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ANKARA: Different Views On Turkey-Armenia Border Issue

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  • ANKARA: Different Views On Turkey-Armenia Border Issue

    DIFFERENT VIEWS ON TURKEY-ARMENIA BORDER ISSUE

    Hurriyet Daily News, Turkey
    Nov 19 2014

    by Cavid Veliyev

    The suspending of Turkey-Armenia protocols in 2009 had two main
    reasons: the reactions of the Azerbaijani and Turkish societies. In
    fact, the main reason for suspending the protocols was the attitude
    of the Turkish society to this agreement. The main reason for Turkish
    society's negative reaction toward the Turkey-Armenia protocols was
    not only Nagorno-Karabakh, which has been under the occupation of
    Armenia, but also attacks carried out by Armenian gangs in Anatolia in
    the beginning of the 20th century and ongoing demands and propaganda
    against Turkey and the Turkish people in the international scene.

    Despite the reaction of the Turkish government and Turkish society,
    there are different approaches inside and outside of Turkey that try
    to affect society and decision-makers' views.

    >From 2010, when the Turkey-Armenia protocols failed, "silent
    diplomacy" initiatives between Turkey and Armenia were supported and
    funded by organizations from the U.S. and EU. In 2010, the U.S. AID
    Mission provided $4.7 million to a consortium of Armenian and Turkish
    organizations for cross-border activities. Since 2014, a consortium
    of eight civil society organizations from Armenia and Turkey, with
    the financial assistance of the EU, has supported the Armenia-Turkey
    Normalization Process.

    The assumption is that the normalization of relations will build peace
    and stability in the South Caucasus, which was presented by Western
    circles, finds supporters inside Turkey. By adding that opening
    the Turkish-Armenian borders will lead Turkey to strengthening its
    position in the south Caucasus, they try to strengthen their position.

    In this point, retired ambassador Unal Cevikoz, who was a part of
    the Turkish-Armenian closed negotiations in 2007-2009, published
    the piece "Turkish-Armenian relations need a new game-changer" in the
    Hurriyet Daily News on Nov. 13, 2014. Cevikoz, who supports opening the
    Turkish-Armenian borders, has two arguments regarding the outcomes of
    opening the borders. First, according to Cevikoz, opening the borders
    could be a significant development and this development can reduce
    pressure on Turkey. Second, open borders could help Turkey to increase
    its position in negotiations in Nagorno-Karabakh and South Caucasus.

    After the ratification of protocols in 2009, Armenian President Serzh
    Sargsyan visited European countries and the U.S. to convince the
    Armenian diaspora that Armenia had not given up introducing the 1915
    events as genocide. Interestingly, meanwhile, after the protocols,
    Armenian historians began to study on the Armenian monument of history
    in Turkey so to further justify and substantiate the territorial
    claims toward Turkey. In response, why should Turkey and Azerbaijan
    not develop a common strategy to list the Turkish history of monuments
    in Armenian territory?

    The so-called genocide pressure on Turkey is not because of closed
    borders because this pressure began before the closure of the borders
    during the Cold War. The Armenian diaspora achieved introducing the
    so-called Armenian genocide because Turkey had ignored the issue for
    a long period.

    Turkey has just recently begun to set its strategy against Armenia's
    propaganda. With this respect, Turkey can use the successful experience
    of Azerbaijan against the Armenian diaspora as part of its strategy.

    According to supporters of opening the borders, if the Turkish-Armenian
    borders had opened, Turkey could have had an impact on Armenian
    political decisions particularly on foreign policy orientations and
    Nagorno-Karabakh. Meanwhile after opening the borders, Turkey would
    gain the confidence in Armenian society. But this argument lacks
    any kind of solid and substantive evidence that would support this
    opinion. On the contrary, for three years the EU has allocated nearly
    100 million euros in order to reform Armenia's economy and customs
    services and hoped that Armenia would prefer the EU over Russia in its
    foreign policy orientation. Also according to Armenian government data,
    the EU is in the first place and Russia is in second place of Armenian
    foreign trade volume. But in 2013, Armenia signed participation
    agreement with a Russian-led Customs Union, which means close economic
    cooperation with the EU would not affect Armenian political decisions.

    When it comes to Turkey's position in the South Caucasus, Turkey's
    strategic partner Azerbaijan is the leader of the South Caucasus
    economy. Meanwhile, Armenia is not in a strategic position that can
    help Turkey to increase its position in the region. First, all of
    the regional projects are away from Armenia.

    Second, as Russia has taken control of all of the strategic
    institutions, it's quite doubtful that after opening the border with
    Armenia would affect Armenia's policies and encourage Yerevan to turn
    its face to the West.

    Shortly, the Turkish government, ruling and main opposition parties are
    against opening the borders without a solution to the Nagorno-Karabakh
    conflict. Despite the U.S. and EU's funds, the situation will go on.

    Cavid Veliyev is Senior Research Fellow, SAM, Baku.

    November/19/2014

    http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/different-views-on-turkey-armenia-border-issue.aspx?pageID=238&nID=74506&NewsCatID=396



    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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