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Over Customs Barrier. Armenia Will Unofficially Take Nagorno-Karabak

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  • Over Customs Barrier. Armenia Will Unofficially Take Nagorno-Karabak

    OVER CUSTOMS BARRIER. ARMENIA WILL UNOFFICIALLY TAKE NAGORNO-KARABAKH INTO CUSTOMS UNION

    Gazeta.ru , Russia
    Sept 26 2013

    by Zhanna Ulyanova

    Armenia's joining the Customs Union with the participation of Russia,
    Kazakhstan, and Belarus accords with the interests of Nagorno-Karabakh,
    the authorities in the unrecognized republic say.

    Stepanakert doubts, however, that the union's present members will
    permit Nagorno-Karabakh's participation in the customs and economic
    partnership. Analysts believe that the unrecognized republic will
    enter the Customs Union zone along with Armenia by default.

    Armenia's joining the Customs Union, whose members are
    Russia, Kazakhstan, and Belarus, accords with the interests of
    Nagorno-Karabakh, David Babayan, press secretary to the president of
    the unrecognized republic, told Gazeta.ru. But Stepanakert does not
    believe that Yerevan's trade and economic integration into the Eurasian
    Economic Community will promote Nagorno-Karabakh's recognition as a
    subject of international law.

    "We believe that Armenia's decision to join the Customs Union accords
    with the interests of Nagorno-Karabakh. But talk to the effect
    that after joining the Customs Union opportunities will emerge for
    Nagorno-Karabakh to be recognized by the union's member countries or
    by the union itself as an international intergovernmental organization
    is an expression of the wishes of certain politicians rather than a
    real prospect," Babayan said.

    However, the Nagorno-Karabakh Government is certain that Armenia's
    membership of the Customs Union guarantees stability and the peaceful
    resolution of the conflict around the self-proclaimed state.

    Yerevan, on the contrary, links the decision that Armenian President
    Serzha Sargsyan adopted in his 3 September Moscow meeting with Vladimir
    Putin not only with a desire to secure Moscow's support but also with
    an attempt to ensure international recognition for Nagorno-Karabakh. On
    3 September Sargsyan put an end to two years of maneuvering between
    the Customs Union and the EU. He announced Armenia's wish to begin the
    process of integration into the Eurasian area, thereby renouncing the
    initialing of the EU association agreement that was to have taken place
    in November this year at the "Eastern Partnership" summit in Vilnius.

    The ruling Republican Party of Armenia [RPA] stated the need to link
    Nagorno-Karabakh's recognition with joining the Customs Union. The
    mechanism for this kind of recognition can be implemented through
    the drawing up of customs documentation, Gagik Minasyan, deputy for
    the RPA faction and head of the Permanent Parliamentary Commission
    on Financial, Credit, and Budget Issues, pointed out earlier.

    Karen Ogandzhanyan, a Karabakh human rights campaigner, does not
    believe in Sargsyan's intention to return Nagorno-Karabakh to the
    legal international field by way of joining the Customs Union. "Those
    who make such claims are misleading the Armenian people and trying
    to level in the eyes of the public the Armenian president's one-man
    decision to join the Customs Union - a decision that will undoubtedly
    have negative consequences," Ogandzhanyan believes.

    The Armenian Government has already approved a program of measures for
    the republic to join the Customs Union. The joining procedure will be
    long and complex, Vladimir Lepekhin, director of the Eurasian Economic
    Community Institute, pointed out. "For this it is necessary to adopt
    several dozen interstate agreements. For a year now Kyrgyzstan has been
    tackling the technological part of integration into the Customs Union,
    and to all intents and purposes the agreements will begin functioning
    only from January 2015," the expert said.

    Taking into account the absence of common borders with the Customs
    Union countries, Armenia will obtain a special status of membership
    of the trade and economic area.

    Lepekhin believes that the decision on where the borders of the Customs
    Union will lie - taking or not taking Nagorno-Karabakh into account -
    will be made by Yerevan, without pressure from Moscow.

    "Armenia understands the importance of Customs Union expansion to
    Russia. For now Yerevan has only expressed readiness to join and will
    now start shaping its terms, which might go beyond the economy and
    concern recognition of Karabakh," the political analyst said. But even
    if such a position is delineated, it will be discussed at presidential
    level and not in public.

    Analysts believe that the Customs Union countries are not interested
    in recognizing Nagorno-Karabakh, but the unrecognized state may find
    itself unofficially in the zone of trade and economic partnership.

    "Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh constitute a single economic area:
    The Armenian currency and banking system operate in Stepanakert,
    and the legislative systems are extremely close. Mindful of these
    special features, Armenia will conduct the negotiating process over
    the form of joining the Customs Union," Armenian political analyst
    Aleksandr Iskandaryan, director of the Caucasian Media Institute,
    said. He regards the likelihood of Nagorno-Karabakh being recognized
    by the Customs Union countries as an "exotic scenario."

    The territory of Nagorno-Karabakh will most likely enjoy
    the preferences of the trade and economic agreement by default,
    Iskandaryan believes.

    Karen Ogandzhanyan sees no possibility of the self-proclaimed republic
    participating in the Customs Union. "Karabakh cannot, a priori,
    be included in the Customs Union without its independence being
    recognized by the union's member countries. What is more, neither
    Russia, nor Belarus, nor, still more so, Kazakhstan will ever permit
    even the tenuous participation of Nagorno-Karabakh in such a union. It
    should not be forgotten that Belarus once saved Azerbaijan's credit,
    and Russia recently secured very promising prospects to exploit and
    transport hydrocarbons from fields being worked by Azerbaijan.

    Kazakhstan is the only country to have come out loudly in the past
    against Armenia joining the Customs Union along with Karabakh,"
    Ogandzhanyan recalled.

    "Armenia's integration into the Customs Union will most likely
    provide Nagorno-Karabakh with additional opportunities to export
    output to the Russian market," Babayan said. "Nagorno-Karabakh is
    able to concentrate on ecologically clean output, alcoholic products,
    and the development of tourism."

    Azerbaijan has perceived Armenia's intention to integrate into the
    Customs Union with concern and regards this as confirming Yerevan's
    dependence on Moscow, Hikmat Hacizada, Azerbaijan's ex-ambassador
    to Russia and president of the FAR Center for Economic and Political
    Research, said.

    "Once again we have seen for ourselves that Armenia is not free in
    its political choice, since earlier it was intending to sign the
    agreement on associate membership of the EU but unexpectedly altered
    its decision. This is all very sad for Azerbaijan. Russia does not
    need any particular reasons to recognize Karabakh, but so far it has
    not done this," Hacizada pointed out.

    [Translated from Russian]




    From: A. Papazian
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