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MOSCOW RESOLVED KARABAKH ISSUE
Haikazn Ghahriyan, Editor-in-Chief
Comments - 22 December 2014, 23:07
The Foreign Ministry of Belarus has announced that as Armenia joins
the Eurasian Economic Union Nagorno-Karabakh will not be part of
the union. "We worried that the territories which were not part
of Armenia could appear within the space of the Customs Union. The
Armenian side understood this requirement, this provision. There was
a note attached to the agreement that Nagorno-Karabakh is not part of
the Republic of Armenia. There has been an official oral statement by
the Armenian side," the deputy foreign minister of Belarus announced.
There is nothing new about this, considering the so-called official
stance of Armenia on Karabakh. This position has been reduced to
several miserable theses, which can be summed up approximately like
this: Armenia will agree to the stance of the Karabakh people,
Armenia will recognize NKR as soon as any other state recognizes
it. The Armenian government recognized Karabakh as part of Azerbaijan
in 1991 which has been the most serious "act" so far.
In the long run, Armenia has not had a clear position on Karabakh
though the problem has an immense potential in both regional and
geopolitical terms. Armenia and Karabakh could have used their
potential assuming an irreplaceable role in the region and creating
a political precedent which is appreciated the most in world politics.
In the meantime, everyone has benefitted from this except Armenia
which was satisfied by several miserable theses. Armenia has agreed
to all the documents, resolutions and recommendations on NKR. The
latest example is the infamous principles of Madrid on which Armenia
continues to negotiate.
In fact, there is a hope that Azerbaijan will reject all the proposals,
which is true, in fact. In other words, regarding Karabakh the Armenian
diplomacy has been confined to three circumstances: 1.
Azerbaijan will refuse all the mediations; 2. Geopolitical
controversies over Karabakh will allow retaining the status quo; 3.
Karabakh must take part in the negotiations.
In fact, this has been the case for two decades, and over time such
a database of documents has accrued which, if applied, would be
sufficient to return Karabakh to Azerbaijan three times.
In such a situation Armenia joins the Eurasian Economic Union while
Karabakh is left "outside". The public-political "establishment"
of Yerevan may breathe with relief: at last, they "got rid" of
Karabakh which was their aim over these years. For two decades this
"establishment" has blamed Karabakh for its incompetency and failures.
And these moods were best defined by Lyudmila Sargsyan of the Armenian
National Congress who announced that we should hand Karabakh and get
through with it to ensure livelihood in Armenia for the generations,
and the Eurasian Economic Union is a great opportunity.
This is a topic for another article which we will consider in
the future. In the meantime, the Armenian political system voted
for pushing Armenia into the Eurasian Economic Union. There were
occasional concerns among the public relating to a likely BCP between
Armenia and Karabakh, possible difficulties with supplying weapons
etc. These concerns have not been addressed because these forces are
political in name only, they have proved that they have nothing to
do with politics and they do not even have the wish to. They cannot
assume any responsibility, especially for Karabakh, which was proved
by the December 4 voting.
Russia, one of the mediators of the peace process Karabakh, has
been up for "monopolizing" this issue, deploying troops and getting
through with the "consolidation of territories". Recently, it was
attempted to cause escalation at the border with Karabakh which was,
however, prevented thanks to the actions of the Armenian armed forces,
thwarting the "schemes" of deployment of troops. The Armenian forces
announced that there is no need for the third party's troops.
Currently, land communication between Russia and Armenia is being
considered which the Russians propose running via Azerbaijan.
According to the Russian experts, even negotiations are going on. I
wonder what the price for this corridor is going to be. If it is
impossible to resolve the problem through the military path, the
Eurasian schemes may be put to action. For example, Azerbaijan enters
the Eurasian Economic Union, "receiving" Karabakh. This is almost the
same scheme as that of 1920-1921 with slight improvements. Armenia
has provided this opportunity to Moscow and Baku.
On the other hand, the situation is not that hopeless. Karabakh is
actually released of chains and circumstances. The announcement of
the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Belarus and the decision of the
Eurasian Economic Union are, in fact, recognition of the autonomy of
Karabakh. In other words, the Eurasian Economic Union treats Karabakh
as a "territory" with a certain status. Besides, a slow but steady
process of recognition of Karabakh is underway, for the time being,
by states of great powers. Besides the "establishment" of Armenia,
everyone in the world knows the price and military-political factor
of Karabakh.
They know and they will use it, which is, in fact, a chance for
Karabakh. Karabakh is not a member of any union, so it is not limited
by any international commitment, including to Armenia which has
stopped being a subject.
Is Karabakh able to use this favorable circumstance? The government of
Karabakh does not differ from the Armenian system and is not capable
of politics. However, there are traditions and forces which can assume
responsibility for saving the Armenian state and restoring its dignity
once again.
Poor people of Karabakh! Again they will not have a peaceful life. One
again, the Yerevan-based establishment could not understand anything.
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/33349#sthash.FVzmrHDS.dpuf
Haikazn Ghahriyan, Editor-in-Chief
Comments - 22 December 2014, 23:07
The Foreign Ministry of Belarus has announced that as Armenia joins
the Eurasian Economic Union Nagorno-Karabakh will not be part of
the union. "We worried that the territories which were not part
of Armenia could appear within the space of the Customs Union. The
Armenian side understood this requirement, this provision. There was
a note attached to the agreement that Nagorno-Karabakh is not part of
the Republic of Armenia. There has been an official oral statement by
the Armenian side," the deputy foreign minister of Belarus announced.
There is nothing new about this, considering the so-called official
stance of Armenia on Karabakh. This position has been reduced to
several miserable theses, which can be summed up approximately like
this: Armenia will agree to the stance of the Karabakh people,
Armenia will recognize NKR as soon as any other state recognizes
it. The Armenian government recognized Karabakh as part of Azerbaijan
in 1991 which has been the most serious "act" so far.
In the long run, Armenia has not had a clear position on Karabakh
though the problem has an immense potential in both regional and
geopolitical terms. Armenia and Karabakh could have used their
potential assuming an irreplaceable role in the region and creating
a political precedent which is appreciated the most in world politics.
In the meantime, everyone has benefitted from this except Armenia
which was satisfied by several miserable theses. Armenia has agreed
to all the documents, resolutions and recommendations on NKR. The
latest example is the infamous principles of Madrid on which Armenia
continues to negotiate.
In fact, there is a hope that Azerbaijan will reject all the proposals,
which is true, in fact. In other words, regarding Karabakh the Armenian
diplomacy has been confined to three circumstances: 1.
Azerbaijan will refuse all the mediations; 2. Geopolitical
controversies over Karabakh will allow retaining the status quo; 3.
Karabakh must take part in the negotiations.
In fact, this has been the case for two decades, and over time such
a database of documents has accrued which, if applied, would be
sufficient to return Karabakh to Azerbaijan three times.
In such a situation Armenia joins the Eurasian Economic Union while
Karabakh is left "outside". The public-political "establishment"
of Yerevan may breathe with relief: at last, they "got rid" of
Karabakh which was their aim over these years. For two decades this
"establishment" has blamed Karabakh for its incompetency and failures.
And these moods were best defined by Lyudmila Sargsyan of the Armenian
National Congress who announced that we should hand Karabakh and get
through with it to ensure livelihood in Armenia for the generations,
and the Eurasian Economic Union is a great opportunity.
This is a topic for another article which we will consider in
the future. In the meantime, the Armenian political system voted
for pushing Armenia into the Eurasian Economic Union. There were
occasional concerns among the public relating to a likely BCP between
Armenia and Karabakh, possible difficulties with supplying weapons
etc. These concerns have not been addressed because these forces are
political in name only, they have proved that they have nothing to
do with politics and they do not even have the wish to. They cannot
assume any responsibility, especially for Karabakh, which was proved
by the December 4 voting.
Russia, one of the mediators of the peace process Karabakh, has
been up for "monopolizing" this issue, deploying troops and getting
through with the "consolidation of territories". Recently, it was
attempted to cause escalation at the border with Karabakh which was,
however, prevented thanks to the actions of the Armenian armed forces,
thwarting the "schemes" of deployment of troops. The Armenian forces
announced that there is no need for the third party's troops.
Currently, land communication between Russia and Armenia is being
considered which the Russians propose running via Azerbaijan.
According to the Russian experts, even negotiations are going on. I
wonder what the price for this corridor is going to be. If it is
impossible to resolve the problem through the military path, the
Eurasian schemes may be put to action. For example, Azerbaijan enters
the Eurasian Economic Union, "receiving" Karabakh. This is almost the
same scheme as that of 1920-1921 with slight improvements. Armenia
has provided this opportunity to Moscow and Baku.
On the other hand, the situation is not that hopeless. Karabakh is
actually released of chains and circumstances. The announcement of
the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Belarus and the decision of the
Eurasian Economic Union are, in fact, recognition of the autonomy of
Karabakh. In other words, the Eurasian Economic Union treats Karabakh
as a "territory" with a certain status. Besides, a slow but steady
process of recognition of Karabakh is underway, for the time being,
by states of great powers. Besides the "establishment" of Armenia,
everyone in the world knows the price and military-political factor
of Karabakh.
They know and they will use it, which is, in fact, a chance for
Karabakh. Karabakh is not a member of any union, so it is not limited
by any international commitment, including to Armenia which has
stopped being a subject.
Is Karabakh able to use this favorable circumstance? The government of
Karabakh does not differ from the Armenian system and is not capable
of politics. However, there are traditions and forces which can assume
responsibility for saving the Armenian state and restoring its dignity
once again.
Poor people of Karabakh! Again they will not have a peaceful life. One
again, the Yerevan-based establishment could not understand anything.
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/33349#sthash.FVzmrHDS.dpuf