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AZERI MINISTER WARNS AGAINST ARMENIAN BILL ON KARABAKH RECOGNITION
Yeni Musavat, Azerbaijan
Oct 25 2013
The Azerbaijani foreign minister has said that recognizing the
country's breakaway Nagornyy Karabakh republic as independent body
will violate international law.
"Azerbaijan's independence was recognized within the borders of the
Azerbaijani Soviet Socialist Republic. The UN accepted these borders.
Nagornyy Karabakh was part of the Azerbaijani Soviet Socialist
Republic. All countries members of the UN have accepted this,"
Meanwhile, Azerbaijani analysts blamed the bill either on Armenian
domestic politics or on Russia's pressure on Azerbaijan.
Domestic considerations
Political analyst Mubariz Ahmadoglu told the website that it is
not Russia's influence but domestic political considerations that
brought to the Armenian parliament the draft law "On recognition
of the Nagornyy Karabakh republic". "Armenians have cheapened the
Nagornyy Karabakh issue to such an extent that now this is not treated
seriously within Armenia itself," he said.
According to Ahmadoglu, the Armenian political parties exploit the
issue to score points. "The real objective is to undermine the ruling
Republican Party of Armenia, erode its authority among Armenians,
because they know that the ruling party, which forms the Armenian
government and majority of the parliament will not agree to even
debating this draft law, much less pass it," he said.
Ahmadoglu said that Azerbaijan stands to benefit from this. "As a
result of further deepening the divide, conflict and lack of confidence
in Armenian society, raising within Armenia the matter of Nagornyy
Karabakh's independence benefits Azerbaijan," the analyst said.
He added that passing the bill would dent Armenia's international
relations: "Armenia knows full well that if it recognizes
the separatist regime, then it will violate agreement with the
international community, destroy peace talks and give Azerbaijan an
opportunity to begin a war".
Ahmadoglu said that Russia is unlikely to recognize Nagornyy Karabakh's
independence. "Russia knows that by recognizing Nagornyy Karabakh
it can completely distance from itself not only Azerbaijan, but
also Turkey."
Another political analyst, Rasim Agayev, told Baki Xabar on 23 October
that this is a trick of the Armenian authorities to cement domestic
support. He said they were unlikely to recognize Nagornyy Karabakh,
wary of international consequences for Armenia.
"If the [Armenian President Serzh] Sargsyan government recognizes
the separatist entity, then it will come under pressure from the
international community. You know that because of the difficult
position, the Sargsyan government is using the Nagornyy Karabakh card.
He believes that he thus strengthens his domestic position. However,
this is unlikely to go beyond parliamentary debates because Armenia
is afraid of pressure from the international community," Agayev said.
Russian will
Azerbaijani analyst Vafa Quluzada has said that Moscow backed the
Armenian draft law on recognizing Nagornyy Karabakh and recent
statements on deployment of Russian troops in the region.
With the deterioration in bilateral ties Russia is applying various
forms of pressure on Azerbaijan, Azadliq newspaper quoted Quluzada
as saying on 23 October. The analyst said talk of bringing Russian
peacemakers to Karabakh is part of Russia's pressure for Baku's
unwillingness to join the Moscow-led Customs Union.
"As for the statements by the Karabakh separatists, they are expressing
the Russian position. It is impossible for them to make an independent
statement without Russia's approval," the analyst said. He added
that the same holds true for Armenia: "Armenia and Karabakh have no
powers. Simply, Russia is manipulating them. The developments must
be regarded as exclusively Russia's initiative."
Political analyst Zardust Alizada too believes that the remarks were
Moscow's way of pressuring Baku.
"It cannot be considered a coincidence that the Armenian parliament
debates the draft law? On recognition of the Nagornyy Karabakh
republic' at this moment", the analyst told Baki Xabar, referring to
problems in Azerbaijan-Russia relations. "On this matter Russia will
achieve whatever it wants because Armenia is its slave. It will do
whatever it says," he said.
Alizada dismissed likelihood of the bill passing and the impact of
such recognition for the breakaway region. "It is not very likely
that the draft law will pass. Even if this happens, this will be very
damaging for Armenians. Russia once already used this practice. The
recognition of Abkhazia and Ossetia as independent countries yielded
no effect. With the exception of Russia, no serious country recognized
the independence of these provinces," the analyst said.
"I can say with full certainty that this process is taking place
despite the will of the Armenian leadership. I point out once more
that if the Armenian parliament recognizes Nagornyy Karabakh as an
independent state, the world will not recognize it," he said.
[Translated from Azeri]
From: Baghdasarian
Yeni Musavat, Azerbaijan
Oct 25 2013
The Azerbaijani foreign minister has said that recognizing the
country's breakaway Nagornyy Karabakh republic as independent body
will violate international law.
"Azerbaijan's independence was recognized within the borders of the
Azerbaijani Soviet Socialist Republic. The UN accepted these borders.
Nagornyy Karabakh was part of the Azerbaijani Soviet Socialist
Republic. All countries members of the UN have accepted this,"
Meanwhile, Azerbaijani analysts blamed the bill either on Armenian
domestic politics or on Russia's pressure on Azerbaijan.
Domestic considerations
Political analyst Mubariz Ahmadoglu told the website that it is
not Russia's influence but domestic political considerations that
brought to the Armenian parliament the draft law "On recognition
of the Nagornyy Karabakh republic". "Armenians have cheapened the
Nagornyy Karabakh issue to such an extent that now this is not treated
seriously within Armenia itself," he said.
According to Ahmadoglu, the Armenian political parties exploit the
issue to score points. "The real objective is to undermine the ruling
Republican Party of Armenia, erode its authority among Armenians,
because they know that the ruling party, which forms the Armenian
government and majority of the parliament will not agree to even
debating this draft law, much less pass it," he said.
Ahmadoglu said that Azerbaijan stands to benefit from this. "As a
result of further deepening the divide, conflict and lack of confidence
in Armenian society, raising within Armenia the matter of Nagornyy
Karabakh's independence benefits Azerbaijan," the analyst said.
He added that passing the bill would dent Armenia's international
relations: "Armenia knows full well that if it recognizes
the separatist regime, then it will violate agreement with the
international community, destroy peace talks and give Azerbaijan an
opportunity to begin a war".
Ahmadoglu said that Russia is unlikely to recognize Nagornyy Karabakh's
independence. "Russia knows that by recognizing Nagornyy Karabakh
it can completely distance from itself not only Azerbaijan, but
also Turkey."
Another political analyst, Rasim Agayev, told Baki Xabar on 23 October
that this is a trick of the Armenian authorities to cement domestic
support. He said they were unlikely to recognize Nagornyy Karabakh,
wary of international consequences for Armenia.
"If the [Armenian President Serzh] Sargsyan government recognizes
the separatist entity, then it will come under pressure from the
international community. You know that because of the difficult
position, the Sargsyan government is using the Nagornyy Karabakh card.
He believes that he thus strengthens his domestic position. However,
this is unlikely to go beyond parliamentary debates because Armenia
is afraid of pressure from the international community," Agayev said.
Russian will
Azerbaijani analyst Vafa Quluzada has said that Moscow backed the
Armenian draft law on recognizing Nagornyy Karabakh and recent
statements on deployment of Russian troops in the region.
With the deterioration in bilateral ties Russia is applying various
forms of pressure on Azerbaijan, Azadliq newspaper quoted Quluzada
as saying on 23 October. The analyst said talk of bringing Russian
peacemakers to Karabakh is part of Russia's pressure for Baku's
unwillingness to join the Moscow-led Customs Union.
"As for the statements by the Karabakh separatists, they are expressing
the Russian position. It is impossible for them to make an independent
statement without Russia's approval," the analyst said. He added
that the same holds true for Armenia: "Armenia and Karabakh have no
powers. Simply, Russia is manipulating them. The developments must
be regarded as exclusively Russia's initiative."
Political analyst Zardust Alizada too believes that the remarks were
Moscow's way of pressuring Baku.
"It cannot be considered a coincidence that the Armenian parliament
debates the draft law? On recognition of the Nagornyy Karabakh
republic' at this moment", the analyst told Baki Xabar, referring to
problems in Azerbaijan-Russia relations. "On this matter Russia will
achieve whatever it wants because Armenia is its slave. It will do
whatever it says," he said.
Alizada dismissed likelihood of the bill passing and the impact of
such recognition for the breakaway region. "It is not very likely
that the draft law will pass. Even if this happens, this will be very
damaging for Armenians. Russia once already used this practice. The
recognition of Abkhazia and Ossetia as independent countries yielded
no effect. With the exception of Russia, no serious country recognized
the independence of these provinces," the analyst said.
"I can say with full certainty that this process is taking place
despite the will of the Armenian leadership. I point out once more
that if the Armenian parliament recognizes Nagornyy Karabakh as an
independent state, the world will not recognize it," he said.
[Translated from Azeri]
From: Baghdasarian