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What Does Aliyev Silence?
The president of Azerbaijan addressed the meeting of his government.
Apart from phrases on boost of state and military budgets and the
right of Azerbaijan to resolve the Karabakh conflict through force
that set everyone's teeth on edge, he hailed certain activity at the
end of the past year. `There is hope, there are moments of optimism
but in 2014 we will study it. At any rate, in 2014 the real intentions
of Armenia will become known,' he said.
He certainly said that Armenia must `demonstrate a realistic approach'
which must be based on `correlation of real forces, and the growing
might of Azerbaijan will have its role.
In fact, Aliyev confesses that his only argument in the Karabakh
dispute is violence. However, this is not the most important thing.
Aliyev hints that 2014 may be crucial for the settlement of the
Karabakh conflict. And he has reasons to think so.
What changes were there in 2013 relating to the settlement of Karabakh
and around him?
Armenia rejected the complementary policy and declared itself part of
the imperial space of Russia, and Moscow actually became the informal
negotiator on behalf of Armenia and Karabakh. Now Azerbaijan, Turkey
and others will have to agree with the Kremlin on Armenia.
The United States has called for activity not only in regard to
Karabakh but also the regional policy in general. Washington has put
forth proposals which are being considered by all the sides.
Apparently, these proposals boil down to maintenance of the status quo
with small `concessions' and opening of new transportation lines
linking to Iran.
Last year three states of the United States recognized the
independence of Karabakh. California is going to recognize Karabakh in
2014. Recognition is an instrument in the hands of the United States
in case Azerbaijan disagrees with the proposed principles. It is not
ruled out that the United States are considering the issue of
Nakhidjevan.
The United States needs agreements on new regional transportation
lines next year when the alliance with Iran will have been finalized,
and the process of recarving of borders in the Near East completed.
Iraqi oil and the Iranian gas must be transported to Europe, and
Armenia is the shortest way.
These plans may not be implemented peacefully but, in this case, as
some experts write, only the military way is left. And it will not
bring an advantage to anyone, first of all Azerbaijan, which has
signed deals worth billions.
Naira Hayrumyan, Political Commentator
16:17 11/01/2014
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/31703
The president of Azerbaijan addressed the meeting of his government.
Apart from phrases on boost of state and military budgets and the
right of Azerbaijan to resolve the Karabakh conflict through force
that set everyone's teeth on edge, he hailed certain activity at the
end of the past year. `There is hope, there are moments of optimism
but in 2014 we will study it. At any rate, in 2014 the real intentions
of Armenia will become known,' he said.
He certainly said that Armenia must `demonstrate a realistic approach'
which must be based on `correlation of real forces, and the growing
might of Azerbaijan will have its role.
In fact, Aliyev confesses that his only argument in the Karabakh
dispute is violence. However, this is not the most important thing.
Aliyev hints that 2014 may be crucial for the settlement of the
Karabakh conflict. And he has reasons to think so.
What changes were there in 2013 relating to the settlement of Karabakh
and around him?
Armenia rejected the complementary policy and declared itself part of
the imperial space of Russia, and Moscow actually became the informal
negotiator on behalf of Armenia and Karabakh. Now Azerbaijan, Turkey
and others will have to agree with the Kremlin on Armenia.
The United States has called for activity not only in regard to
Karabakh but also the regional policy in general. Washington has put
forth proposals which are being considered by all the sides.
Apparently, these proposals boil down to maintenance of the status quo
with small `concessions' and opening of new transportation lines
linking to Iran.
Last year three states of the United States recognized the
independence of Karabakh. California is going to recognize Karabakh in
2014. Recognition is an instrument in the hands of the United States
in case Azerbaijan disagrees with the proposed principles. It is not
ruled out that the United States are considering the issue of
Nakhidjevan.
The United States needs agreements on new regional transportation
lines next year when the alliance with Iran will have been finalized,
and the process of recarving of borders in the Near East completed.
Iraqi oil and the Iranian gas must be transported to Europe, and
Armenia is the shortest way.
These plans may not be implemented peacefully but, in this case, as
some experts write, only the military way is left. And it will not
bring an advantage to anyone, first of all Azerbaijan, which has
signed deals worth billions.
Naira Hayrumyan, Political Commentator
16:17 11/01/2014
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/31703