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  • Turkish-Armenian Relations And Public Opinion

    TURKISH-ARMENIAN RELATIONS AND PUBLIC OPINION

    Diplomatic Courier
    Oct 25 2013

    Oct 15, 2012 Written by Vahram Ayvazyan, Guest Contributor

    Recent political developments in the historical Asia Minor and
    Trans-Caucasia region beg the question: are state governments the right
    institutions to rely on and work with to puzzle out the overarching
    challenges the nations are facing concomitantly?

    Ongoing dramatic changes in the Middle East in general, and in the
    South Caucasus in particular, pose a threat to a peaceful coexistence
    within the region. For decades, the Turkish government has been in
    a perpetual state of genocide denial, while a series of blunders and
    miscalculations made by the Armenian and Turkish governments vis-a-vis
    regional policy have sparked tensions. While governments refuse to
    cooperate on such issues, direct dialogue between people of Armenia
    and Turkey on the one hand, and between the Armenian diaspora and
    Turkish diaspora on the other hand, must be a long-term strategy.

    Closed borders and current glacial Turkish-Armenian relations
    notwithstanding, dialogue and better future are attainable goals.

    First and foremost, a tremendous gap exists between true public opinion
    and a so-called "published opinion" in quasi-democratic states and
    in states in transition. Turkish government officials deny the early
    20th century conflict resulted in a genocide of Armenians, but have
    not yet succeeding in filling that vacuum with "adequate alternative
    stories." They have not yet grasped that media and information can no
    longer be controlled by the state, and the the drastic development of
    information and communication technologies within Turkey and outside
    its borders is gradual, but constantly changing perceptions of history
    among ordinary Turks. How long will the Turkish government succeed
    in keeping official denial dominant over the real public opinion? It
    is only a matter of time.

    Yet it is civil society organizations, think-tanks, and NGOs that can
    harness the power of ordinary citizens and make their voice heard in
    the decision-making processes of governments. Turkish society feels as
    though it is on the threshold of a new life. Many Turks are keen on
    facing their own history and entering into dialogue with Armenians,
    but their thirst for change is hampered by that policy of published
    opinion--imposing the Turkish government's denial on Turkish citizens.

    It is of utmost significance to engage as many Turkish students,
    academics, civil society servants, activists, and ordinary citizens as
    possible in dialogue with their Armenian colleagues that will spur an
    increase in public awareness of their own history among Turks, as well
    as more independence and leverage vis-a-vis their government. Despite
    a number of successful projects, more must be done by both sides.

    What do Armenians and Turks need for a future of coexistence? The
    answer is clear: Armenians need recognition in order recovering from
    psychological trauma and dishonor, as well as peaceful coexistence
    rather than perpetual unease between two people. Turks need recognition
    for a modernizing and democratizing Turkey for entering in a new
    era where coexistence replaces enmity, where Turkish society will be
    robust enough to overcome 21st century's challenges. Both Armenians
    and Turks need to assure themselves that public opinion will win
    a decisive victory over state-led published opinion and open new
    horizons for two people.

    The 100th anniversary (1915-2015) of the Armenian Genocide is fast
    approaching. It could prove to be a major breakthrough in genocide
    recognition and Armenian-Turkish Dialogue.

    Vahram Ayvazyan is a 2012 graduate of the Genocide and Human Rights
    University Program at the International Institute for Genocide and
    Human Rights Studies in Toronto.

    http://www.diplomaticourier.com/blog/1881-turkish-armenian-relations-and-public-opinion

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