
    opposition camp so far.

    Last week, the Azeri media published a statement by the leader of one
    of the opposition forces - Azerbaijani Citizens and Development Party,
    Ali Aliyev, in which he demonstrated the activity of the National
    Council coordinating the actions of the Azerbaijani opposition. Let's
    recall his idea, according to which the confusion among the political
    forces within the Council is expected, as they are in completely
    different political fields. He accused, first of all, leaders of
    Musavat andOpen Society Parties Issa Gambar and Rasul Guliyev of
    the confusion. And then he justified the formality of the National
    Council's struggle by the fact that, in fact, the political parties are
    united by common principles, ideologies and methods of struggle and not
    merely by the factor of presidential elections. The Musavatconsiders
    that the issue of participation in the elections is indisputable,
    and R. Guliyev's party considers it right to boycott the elections,
    if the Central Election Commission of Azerbaijan refuses to register
    Rustam Ibragimbekov as a presidential candidate. Aliyev's assessment
    cannot be regarded as unfounded, considering the fact of Guliyev's
    living outside Azerbaijan and his inability to return to the country
    and to take part in the elections. And Issa Gambar, according to
    Aliyev's determination, is not going to occupy a princely hill,
    but merely to pass to the "political pension". Therefore, he needs
    political dividends only for his personality.

    The Azerbaijani political forces' attention is mainly focused on
    the single opposition candidate, Russian Federation citizen, famous
    screenwriter Rustam Ibragimbekov, and in this respect, the views of
    the opposition cause certain interest.

    According to leader of the Azerbaijani Social-Democratic Party
    Araz Alizade, recently, screenwriter Rustam Ibragimbekov has often
    contradicted himself.

    Alizade draws attention to the incoherent statements of the artist
    related to the dual citizenship and nomination of another candidate
    from the National Council. "Whatever he does is fabrication",
    Alizade stressed. At the same time, he expressed deep regret that
    the experienced screenwriter has wrong notion of the presidential
    elections, therefore, he cannot rely on the Azerbaijani people.

    The July 29 interview of Radio Liberty with Rustam Ibragimbekov also
    attracts attention. The candidate informed the media that he would
    return on July 31 and would actively get involved in the pre-election
    campaign. At the same time, he expressed his concern, saying that if
    he returned to Baku, then the coming months could become the heaviest
    in his life, since he would be arrested upon his arrival in Baku.

    The Radio reported that a representative of the Azerbaijani
    prosecutor's office had stated that they would open a criminal case
    against Chairman of the Cinematographers Union Rustam Ibragimbekov
    who had held the position for many years, avoiding paying state taxes
    in about $15.000 and, besides, appropriating the funds allocated from
    the state budget for the East-West Film Festival.

    On July 30, Ibragimbekov arrived in Tbilisi and not in Baku, where
    representatives of the National Council held a meeting and decided to
    appeal to Russian President Vladimir Putin for accelerating the process
    of single opposition candidate Rustam Ibragimbekov's abandoning the
    Russian citizenship. That's why his arrival in Baku was delayed.

    A day before the distribution of this news, the Azerbaijani unofficial
    media ironically wrote that there were so many unresolved problems in
    Azerbaijan that Ibragimbekov's arrival or non-arrival in Baku meant
    almost nothing.

    The assessments in the opposition camp cause an impression that
    opposition candidate Rustam Ibragimbekov is involved in a political
    game rather than in a struggle. And, indeed, to follow the statements
    made by the screenwriter from last year's autumn up today, they seem
    to confirm this hypothesis. First, he made statements from Moscow,
    addressing Ilham Aliyev and giving him political lessons, leading to a
    single idea - Azerbaijan cannot remain a totalitarian state, instead,
    it should build its future in a democratic way. The screenwriter's
    second lesson given to Ilham Aliyev was that Karabakh is an Armenian
    land and the misrepresentation of this reality will not increase the
    rating of the ruling regime.

    Some time later, Azerbaijani sources reported that Ibragimbekov
    had arrived in Baku, met with representatives of the country's
    political forces, noting the impossibility of nominating Ilham Aliyev
    for the third presidential term. It seemed that the Azerbaijani
    intelligentsia from Russia was preparing for a radical revolution,
    but this belief was ruined by his idea that nominating Mehriban
    Khanum was right. 'Revealing' the possibilities of the Azerbaijani
    First Lady, he actually put himself out of the political struggle. And
    when he announced himself as a unitary opposition candidate during the
    registration of presidential candidates, some politicians characterized
    it as a kind of arrangement reached with the Azerbaijani President. And
    now the opposition candidate is speaking about political persecution
    by the authorities.

    The future will show how events will develop. We believe that it is
    necessary to add another fact to the abovementioned, which would
    not be correct to ignore. According to preliminary information,
    RF President Vladimir Putin's visit to Baku is scheduled for October.

    Political experts expressed an opinion that the Kremlin didn't seem to
    oppose Ilham Aliyev's election for the third term. It can be concluded
    that screenwriter Ibragimbekov's game, so to speak, is integrated into
    a big geopolitical game, and his arrival in Baku is losing its urgency.

    Ruzan ISHKHANIAN

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