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Hockey: Winnipeg Jets: Zach Bogosian Contract Is a Huge Risk

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  • Hockey: Winnipeg Jets: Zach Bogosian Contract Is a Huge Risk

    Bleacher Report
    Aug 1 2013

    Winnipeg Jets: Zach Bogosian Contract Is a Huge Risk

    By Anthony Capocci


    The Winnipeg Jets and defenseman Zach Bogosian came to terms on a
    long-term, seven-year contract Monday, per the Canadian Press (h/t
    TSN). The payout is worth $36 million over the course of the
    seven-year deal. That's an average annual value of roughly $5.14
    million.

    That's a lot of years and a lot of money for a defenseman who hasn't
    proved much in the NHL.

    The Jets are taking a huge risk by signing Bogosian to a contract of
    this stature. There's no guarantee that Bogosian will be the next best
    defenseman in hockey. There's no guarantee that he'll even be better
    than average a few years from now. The entire contract is based off
    future potential - keyword: potential.

    Sure, Bogosian has a lot of it.

    So why not sign Bogosian to a short-term, two- or three-year deal? Why
    not let him prove his worth as a top-tier defenseman before signing
    him to a long-term deal with top-tier defenseman money? Instead,
    `untapped potential' will cost the Jets a cap hit of $5.1 million.

    Bogosian has a huge upside to his game. He's more of an all-around,
    two-way defenseman, but he excels in a few categories. He's extremely
    physical and isn't afraid to lay the big hit. He's also a talented
    skater and can generate offense from the back end.

    Defensively, Bogosian is reliable in his own end. Offensively, he can
    score goals, make the vital outlet pass and run a power play. The
    concern with Bogosian is consistency. He has to be more consistent on
    a nightly basis. If he can take care of that aspect, he'll be well on
    his way to elite status.

    Bogosian was a former third-overall pick by the Atlanta Thrashers back
    in 2008, so obviously he was highly touted coming into the league to
    begin with. Bogosian wasn't given any time to develop and was thrown
    right into the deep waters of the NHL instead.

    As an 18-year-old rookie, Bogosian scored nine goals in 47 games. He
    looked on pace to win the Calder Trophy before an unfortunate
    lower-body injury. His career high in goals came the following season
    when he scored 10.

    When his career in Winnipeg began in 2011-12, Bogosian accumulated a
    career-high of 30 points in 65 games. In the shortened lockout season,
    he finished with 14 points in 33 games. Injuries have been an issue
    with Bogosian since entering the NHL. If Bogosian stays healthy, he'd
    probably have a 40-point season under his belt by now.

    General manager Kevin Cheveldayoff and the rest of the Jets management
    obviously believe that Bogosian is going to be a franchise defenseman,
    or he wouldn't have been signed to this contract. Cheveldayoff didn't
    give him a year or two to prove himself. He gave him all of it.

    There are only two outcomes from this contract - Bogosian lives up to
    it, or he doesn't. That's the case with every professional contract in
    sports, but some are more significant than others. Bogosian is
    certainly capable of living up to it, but how many times have we seen
    these types of contracts come back to bite the teams that issued them?
    Obviously, it's a risk the Jets are willing to take.

    The Jets are pressed against the cap after the Bogosian signing. The
    good news is the salary cap is set to go up next year. With the cap
    going up, Bogosian's contract could become a steal if he lives up to
    the potential.

    The next few seasons will be defining years for Bogosian. He has to
    stay healthy, continue to learn the game and perform to the best of
    his abilities. There's no doubt that he can be a top defenseman in the
    NHL. He's an important piece to this franchise, especially in the long
    haul. The Jets made it clear that they want to build with defense.

    The good news is that Bogosian just turned 23 and already has those
    five seasons to his name (297 career games in total). This is about
    the time when a defenseman such as Bogosian is ready to take that next
    step in the NHL and take over. This is when all eyes will be on
    Bogosian game after game.

    Prepare to see a lot of critiquing going forward, but Bogosian is set
    to prove people wrong.

    http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1724199-winnipeg-jets-zach-bogosian-contract-is-a-huge-risk

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