Emergency Situation At Armenia-Iran Border
A track transporting one ton of drugs from Iran to Georgia via Armenia
was halted at the Customs House of Meghri. The amount is
unprecedented. The driver was arrested.
This incident on the Armenian-Iranian border is interested in the
light of the recent political developments. After Armenia's
announcement to join the Customs Union, as well as the
Armenian-Russian gas capitulation, Iran made several sensational
statements relating to Armenia, actually expressing its
dissatisfaction with Armenia's choice.
Tehran demonstrated that Armenia had a choice but did not try to use
this chance. At the same time, Iran's new president is being proactive
and revolutionary regarding the international situation around Iran.
It is hard to guess what Rowhani and the West with its positive
feedback on his messages will achieve but the tendencies obviously hit
the interests of several ambitious players of the region. The
situation causes concerns for the Russian-Turkish-Israeli alliance
with its regular high and low tides (currently the tide is high). The
Iran-West appeasing process is an unwanted development for this
alliance, a strategic risk.
A new vector of geopolitical developments in the region is outlining.
In addition, this is a highly competitive vector, considering that
Iran is the only stable environment in the Arab-Israeli world.
Interestingly, Iran was viewed as the primary target of the world for
a long time but now Iran is intact after all the targets around Iran
have been hit.
This factor will certainly strengthen the Iranian government and build
up its potential of regional influence. In fact, in the result of the
multi-vector policy of the West, namely the United Stated, with the
seeming aggression of Tehran, Iran has become a center with a big
potential, at the same time, boosting the vulnerability of the center,
thereby creating a basis for manageability.
Iran is aware of this sensitive situation and is trying to use it at best.
Russia, Turkey and Israel are not satisfied with this situation. After
an unsuccessful attempt to influence the United States Israel set to
counteract Iran's growing role through Russia. Russia involved Turkey
and Azerbaijan via Turkey. Iran threatens their regional strategy.
Armenia and Georgia are exceptions in the Caucasus. In 2006 when the
Iran-Armenia pipeline was built, the Georgian prime minister Nogaideli
spoke about transit but Armenia refused. It goes without saying that
Armenia's refusal was determined by Russia's ban because it would be
absurd to think that Armenia could have any reason against gas transit
from Iran to Europe via Armenia.
Armenia is becoming a key factor because its position could help
unblock the South Caucasus and end its status of hostage of the
unresolved conflict over Artsakh or lead the region and itself into
the ditch.
In this context, the huge amount of drugs smuggled across the
Iran-Armenia border is highly curious. Someone seems to want to convey
that if something can be transported from Iran via Armenia, it can be
drugs, not gas, so the relations between Iran and Armenia need to be
restricted.
Its meaning becomes clear from the fact that the Armenian-Iranian
border will soon become the border of the Customs Union. Trafficking
in drugs is a wonderful chance to declare this border dangerous and
take it under special control. Meanwhile, Russian border guards have
been guarding the Armenian-Iranian border for over twenty years. It is
a customs border, and Armenia has as much influence on this border as
its influence on the Russian-Chinese border.
Hakob Badalyan, Political Commentator
17:18 18/01/2014
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/31748
From: A. Papazian
A track transporting one ton of drugs from Iran to Georgia via Armenia
was halted at the Customs House of Meghri. The amount is
unprecedented. The driver was arrested.
This incident on the Armenian-Iranian border is interested in the
light of the recent political developments. After Armenia's
announcement to join the Customs Union, as well as the
Armenian-Russian gas capitulation, Iran made several sensational
statements relating to Armenia, actually expressing its
dissatisfaction with Armenia's choice.
Tehran demonstrated that Armenia had a choice but did not try to use
this chance. At the same time, Iran's new president is being proactive
and revolutionary regarding the international situation around Iran.
It is hard to guess what Rowhani and the West with its positive
feedback on his messages will achieve but the tendencies obviously hit
the interests of several ambitious players of the region. The
situation causes concerns for the Russian-Turkish-Israeli alliance
with its regular high and low tides (currently the tide is high). The
Iran-West appeasing process is an unwanted development for this
alliance, a strategic risk.
A new vector of geopolitical developments in the region is outlining.
In addition, this is a highly competitive vector, considering that
Iran is the only stable environment in the Arab-Israeli world.
Interestingly, Iran was viewed as the primary target of the world for
a long time but now Iran is intact after all the targets around Iran
have been hit.
This factor will certainly strengthen the Iranian government and build
up its potential of regional influence. In fact, in the result of the
multi-vector policy of the West, namely the United Stated, with the
seeming aggression of Tehran, Iran has become a center with a big
potential, at the same time, boosting the vulnerability of the center,
thereby creating a basis for manageability.
Iran is aware of this sensitive situation and is trying to use it at best.
Russia, Turkey and Israel are not satisfied with this situation. After
an unsuccessful attempt to influence the United States Israel set to
counteract Iran's growing role through Russia. Russia involved Turkey
and Azerbaijan via Turkey. Iran threatens their regional strategy.
Armenia and Georgia are exceptions in the Caucasus. In 2006 when the
Iran-Armenia pipeline was built, the Georgian prime minister Nogaideli
spoke about transit but Armenia refused. It goes without saying that
Armenia's refusal was determined by Russia's ban because it would be
absurd to think that Armenia could have any reason against gas transit
from Iran to Europe via Armenia.
Armenia is becoming a key factor because its position could help
unblock the South Caucasus and end its status of hostage of the
unresolved conflict over Artsakh or lead the region and itself into
the ditch.
In this context, the huge amount of drugs smuggled across the
Iran-Armenia border is highly curious. Someone seems to want to convey
that if something can be transported from Iran via Armenia, it can be
drugs, not gas, so the relations between Iran and Armenia need to be
restricted.
Its meaning becomes clear from the fact that the Armenian-Iranian
border will soon become the border of the Customs Union. Trafficking
in drugs is a wonderful chance to declare this border dangerous and
take it under special control. Meanwhile, Russian border guards have
been guarding the Armenian-Iranian border for over twenty years. It is
a customs border, and Armenia has as much influence on this border as
its influence on the Russian-Chinese border.
Hakob Badalyan, Political Commentator
17:18 18/01/2014
Story from Lragir.am News:
http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/31748
From: A. Papazian