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200 THOUSAND VOTES TO BECOME MAYOR
Naira Hayrumyan
10:37 29/03/2013
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index.php/eng/0/country/view/29448
The parties that did not reach an agreement to run jointly for the
Council of Elders do not rule out post-electoral cooperation. Perhaps,
everything will depend on who will be elected mayor.
According to February data, there are 890,000 voters in Yerevan. If a
party receives 41%, it will automatically nominate the mayor. About
half of Yerevan residents, 445,000, voted for incumbent president.
Apparently, we will have the same picture during the mayoral
elections. Actually, if one of the political parties receives 200,000
votes, it will nominate mayor.
At first sight, 200,000 does not seem a big figure, not only in
Yerevan where people vote more independently but also in the regions.
Besides, it is easier for the opposition to exercise control over 464
polling stations than all over the country. This time, ballot stuffing
and vote buying will become more difficult.
This means that if none of the parties receives 41%, the Council of
Elders will elect mayor. Here, the oppositional parties will need to
cooperate.
But the unsuccessful pre-election attempts aimed at cooperation do not
allow hoping that after May 5 the parties may unite. The point is that
they may face the same issue that they are facing now - disagreement
over the top of the list. The ARF and Heritage unveiled some details
of the failed negotiations. We can see several factors: 1. ARF wanted
to have the PAP in the pre-election bloc, 2. Heritage thinks Vartan
Oskanian's candidacy is not optimal, 3. Heritage does not view the
mayoral elections as a priority because it agreed that the joint list
was headed by Lilit Galstyan of the ARF.
Will the parties be able to overcome these disagreements? Will the ARF
succeed in pushing Heritage into an alliance with PAP? Will Heritage
agree to support Vartan Oskanian?
These issues are technical at first sight but a good mathematician
could calculate victory.
From: Baghdasarian
Naira Hayrumyan
10:37 29/03/2013
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index.php/eng/0/country/view/29448
The parties that did not reach an agreement to run jointly for the
Council of Elders do not rule out post-electoral cooperation. Perhaps,
everything will depend on who will be elected mayor.
According to February data, there are 890,000 voters in Yerevan. If a
party receives 41%, it will automatically nominate the mayor. About
half of Yerevan residents, 445,000, voted for incumbent president.
Apparently, we will have the same picture during the mayoral
elections. Actually, if one of the political parties receives 200,000
votes, it will nominate mayor.
At first sight, 200,000 does not seem a big figure, not only in
Yerevan where people vote more independently but also in the regions.
Besides, it is easier for the opposition to exercise control over 464
polling stations than all over the country. This time, ballot stuffing
and vote buying will become more difficult.
This means that if none of the parties receives 41%, the Council of
Elders will elect mayor. Here, the oppositional parties will need to
cooperate.
But the unsuccessful pre-election attempts aimed at cooperation do not
allow hoping that after May 5 the parties may unite. The point is that
they may face the same issue that they are facing now - disagreement
over the top of the list. The ARF and Heritage unveiled some details
of the failed negotiations. We can see several factors: 1. ARF wanted
to have the PAP in the pre-election bloc, 2. Heritage thinks Vartan
Oskanian's candidacy is not optimal, 3. Heritage does not view the
mayoral elections as a priority because it agreed that the joint list
was headed by Lilit Galstyan of the ARF.
Will the parties be able to overcome these disagreements? Will the ARF
succeed in pushing Heritage into an alliance with PAP? Will Heritage
agree to support Vartan Oskanian?
These issues are technical at first sight but a good mathematician
could calculate victory.
From: Baghdasarian