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What Will The Crimea Vote Bring The Caucasus' Breakaways?

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  • What Will The Crimea Vote Bring The Caucasus' Breakaways?

    WHAT WILL THE CRIMEA VOTE BRING THE CAUCASUS' BREAKAWAYS?

    EurasiaNet.org
    March 14 2014

    March 14, 2014 - 11:28am, by Giorgi Lomsadze

    Everyone in the Caucasus has reasons to worry about which direction
    Crimea's vote goes this Sunday, but for their own reasons. For the
    breakaway regions, the conflict may have implications for their
    own future.

    Already, it is affecting their actions. On March 12, the de-facto
    authorities in Abkhazia detained a Ukrainian TV crew that had
    come to gauge local reactions to the Crimea crisis. After hours of
    interrogation, which caused alarm and worry back in their station's
    newsroom, the journalists were kicked out of Abkhazia into next-door
    Russia, the Ukrainian site Censor.net.ua reported.

    Two more reporters with the same Ukrainian station, 1+1, have been
    detained in North Ossetia, the Russian twin of breakaway South Ossetia,
    on the Georgian side of the Caucasus mountains. The journalists,
    who were released after five hours of questioning, said that local
    officials have orders to watch out for sightings of Ukrainians.

    Journalists are now asking both regions' de-facto authorities questions
    about any plans to follow Crimea's suit and seek merger with Russia.

    In South Ossetia specifically, such ideas, linked with the idea of
    union with North Ossetia, have significant backing. The de-facto
    administration in Tskhinvali told Russia's Dozhd' TV that it needs to
    wait for a national plebiscite law that would simplify the procedure
    of joining Russia.

    In Abkhazia, the de-facto foreign minister, Vyacheslav Chirikba,
    said, that, "at this stage," they are not thinking about uniting with
    Russia. The territory's laws ban holding referenda on changing its
    status, he pointed out to Dozhd'.

    Abkhazia and South Ossetia may differ in how seriously they take their
    de-facto sovereignty, but they share the fate of living in limbo,
    with most of the world refusing to put them on the map.

    Furthest away, both in geography and context, stands Nagorno Karabakh.

    Its separatist leadership looks far more to Armenia than to Russia
    for any lifelines, but it is also territory that Russia uses to keep
    both hands on the region, critics say. Nonetheless, few would argue
    that its absorption into Russia makes any sense.

    Unless, that is, you are Russian Duma member Vladimir Zhirinovsky.

    Alternatively seen a madman or a mouthpiece for the Kremlin's most
    radical views, Zhirinovsky has just suggested that Russia take over
    Nagorno Karabakh.

    Caucasus watchers, don't touch that dial.

    http://www.eurasianet.org/node/68146

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