ARF SENT PAP INTO AWKWARD SITUATION
Naira Hayrumyan
http://www.lragir.am/index.php/eng/0/comments/view/29779
Friday, 03 May 2013, 15:05
The ARF has proposed the opposition parties to sign a statement that
they will not cooperate with the government after the May 5 election
and will collaborate. The political parties have not responded to
this simple proposal. The reasons could be two. Either the parties
are going to form a coalition with the government or are not likely
to cooperate with one another. Although, it is possible that they
have not managed to answer yet.
The subtlety of the situation is that nobody can foresee the
post-electoral alignment of forces. Nothing is ruled out, such
as an RPA-PAP coalition with the option of Gagik Tsarukyan. Some
"well-aware" sources note that Serzh Sargsyan will not appoint the
government until the election because there may be a possibility for
a coalition government. They even say that Vartan Oskanian with his
team may leave the PAP and set up another political party.
In this regard, if the government monolith is broken, Levon
Ter-Petrosyan may also join the coalition. In that case the ARF would
probably retain its moderate opposition posture.
Perhaps, this is the reason why Barev Yerevan Alliance headed by Raffi
Hovannisian does not hurry to sign the memorandum. Raffi Hovannisian
does not perceive the PAP as opposition and even refused to join the
joint campaign headquarters for the parliamentary election.
Hovannisian understands that he will not benefit from the PAP's
participation in either cases: if the PAP forms a coalition with the
RPA in case Taron Margaryan wins, and if Vartan Oskanian is nominated
as joint opposition candidate in case Taron Margaryan loses.
The RPA is doing everything it can to retain its "absolute victory".
They speak about new technologies. For example, 100,000 Republicans
are said to have been brought to Yerevan from the regions. If they
submit a certificate of residence in Yerevan, they will be able
to vote lawfully, and the opposition will not be able to dispute
it. And since it will take 200,000 to get 40% to 50% turnout, the
group brought from the regions will have a crucial importance.
Naira Hayrumyan
http://www.lragir.am/index.php/eng/0/comments/view/29779
Friday, 03 May 2013, 15:05
The ARF has proposed the opposition parties to sign a statement that
they will not cooperate with the government after the May 5 election
and will collaborate. The political parties have not responded to
this simple proposal. The reasons could be two. Either the parties
are going to form a coalition with the government or are not likely
to cooperate with one another. Although, it is possible that they
have not managed to answer yet.
The subtlety of the situation is that nobody can foresee the
post-electoral alignment of forces. Nothing is ruled out, such
as an RPA-PAP coalition with the option of Gagik Tsarukyan. Some
"well-aware" sources note that Serzh Sargsyan will not appoint the
government until the election because there may be a possibility for
a coalition government. They even say that Vartan Oskanian with his
team may leave the PAP and set up another political party.
In this regard, if the government monolith is broken, Levon
Ter-Petrosyan may also join the coalition. In that case the ARF would
probably retain its moderate opposition posture.
Perhaps, this is the reason why Barev Yerevan Alliance headed by Raffi
Hovannisian does not hurry to sign the memorandum. Raffi Hovannisian
does not perceive the PAP as opposition and even refused to join the
joint campaign headquarters for the parliamentary election.
Hovannisian understands that he will not benefit from the PAP's
participation in either cases: if the PAP forms a coalition with the
RPA in case Taron Margaryan wins, and if Vartan Oskanian is nominated
as joint opposition candidate in case Taron Margaryan loses.
The RPA is doing everything it can to retain its "absolute victory".
They speak about new technologies. For example, 100,000 Republicans
are said to have been brought to Yerevan from the regions. If they
submit a certificate of residence in Yerevan, they will be able
to vote lawfully, and the opposition will not be able to dispute
it. And since it will take 200,000 to get 40% to 50% turnout, the
group brought from the regions will have a crucial importance.