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HOW RUSSIA GOT INTO THIS DEADLOCK OR WHO LET THE KREMLIN DOWN
Russia has passed to blunt threats to Armenia, at the expert level for
the time being. Constantine Zatulin, for example, threatens Armenia
"tenderly" in a long interview with the Regnum, while our Russia-based
compatriot Sergey Kurginyan says Armenians do not need independence
because they do not deserve it.
Russian reaction is increasingly nervous because their reaction means
increasingly less to Armenia. It is something like a confession or
self-discovery that produces the opposite effect and sounds like a
statement of Russia's political bankruptcy.
At the same time, however, one should not rule out interesting
processes inside the Russian political establishment.
The Russian-Armenian relations did not appear in this deadlock in a
night and due to the European bias of one person, Serzh Sargsyan. The
problems are wider. For many years Russia has conducted a policy of
absorbing Armenia. Yerevan has not resisted because Yerevan has not had
a goal and understanding of a state policy. In Yerevan everything has
been measured with a simple logic: if Russia sponsors and safeguards
keeping power, usurping public and state resources, rigging elections,
everything must be given to Russia.
However, it becomes known that Russia also lacked or had a distorted
understanding of state policy relating to Armenia. The point is that
the absorption of Armenia for about one and a half decade was perceived
as a demonstration of force rather than self-destruction. By absorbing
Armenia, taking everything it had and leaving it as a disabled state
with the permissiveness of the Armenian government and political
forces, Russia crippled and absorbed itself, depriving itself of an
important military and political partner.
Had Russia had a full understanding of state policy, Russia would not
think about crippling Armenia as success of its regional policy. On
the contrary, it would be interested in improving the reputation and
weight of Armenia in the Euro-Atlantic environment to have a viable
partner in interactions with this community that would complete the
military and political potential of Moscow.
Meanwhile, in the long run Armenia ended up as a consolation for the
great geopolitical retreat and an object of retribution for Moscow.
The majority of the Russian political community had its contribution to
this which was the ideologist of the official policy, the encourager
and inspirer, not trying to transform the policy but doing everything
to receive the laurels. Most of them, as well as their Armenia-based
"assistants" in Yerevan received laurels indeed.
Now the failure of this "triumphant parade" is outlining more and more
clearly for official Moscow. Having invaded Armenia, Moscow is missing
Armenia more and more. And the laureates of the policy of absorption
of Armenia are starting to feel it increasingly strongly. They feel
what may happen in the Kremlin.
Instead of distribution of laurels these people will get unpleasant
questions from the Kremlin. They wish Moscow just took their laurels
back. But Moscow will not be limited to that.
Most probably, the community of laureates is driving everyone mad.
Their deception or at least inability has been revealed. Not only
official Yerevan but also their own laureates let the Kremlin down
because nothing can work against Russia better than threats and
insult addressed to Armenia and the Armenian people. The Kremlin must
understand that this is not an adequate reaction to Armenia. Most
probably, there must be at least reckoning on change of style and
team because expert perceptions of Russia are not limited to Zatulin
and Kurginyan. In fact, there is a risk of redundancy which explains
the anti-Armenian hysteria.
The feeling of loss of one's own importance is hard indeed but one
should take care about it in time when such importance is acquired
at the expense of the national interests of Russia and Armenia.
Hakob Badalyan 23:17 12/07/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/30452
Russia has passed to blunt threats to Armenia, at the expert level for
the time being. Constantine Zatulin, for example, threatens Armenia
"tenderly" in a long interview with the Regnum, while our Russia-based
compatriot Sergey Kurginyan says Armenians do not need independence
because they do not deserve it.
Russian reaction is increasingly nervous because their reaction means
increasingly less to Armenia. It is something like a confession or
self-discovery that produces the opposite effect and sounds like a
statement of Russia's political bankruptcy.
At the same time, however, one should not rule out interesting
processes inside the Russian political establishment.
The Russian-Armenian relations did not appear in this deadlock in a
night and due to the European bias of one person, Serzh Sargsyan. The
problems are wider. For many years Russia has conducted a policy of
absorbing Armenia. Yerevan has not resisted because Yerevan has not had
a goal and understanding of a state policy. In Yerevan everything has
been measured with a simple logic: if Russia sponsors and safeguards
keeping power, usurping public and state resources, rigging elections,
everything must be given to Russia.
However, it becomes known that Russia also lacked or had a distorted
understanding of state policy relating to Armenia. The point is that
the absorption of Armenia for about one and a half decade was perceived
as a demonstration of force rather than self-destruction. By absorbing
Armenia, taking everything it had and leaving it as a disabled state
with the permissiveness of the Armenian government and political
forces, Russia crippled and absorbed itself, depriving itself of an
important military and political partner.
Had Russia had a full understanding of state policy, Russia would not
think about crippling Armenia as success of its regional policy. On
the contrary, it would be interested in improving the reputation and
weight of Armenia in the Euro-Atlantic environment to have a viable
partner in interactions with this community that would complete the
military and political potential of Moscow.
Meanwhile, in the long run Armenia ended up as a consolation for the
great geopolitical retreat and an object of retribution for Moscow.
The majority of the Russian political community had its contribution to
this which was the ideologist of the official policy, the encourager
and inspirer, not trying to transform the policy but doing everything
to receive the laurels. Most of them, as well as their Armenia-based
"assistants" in Yerevan received laurels indeed.
Now the failure of this "triumphant parade" is outlining more and more
clearly for official Moscow. Having invaded Armenia, Moscow is missing
Armenia more and more. And the laureates of the policy of absorption
of Armenia are starting to feel it increasingly strongly. They feel
what may happen in the Kremlin.
Instead of distribution of laurels these people will get unpleasant
questions from the Kremlin. They wish Moscow just took their laurels
back. But Moscow will not be limited to that.
Most probably, the community of laureates is driving everyone mad.
Their deception or at least inability has been revealed. Not only
official Yerevan but also their own laureates let the Kremlin down
because nothing can work against Russia better than threats and
insult addressed to Armenia and the Armenian people. The Kremlin must
understand that this is not an adequate reaction to Armenia. Most
probably, there must be at least reckoning on change of style and
team because expert perceptions of Russia are not limited to Zatulin
and Kurginyan. In fact, there is a risk of redundancy which explains
the anti-Armenian hysteria.
The feeling of loss of one's own importance is hard indeed but one
should take care about it in time when such importance is acquired
at the expense of the national interests of Russia and Armenia.
Hakob Badalyan 23:17 12/07/2013 Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/30452